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August 22, 2014
12:08 EDTAEO, BKE, ANF, GES, GPSGap hits 52-week high following beat and raise quarter
Shares of specialty apparel retailer The Gap (GPS) are advancing after the company posted better than expected second quarter results, and raised its fiscal 2014 profit outlook. WHAT'S NEW: Last night, Gap reported Q2 earnings per share of 75c and revenue of $3.98B, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of 69c and $3.96B, respectively. Q2 same store sales were flat versus the prior year period. WHAT’S NOTABLE: For FY14, Gap raised its EPS view to $2.95-$3.00 from $2.90-$2.95, versus consensus of $2.95. The company updated its guidance for FY14 diluted EPS to reflect the 5c related to the gain on asset sale. For FY14, the company continues to expect capital spending to be approximately $750M in support of its outlined strategies. Gap also announced it will enter India through franchise-operated Gap brand stores in 2015. Gap is partnering with Arvind Lifestyle Brand Limited, a subsidiary of Arvind Limited, which is one of India’s largest textile companies. The first stores are expected to open in India’s two largest cities – Mumbai and Delhi – starting with Gap’s Summer 2015 collection for adults, kids and babies. The brand plans to open about 40 franchise-operated Gap stores in India. ANALYST REACTION: This morning, analyst commentary was decidedly positive. Research firm Janney Capital upgraded Gap to Buy from Neutral. The firm upgraded shares based on the overall improving Softlines sector due to an inventory correction, Old Navy strength, global opportunities, potential improved gross margin returns on inventory investment, and best-in-class management. Their price target on the shares is $51. Another firm, UBS, said Gap is well positioned for second half upside citing its Omni-channel advantage, shift to higher margin businesses, increased square footage, and modestly positive comps driven by ecommerce. UBS has a Buy rating and a $50 price target on the stock. Sterne Agee says Gap’s valuation is very attractive. The firm believes that Gap's fundamentals are improving, while the setup for the stock over the next 12-18 months is favorable. It adds that the company's gross margins should be boosted by several factors going forward, and it kept a Buy rating on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, Gap rose $2.04, or 4.7%, to $45.22 on heavy trading volume. Earlier in the session, it reached a new 52-week high of $45.47. Including today’s advance, the stock has gained over 7.5% over the past twelve months. OTHERS TO WATCH: Other specialty apparel companies include Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), Guess (GES), and The Buckle (BKE).
News For GPS;ANF;AEO;GES;BKE From The Last 14 Days
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November 19, 2015
19:19 EDTGPSOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Intuit (INTU), up 8.1%... Ross Stores (ROST), up 8.2%. ALSO HIGHER: Cabela's (CAB), up 7.5% after Bloomberg reported that the company is receiving takeover interest... Nike (NKE), up 3.4% after announcing a $12B repurchase program, a two-for-one stock split, and that it will raise its dividend... Centene (CNC), up 2.4% after reiterating its fiscal 2015 earnings per share guidance... Universal Insurance (UVE), up 2.7% after announcing a new $10M share repurchase program. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Nimble Storage (NMBL), down 36.9%... Mentor Graphics (MENT), down 26.2%... Workday (WDAY), down 5.5%... Wesco Aircraft (WAIR), down 1.4%... Williams-Sonoma (WSM), down 3.7%... Zoe's Kitchen (ZOES), down 3.6%... Momo (MOMO), down 3.3%... Autodesk (ADSK), down 1%... Gap (GPS), down marginally.
16:27 EDTGPSGap lowers FY15 adjusted EPS view to $2.38-$2.42 from $2.75-$2.80
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16:24 EDTGPSGap continues to see FY15 CapEx approximately $800M
16:23 EDTGPSGap reports Q3 SSS down 2%
Gap's comparable sales for the third quarter were down 2% versus a 2% decrease last year. Comparable sales by global brand for the third quarter were as follows: Gap Global: negative 4% versus negative 5% last year; Banana Republic Global: negative 12% versus flat last year; Old Navy Global: positive 4% versus positive 1% last year.
16:21 EDTGPSGap reports Q3 adjusted EPS 63c, consensus 63c
Reports Q3 revenue $3.86B, consensus $3.9B. Gap Inc.'s comparable sales for the third quarter of fiscal year 2015 were down 2% versus a 2% decrease last year.
15:24 EDTANFNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
Notable companies reporting before tomorrow's market open, with earnings consensus, include Foot Locker (FL), consensus 94c... Sirona Dental (SIRO), consensus $1.10... Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), consensus 22c... Hibbett Sport (HIBB), consensus 68c.
15:21 EDTGPSNotable companies reporting after market close
Notable companies reporting after the market close, with earnings consensus, include Intuit (INTU), consensus (4c)... Ross Stores (ROST), consensus (50c)... Workday (WDAY), consensus (4c)... Autodesk (ADSK), consensus 8c... Gap (GPS), consensus 63c... Splunk (SPLK), consensus 1c... Williams-Sonoma (WSM), consensus 72c... Mentor Graphics (MENT), consensus 29c.
14:51 EDTANFAbercrombie & Fitch November 19 straddle priced for 12% movement into Q3
14:26 EDTANFAbercrombie & Fitch technical comments ahead of earnings
The shares have been trading in a sideways but wide range since March of this year. Shares ahead of earnings are currently trading below an important support level, $20, which has held for most of this sideways trading period. A move back above $20 on good news would be a technical positive that could see the highs of the recent range tested. The first resistance level of significance is at the 30-day moving average at $20.93. The 30-day has nearly flattened out in recent months, bisecting the range. Next resistance above the 30-day would be at $21.68, $22.25, and $23.25. If the news is bearish, the shares could drift to the low end of the range. First support would be at $18.74. Below that support, additional downside objectives may be at $17.60 and $16.56. The 52-week low is at $15.42.
14:08 EDTGPSGap technical comments ahead of earnings
The shares are trading near multi-year lows ahead of earnings, with a strong downtrend bias. If the news continues to be bearish, the downtrend is likely to extend. Support levels to watch as potential downside objectives would be at $24.41, $22.58, and $21.17. If the news is instead a bullish surprise, the first significant resistance level would be at the 30-day moving average which was last at $26.86. A move above the 30-day would break the current downtrend leg. Next resistance levels would be at $28.37 and then at $29.15.
13:29 EDTANFEarnings Watch: Abercrombie reports amid ongoing turnaround, CEO search
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) is scheduled to report third quarter earnings before the market open on Friday, November 20 with a conference call scheduled for 8:30 am ET. Abercrombie & Fitch is a retailer of casual apparel for men, women and kids. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 22c on revenue of $864.65M, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 7c-44c on revenue of $832.7M-$897M. LAST QUARTER: On August 26, Abercrombie & Fitch reported second quarter adjusted EPS of 12c on revenue of $817.8M, beating consensus estimates of (4c) and $811.46M, respectively. The company added that same store sales for Q2 were down 4% year over year. Abercrombie & Fitch also said that it expected same store sales trends to improve in the second half of the year, skewed towards the fourth quarter. NEWS: The company said in its Q2 earnings release that it planned to open 15 full-price stores in fiscal 2015 in China, Japan, and the Middle East, six full price stores in North America, and ten new outlet stores in the U.S. The retailer also said that it expected to close roughly 60 stores in the U.S. during the fiscal year through natural lease expirations. On its Q2 conference call, Abercrombie & Fitch said that its board was "deeply engaged" in its search for a new chief executive officer and that someone will be appointed to the role "in due time." The company added on the call that it was still making adjustments to prices at the Abercrombie brand. STREET RESEARCH: On August 27, Stifel upgraded Abercrombie to Buy from Hold and maintained a $24 price target following the company's upbeat Q2 results. A day later, RBC Capital upgraded the company's stock to Sector Perform from Underperform and raised its price target to $20 from $17, saying that the fundamentals of the Hollister unit are improving while revenue was showing signs of rebounding. On September 24, Standpoint Research downgraded Abercrombie & Fitch to Hold from Buy. On October 19, Wunderlich upgraded the company's shares to Hold from Sell with a $21 price target, saying that there were signs of a business turnaround. On November 19, Susquehanna reiterated a Positive rating and $26 price target on the retailer's stock, saying it believes the company is well positioned for the holiday season. PRICE ACTION: Abercrombie & Fitch shares are flat at $19.75 in afternoon trading ahead of tomorrow's earnings report. The stock is up about 12.5% over the past three months.
08:38 EDTANFAbercrombie & Fitch well positioned for holidays, says Susquehanna
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07:01 EDTBKEThe Buckle reports Q3 EPS 74c, consensus 78c
Reports Q3 revenue $280.2M, consensus $281.43M. Comparable store net sales for the 13-week period ended October 31, 2015 decreased 5.2% from comparable store net sales for the prior year 13-week period ended November 1, 2014. Online sales increased 13.6% to $25.9M for the 13-week period ended October 31, 2015, compared to net sales of $22.8M for the 13-week period ended November 1, 2014.
November 18, 2015
14:38 EDTBKENotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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10:55 EDTBKEThe Buckle volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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05:41 EDTGPSGap implied volatility of 43 at upper end of index mean range
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November 17, 2015
14:46 EDTANFAbercrombie & Fitch volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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10:42 EDTGPSGap volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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10:20 EDTAEOOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: SGMS HZNP CSC ULTA RH BURL GME AEO BBRY TIF
05:36 EDTGPSGap implied volatility of 42 at upper end of index mean range
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