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May 20, 2014
16:27 EDTURBN, ARX, DKS, HD, TJX, RRGB, GM, SPLS, ICPT, CATOn The Fly: Closing Wrap
Stocks on Wall Street opened in negative territory and were never able to make it back to unchanged. There was little to lure buyers off the sidelines to buy, as the economic calendar remained quiet. Adding to the pressure was a speech by Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser, in which he mentioned the eventual raising of rates and the potential for that to come sooner than expected if the economy picks up steam. The retail sector led the losers following disappointing earnings reports from Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS), Staples (SPLS), TJX (TJX) and Urban Outfitters (URBN). ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., no major economic data was released for the second day in a row. COMPANY NEWS: Home Depot (HD) led the few advancers on the Dow, rising $1.46, or 1.91%, to $77.96, after the company's earnings narrowly beat expectations and it raised its FY14 EPS view to come in-line with analyst consensus estimate. Caterpillar (CAT) was the weakest member of the blue chip index, sliding $3.83, or 3.63%, to $101.56, after it reported April dealer retail sales trends that weakened relative to March... General Motors (GM) shares fell $1.18, or 3.45%, to $33.07 after the company announced it is recalling an additional 2.42M vehicles in four separate U.S. recalls. The automaker added $200M to the charge it expects to take in Q2 related to its recalls, bringing the total potential charge up to $400M. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Aeroflex (ARX), which rose $2.11, or 25.39%, to $10.42 after Cobham agreed to acquire the company for $10.50 per share in cash. Also higher was Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB), which advanced $7.95, or 12.45%, to $71.80 after its sales and profits beat expectations for its fiscal first quarter. Among the noteworthy losers was Dick's Sporting Goods, which fell $9.56, or 17.98%, to $43.60 after it issued a worse than expected outlook for the current quarter and fiscal year, pointing to weakness it sees continuing in its golf and hunting segments. Also lower were shares of Intercept Pharmaceuticals (ICPT), which fell $36.66, or 14.1%, to $223.34 as The Street reported that the company knew last January that a trial of its liver disease drug was halted partially due to patients' abnormal cholesterol levels, but did not disclose the information to investors. INDEXES: The Dow was down 137.55, or 0.83%, to 16,374.31, the Nasdaq was down 28.92, or 0.7%, to 4,096.89, and the S&P 500 was down 12.25, or 0.65%, to 1,872.83.
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September 30, 2015
05:33 EDTSPLSStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; ODP SPLS
Stocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; Office Depot (ODP) 101, Staples (SPLS) 73 according to iVolatility.
September 29, 2015
06:17 EDTGMFiat Chrysler labor deal faces resistance, NY Times reports
Fiat Chrysler's (FCAU) tentative deal with the United Auto Workers union has seen resistance in early voting, with several plants rejecting the deal outright, the New York Times says. Voting at some of the largest plants will start Tuesday, and that fate of the proposed four-year deal will be determined by the middle of the week, the report says. Opponents to the deal have said that it does not offer any clear path for lower-tier workers to reach the highest levels of hourly play and fails to limit the number of entry-level workers, the report says. Fiat Chrysler's deal with its auto workers is viewed as a template for labor talks that General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) will have with their workers, the report says. Reference Link
September 28, 2015
18:51 EDTGMGM CEO plans increased focus on connectivity, autonomous driving, Reuters says
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07:18 EDTICPTIntercept initiates REGENERATE trial for obeticholic acid in NASH patients
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07:00 EDTCATCaterpillar shares attractive after selloff, says Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Vishal Shah says that after dropping 7% since the 2015 guidance cut, shares of Caterpillar are attractive. Earnings per share will tough at $3.75 in 2016 and rebound to $4.10 in 2017, Shah tells investors in a research note. He keeps a Buy rating on the stock with an $80 price target.
September 25, 2015
16:35 EDTCATStocks end week lower as biotechs sink, Volkswagen crashes
Stocks ended the week lower after concerns about drug prices were reignited, sinking biotech stocks, an emissions scandal engulfed Volkswagen (VLKAY), dragging down shares of automakers and their suppliers, and Caterpillar (CAT) announced that it may eliminate as many as 10,000 jobs in the next three years as commodity prices continue to slump. MACRO NEWS: Following the Federal Reserve's decision last week to wait before raising rates, the central bank made a concerted effort to give the market more clarity this week. Over last weekend, three Federal Reserve officials - San Francisco Fed President John Williams, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker - all argued that an interest-rate increase is still warranted this year. Then, on Thursday night, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said during a speech at UMass Amherst that the central bank remains inclined to hike rates this year. Yellen's remarks were incrementally hawkish, but welcomed by the market, since they helped clarify the message the Fed delivered a week ago... In the U.S., Markit's flash manufacturing purchasing manager's index was flat at 53.0 in September, which was slightly better than the expectation for it to dip to 52.8. Durable goods orders for August declined 2.0%, versus expectations for a drop of 2.3%. When transportation items were removed, the core reading was breakeven, versus expectations for a rise of 0.1%. The third estimate of second quarter GDP showed the economy grew 3.9% quarter-over-quarter, versus expectations for the GDP growth estimate to stay at 3.7%. Personal consumption in Q2 is now believed to have grown 3.6%, up from the prior estimate of 3.1%. The final University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading for September came in at 87.2, which was down from August's 91.9 but above the expected 86.2 reading... The Asian Development Bank cut its growth forecast for the region, citing a weaker outlook for China and India and a delayed recovery in the world's advanced economies. The bank now sees the Chinese economy growing 6.8% this year and 6.7% next year, down from its previous forecasts of 7.2% and 7%, respectively. Markit's flash manufacturing PMI for China fell to 47.0 in September from 47.3 last month. Meanwhile, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe unveiled new economic targets, including a goal for a 20% increase in the target size of the Japanese economy to 600T yen, though he gave no timeframe for achieving this aspiration... In Europe, Markit's composite PMI for the eurozone came in at 53.9 in the first look for September, down from 54.3 in August and below expectations for a reading of 54.1. COMPANY NEWS: Biotech stocks declined after privately-held Turing Pharmaceuticals made headlines by enacting a 5,000% price increase on its treatment for toxoplasmosis, reigniting a debate around drug prices that previously embroiled costly Hepatitis C drugs including AbbVie's (ABBV) Viekira Pak and Gilead's (GILD) Sovaldi and Harvoni. Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton sent the debate to center stage by criticizing the "outrageous" prices of specialty drugs and laying out a plan to tackle "price gouging" in the specialty drug market. The NASDAQ Biotechnology index fell roughly xxx% for the week amid the attention paid to Turing's drug and Clinton's response... Volkswagen (VLKAY) shares trading in New York fell sharply to begin the week and ended the week far from where they'd been last Friday before the EPA said it found manipulations that violate U.S. environmental standards while testing certain of the automaker's diesel cars. The EPA said Volkswagen may face civil penalties of $37,500 for each vehicle not in compliance with federal clean air rules, which could total as much as $18B, according to Reuters. In the wake of the scandal, Chief Executive Officer Martin Winterkorn resigned, with the company's supervisory board subsequently praising the decision and selecting Matthias Mueller, the former head of Porsche (POAHY), as Winterkorn's successor as the company's new CEO... Caterpillar (CAT) shares dropped after the heavy machinery maker announced plans for job cuts and lowered its revenue guidance for this year and next. Caterpillar said that it would lay off 4,000-5,000 of its employees between now and the end of 2016 and could lay off up to 10,000 employees by 2018. Caterpillar cut its fiscal year 2015 revenue forecast by $1B and said its sees its fiscal year 2016 revenue to be 5% below this year, adding that it expects revenue declines in all three large segments next year... Online and mobile deal provider Groupon (GRPN) said it plans to cut 1,100 jobs relating primarily to the company's international operations... Nike jumped after the athletic gear giant reported better than expected earnings and futures orders, prompting numerous price target hikes and at least one upgrade at Street research firms. Among other companies reporting earnings this week, BlackBerry (BBRY), ConAgra (CAG), Carnival (CCL), and CarMax (KMX) fell immediately following their quarterly reports... Apple (AAPL), which has previously been reported to be working on an electric car via its "Project Titan," is speeding up those efforts and setting 2019 as a target to ship its first vehicle, according to The Wall Street Journal... Against the backdrop of China's President Xi Jinping visiting the U.S., Boeing (BA) announced deals to sell 300 planes to three Chinese companies and set up an aircraft factory in in the Asian nation, while Cisco (CSCO) announced a partnership with Chinese server maker Inspur Group... Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman Sachs (GS) Chairman and CEO, disclosed that he was diagnosed with lymphoma. "Fortunately, my form of lymphoma is highly curable and my doctors' and my own expectation is that I will be cured," Blankfein stated in an open letter that was shared by the bank... GoPro (GPRO) finished the week about xxx% lower after Barron's contended in a feature article last weekend that the company's stock could plunge another 30% to $25 as Apple, Sony (SNE) and others pressure the company's "one-hit wonder" products... On the M&A front, Atmel (ATML) agreed to be acquired by German chipmaker Dialog Semiconductor in a deal valued at roughly $4.6B and Starwood Waypoint (SWAY) announced a stock-for-stock merger agreement with Colony American Homes. INDEXES: The Dow lost about 0.43% to close at 16,314.67, the S&P 500 fell about 1.35% to close at 1,931.34, and the Nasdaq declined about 2.89% to close at 4,686.50.
12:38 EDTSPLSOptions with increasing implied volatility
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10:00 EDTCATOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Atlas Air (AAWW) downgraded to In-Line from Outperform at Imperial Capital... Caterpillar (CAT) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... Cummins (CMI) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... Emerge Energy (EMES) downgraded after guidance withdrawal at Stifel... Exxon Mobil (XOM) downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research... F5 Networks (FFIV) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James... Internap (INAP) downgraded on earnings miss, negative outlook at Oppenheimer... Semtech (SMTC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at MKM Partners... Silicon Laboratories (SLAB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at MKM Partners... Superconductor Technologies (SCON) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Ladenburg... Virgin America (VA) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen.
09:05 EDTGMGeneral Motors volatility elevated
General Motors October weekly call option implied volatility is at 34, October and November is at 33; compared to its 52-week range of 14 to 36, suggesting large near term price movement.
08:28 EDTCATCummins downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair
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08:06 EDTCATCaterpillar downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair
William Blair downgraded Caterpillar to Market Perform after the company yesterday reduced its sales forecast and cut jobs. The firm sees a lack of catalysts and visibility amid the "machinery meltdown."
07:20 EDTCATCaterpillar EPS poised to bottom in 2016, says Stifel
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06:53 EDTCATCalAmp still has 'substantial growth' at Caterpillar, says Northland
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06:42 EDTSPLSStaples issues statement regarding European Commission announcemeent
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06:34 EDTGMGM CEO again rejects idea of merger with Fiat Chrysler, WSJ reports
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06:07 EDTGMGM CEO says pursuing profit margins, not market share, WSJ reports
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05:55 EDTSPLSEU opens investigation into Staples, Office Depot merger
The European Commission said it has opened an in-depth investigation under the EU Merger Regulation into the acquisition of Office Depot (ODP) by its competitor Staples (SPLS). The Commission "has concerns that the takeover could lead to price increases and less choice." It added, "Both Staples and Office Depot are active in the distribution of office products via a number of sales channels, including wholesale, retail, direct sales and national or international supply contracts. The Commission's preliminary investigation indicated potential competition concerns in the market for the supply of office products to business customers through international contracts in the European Economic Area, as well as in the market for the supply of office products to business customers through national contracts in the Netherlands and Sweden. The customers of office supplies include companies in the private sector and public administrations." The Commission now has 90 working days, until February 10, 2016, to take a final decision.
05:51 EDTCATBarclays starts U.S. Machinery space with Negative view
Barclays analyst Robert Wertheimer rolled out coverage of the U.S. Machinery space with a Negative view. Of the fifteen companies he initiated in the sector, only two are Overweight rated. Wertheimer started five names at Underweight, his firm's equivalent of a sell. Consensus estimates are too high across the board with revenue for this cycle already peaking for most of machinery, the analyst told investors last night in a research note. He sees a sharper downturn for North American trucks than the consensus expects, with another peak level eight years away. And the tractor supercycle is only two years in a downturn, while the prior two supercycles saw seven consecutive down years in machinery sales, Wertheimer adds. Allison Transmission (ALSN) and United Rentals (URI) are the analyst's Overweight-rated stocks in the sector. Deere (DE), CNH Industrial (CNHI), Cummins (CMI), PACCAR (PCAR) and Navistar (NAV) are his Underweight rated names. Wertheimer also started with Equal Weight ratings shares of Actuant (ATU), AGCO (AGCO), Caterpillar (CAT), Joy Global (JOY), Lincoln Electric (LECO), Manitowoc (MTW), Terex (TEX) and WABCO (WBC).
05:20 EDTSPLSStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; ODP SPLS
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05:11 EDTCATStocks with implied volatility movement; VRX CAT
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