|March 18, 2014|
|09:15 EDT||WMT, GME||Wal-Mart news 'latest worry' for GameStop investors, says Oppenheimer|
Oppenheimer views Wal-Mart's (WMT) entrance into the used video game marketplace as the "latest worry" for investors of GameStop (GME). The firm expects the news to be an overhang on shares of GameStop in the near-term, but it keeps an Outperform rating on the name. Opco believes GameStop has a "significant leg up" on any new entrant into the used video game market and that the company is likely to buy its own shares amid the stock sell-off.
News For GME;WMT From The Last 14 Days
|November 16, 2015|
|16:23 EDT||WMT||On The Fly: Top stock stories for Monday|
Stock futures were pointing to a higher open early this morning, showing resiliency in the wake of Friday's terrorist attacks in France and the nation's millitary retaliation against ISIS this weekend. However, the futures weakened following the release of manufacturing data from the N.Y. region, leading to a slightly lower open for the broader market. The averages pared their losses and searched for direction in early trading, but by early afternoon the bulls took control and sent the indexes on an uptrend throughout the afternoon. The major averages each notched gains of more than 1% and recaptured much of what they'd lost on Friday. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., the Empire State index, which measures manufacturing in the N.Y. region, edged up to -10.74 in November, up from last month's -11.4, but below expectations for a -6.5 reading. In Asia, Japan's gross domestic product declined 0.8% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 0.2% decrease and taking the nation's economy back into recession. COMPANY NEWS: Starwood Hotels & Resorts (HOT) found a buyer, but not the one that recent reports had been foreshadowing. Starwood and Marriott (MAR) announced a deal under which the companies will combine in a cash and stock transaction valued at $12.2B to create the world's largest hotel company. Starwood, which had been linked in media reports to a number of other potential buyers in the past, including Hyatt (H) most recently, fell 3.6% to $72.27 following the deal announcement, while Hyatt rose 3.4% and Marriott added 1.35%. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was CONSOL Energy (CNX), which advanced 56c, or 7.57%, to $7.96 after Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn reiterated the stock as his "best idea" at Monday's Robin Hood Investors Conference. Also higher was Wal-Mart (WMT), gaining $1.44, or 2.55%, to $57.87 ahead of its third quarter earnings report Tuesday morning, which comes after largely disappointing reports from other major retailers. Among the noteworthy losers was Clovis Oncology (CLVS), which crashed $69.19, or 69.6%, to $30.24 after new data showed the number of patients testing its cancer drug candidate rociletinib with an unconfirmed response who converted to a confirmed response was lower than expected. The company also noted that the FDA requested additional information related to the treatment's confirmed response rates. Also lower was Dillard's (DDS), which lost $4.97, or 6.41%, to $72.54 after reporting lower than expected Q3 results, the latest in a series of disappointments for the sector. Additionally, SunEdison (SUNE) fell 38c, or 7.61%, to $4.55 after quarterly filings revealed that at least two prominent hedge funds exited or trimmed their stakes in the company. INDEXES: The Dow rose 237.77, or 1.38%, to 17,483.01, the Nasdaq gained 56.73, or 1.15%, to 4,984.62, and the S&P 500 advanced 30.15, or 1.49%, to 2,053.19.
|15:02 EDT||WMT||Notable companies reporting before tomorrow's open|
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|14:08 EDT||WMT||Wal-Mart technical comments ahead of results|
The shares are at multi-year lows and in a downtrend heading into earnings news. If there was a bullish surprise, the first important resistance level would be at the 10-week moving average at $60.58. The 10-week is a good proxy for a downtrend resistance line for the current longer-term bearish price channel. Resistance above the top of the channel would be at $61.23. If the news continues to be negative, the channel low at $55.46 would be a first major test of support. Price at that level would mark a fresh 52-week low. Additional support levels to watch as potential downside objectives would be at $53.55 and then at $51.79.
|14:00 EDT||WMT||Wal-Mart November 57 straddle priced for 3.5% movement into Q3|
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|11:42 EDT||WMT||Wal-Mart volatility increases into Q3 and outlook |
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|11:15 EDT||WMT||Earnings Watch: Analysts largely downbeat on Wal-Mart after annual meeting|
Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) is scheduled to report third quarter earnings before the market open on Tuesday, November 17, with a conference call scheduled for 7:00 am ET. Wal-Mart, a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, operates retail stores in various formats under 69 different banners in 27 countries with its "everyday low price" philosophy. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 98c on revenue of $117.79B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is $1.07-$1.15 on revenue of $114.86B-$119.57B. In its last earnings report, Wal-Mart forecast Q3 EPS of 93c-$1.05 with Q3 U.S. same store sales projected to grow 2%-3%. LAST QUARTER: Wal-Mart reported second quarter EPS of $1.08, missing analysts' estimate of $1.12, on revenue of $120.2B, beating analysts' estimate of $119.72B. The company said currency negatively impacted Q2 EPS by approximately 4c. Comp sales at Walmart U.S. increased 1.5%, driven by traffic of 1.3%, and Neighborhood Market comps increased approximately 7.3%. Global e-commerce sales for Q2 increased about 16%, the company said. Looking ahead, Wal-Mart cut its outlook for fiscal year 2016 EPS to $4.40-$4.70 from $4.70-$5.05 against estimates at that time for $4.77. Chief Financial officer Charles Holley said operating profit would be pressured for the remainder of the year, due to in store associate wages and additional hours, as well as headwinds from pharmacy reimbursements and ongoing shrink. The company said that the impact from investments in wages, training and additional hours in its stores and clubs will be approximately 24c, including approximately 8c in Q3. Additionally, the company said that along with pharmacy headwinds, higher than expected ongoing shrink in Walmart U.S. will impact full year EPS by around 11c, including about 3c in Q3. Further, the FY16 currency exchange rate impact is expected to be approximately 15c, up 2c from last quarter's revised guidance of 13c. NEWS: At its annual meeting on October 14, Wal-Mart forecast net sales growth of approximately 3% for FY16 excluding the impact of currency exchange fluctuations. The company forecast net sales growth of 3%-4% annually over the next three years, which will add about $45B-$60B in sales. Looking to fiscal year 2017, Wal-Mart forecast EPS down 6%-12% vs. FY16. Wal-Mart also said that the strong dollar is expected to reduce the company's FY15 revenue by $15B, Reuters said. Wal-Mart's board authorized a new $20B share repurchase program and said it expects operating income to bottom out in FY17. During the quarter, Reuters reported that Wal-Mart filed an application with the Federal Aviation Administration to test drones for home delivery, curbside pickup and warehouse inventory checks. The Wall Street Journal said Wal-Mart is slimming down its number of items in an attempt to bolster sales figures, yet the reduction has created tensions with suppliers. STREET RESEARCH: Credit Suisse, Stephens and BofA Merrill Lynch all downgraded Wal-Mart after the retailer's annual meeting based on guidance for declining earnings in FY17 and a lack of earnings growth until FY19. Baird, UBS and Jefferies all cut their price targets on Wal-Mart following the annual meeting. JPMorgan analyst Christopher Horvers said the "depth and degree" of the financial pressures addressed at the annual meeting were "much greater than anticipated." Ahead of the Q3 earnings report, Baird reiterated its Outperform rating and $70 price target and said Wal-Mart shares appear to hold some value for patient investors. Wal-Mart was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast on November 13. PRICE ACTION: Wal-Mart shares are down over 21% over the last three months, but are up about 1% to $57.07 in late morning trading ahead of Tuesday's earnings report.
|08:36 EDT||WMT||Wal-Mart holds value for patient long-term investors, says Baird|
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|07:40 EDT||WMT||Buffett says lower stakes in Goldman, Wal-Mart doesn't reflect lower confidence|
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|07:36 EDT||WMT||Berkshire Hathaway discloses new AT&T stake in quarterly update|
Berkshire Hathaway gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this morning. NEW STAKES: AT&T (T), Kraft Heinz (KHC), Liberty Lilac Group (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Phillips 66 (PSX), Charter (CHTR), Liberty Media (LMCK), Suncor (SU), General Motors (GM). DECREASED STAKES: Goldman Sachs (GS), Wal-Mart (WMT), Deere (DE), Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI), WABCO (WBC). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Viacom (VIAB).
|November 13, 2015|
|16:24 EDT||WMT||On The Fly: Top stock stories for Friday|
Stocks on Wall Street ended a tough week on a down note, falling after the Commerce Department reported that retail sales grew by an anemic 0.1% last month. This data comes on the heels of this week's downbeat quarterly report from Macy's (M) and a similarly disappointing report last night from peer Nordstrom (JWN). ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined following the weaker than expected retail sales data reported by the government as well as third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom and J.C. Penney (JCP), which fell 15% and 15.5% respectively. Virtually every mass-market, brick-and-mortar retailer was down today, from giants like Wal-Mart (WMT) and Costco (COST), to smaller retailers like Ross Stores (ROST) and Urban Outfitters (URBN)... Shares of Mylan (MYL) jumped 12.9% to $48.78 after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drug makers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid 6.16% to $146.90 in the wake of the shareholder vote... Cisco (CSCO) fell 5.8% after its first quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations but its guidance for the new quarter disappointed. A number of analysts that had been bullish on the name trimmed their price targets in response but also recommended the post-earnings weakness as a buying opportunity. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Springleaf Holdings (LEAF), which surged $5.07, or 11.5%, to $49.27 after reaching a settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice that will allow the company to proceed with closing its previously announced acquisition of OneMain Financial from Citi (C). On the closing of the acquisition, the company will be renamed OneMain Holdings and has applied to the New York Stock Exchange to change its ticker symbol to "OMF," Springleaf noted. Also higher was Illumina (ILMN), which gained $10.26, or 6.6%, to $165.65 after being selected to replace Sigma-Aldrich (SIAL) in the S&P 500. Among the noteworthy losers was Fossil (FOSL), which plunged $18.62, or 36.5%, to $32.39 after the watchmaker gave lower than expected profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and said it continues to expect this fiscal year's results to be "significantly" negatively impacted by foreign currency changes. Also lower were shares of Vipshop (VIPS), which fell $5.03, or 27%, to $13.60 after issuing weaker than expected preliminary third quarter revenue guidance, which it said was partially driven by the warmer-than-expected fall weather in China. INDEXES: The Dow dropped 202.83, or 1.16%, to 17,245.24, the Nasdaq lost 77.20, or 1.54%, to 4,927.88, and the S&P 500 declined 22.93, or 1.12%, to 2,023.04.
|14:21 EDT||WMT||Wal-Mart volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook |
Wal-Mart November call option implied volatility is at 34, December is at 25; compared to its 52-week range of 23 to 28, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 17.
|12:34 EDT||GME||On The Fly: Top stock stories at midday|
Stocks on Wall Street were lower at midday following worse than expected retail sales data in the U.S. and a report showing that the Eurozone's economic growth slowed last quarter. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined on Friday morning following the weaker than expected retail sales data reported by the government as well as third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). Each of the aforementioned department store operators slid following their reports, as did Macy's (M) and Kohl's (KSS), which reported on their own results earlier in the week. TJX Companies (TJX) and Ross Stores (ROST), which are both scheduled to report quarterly earnings next week, were also among those caught up in the weakness... Shares of Mylan (MYL) jumped 13% after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drugmakers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid 7% in the wake of the shareholder vote... Cisco (CSCO) fell 6% after its first quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations but its guidance for the new quarter disappointed. A number of analysts that had been bullish on the name trimmed their price targets in response but also recommended the post-earnings weakness as a buying opportunity. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Syngenta (SYT), which rallied 5% after Bloomberg reported that the company rejected an initial $42B offer from ChemChina. Also higher was Yum! Brands (YUM), which gained 4% after it reported positive year over year same store sales growth for its China division in October. Among the noteworthy losers was GameStop (GME), which fell 14% after its stock was downgraded at Pacific Crest and NPD estimated that video game software sale declined 3% last month compared to the same month of last year. Also lower was Fossil (FOSL), which plunged 33% after the watchmaker gave lower than expected profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and said it continues to expect this fiscal year's results to be "significantly" negatively impacted by foreign currency changes. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 88.19, or 0.51%, to 17,359.88, the Nasdaq was down 34.22, or 0.68%, to 4,970.86, and the S&P 500 was down 9.24, or 0.45%, to 2,036.73.
|10:48 EDT||GME||GameStop retreats after downgrade, NPD sales data|
Video game retailer GameStop (GME) is falling after its stock was downgraded by Pacifc Crest and a research firm estimated that video game software sale declined 3% last month compared to the same month of last year. Notably, the news comes after video game makers Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) have recently announced some upbeat news. WHAT'S NEW: Pacific Crest analyst Evan Wilson cut his rating on GameStrop to Sector Weight from Overweight, citing weaker than expected physical game sales, the growth of digital games, and the stock's gains. Noting that research firm NPD reported that sales of new physical software video games had dropped 3% year-over-year last month, Wilson says he is not as optimistic as he had been that the category will grow going forward. Additionally, the popularity of digital games, where GameStop's market share and profitability are much lower than in physical software, is hurting the retailer, the analyst stated. The new video games due out in 2016 don't look especially impressive, and before today's trading, GameStop's stock was approaching Wilson's previous price target, the analyst wrote. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Activision Blizzard's stock climbed November 11 and November 12 after the company announced that its new Call of Duty video game had generated more than $550M of sales in the first weekend it was available. In a note to investors on November 11, Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson said he still anticipates that Activision will sell 20.5M units of Call of Duty this year. However, he added that the estimate could prove conservative, given solid reviews of the game and a bigger next-gen console installed base. He kept an Overweight rating on the shares. On October 29, Electronic Arts reported stronger than expected second quarter results and provided stronger than expected Q3 guidance. The company's "Star Wars: Battlefront" game, due out November 17, has generally gotten good reviews from analysts. The video game should be "one of the strongest titles" this quarter, and should kick off an important franchise for the company, predicted Piper's Olson, who expects the company to sell 13.5M units of the game. He kept an $87 price target and Overweight rating on EA shares. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, GameStop dropped 12% to $39.20, Electronic Arts slid 1% to $70.93 and Activision fell 1.8% to $34.39.
|10:00 EDT||GME||On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary|
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Abbott (ABT) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Advance Auto Parts (AAP) downgraded after Q3 miss at Sterne Agee CRT... CafePress (PRSS) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... Ctrip.com (CTRP) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James... CubeSmart (CUBE) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James... Deutsche Bank (DB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi... Digital Ally (DGLY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Roth Capital... El Pollo Loco (LOCO) downgraded to Neutral at Baird... F5 Networks (FFIV) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... FirstMerit (FMER) downgraded on stock outperformance at Raymond James... Fly Leasing (FLY) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... GameStop (GME) downgraded on valuation, digital impact at Pacific Crest... Histogenics (HSGX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG... MaxPoint (MXPT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham... Memorial Resource (MRD) downgraded to Outperform at Scotia Howard Weil... Rite Aid (RAD) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Rubicon Minerals (RBY) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Canaccord... SABMiller (SBMRY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg... Sensata (ST) downgraded at SunTrust... Stryker (SYK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.
|09:50 EDT||GME||GameStop tumbles following NPD data, downgrade|
The stock was last at $39.02, down over 12% on the session. At that price next support is at $38.36. Resistance is at $40.50. October NPD video game software data showed a 3% decline. Pacific Crest downgraded the shares to Sector Weight.
|09:27 EDT||WMT||Wal-Mart upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast|
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|09:27 EDT||GME||On The Fly: Pre-market Movers |
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Blue Buffalo (BUFF), up 8.2%... Applied Materials (AMAT), up 3.8%... Planet Fitness (PLNT), up 9.8%... Lipocine (LPCN), up 16.2% after reporting quarterly results and that the FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of June 28, 2016. ALSO HIGHER: Mylan (MYL), up 10.9% after Perrgo (PRGO) shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed... Plug Power (PLUG), up 7.3% after entering into a strategic supply agreement with 3M (MMM)... Yum! Brands (YUM), up after reporting that October China Same-Store Sales are up 5%. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Fossil (FOSL), down 24.5%... Fossil (JWN), down 20.6%... El Pollo LoCo (LOCO), down 15.1%... Cisco (CSCO), down 4.1%.... Tyco (TYC), down 4.1%... J.C. Penney (JCP), down 6.8%. ALSO LOWER: Fitbit (FIT), down 8.4% after 17M share Secondary priced at $29.00... GameStop (GME), down 8% after being downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest... Lions Gate (LGF), down 2.6% after 3.4M share Spot Secondary priced at $39.43... Perrigo is down 10.5% after shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed.
|07:16 EDT||GME||GameStop downgraded on valuation, digital impact at Pacific Crest|
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|06:55 EDT||GME||GameStop downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest|
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|05:40 EDT||GME||October NPD video game software declined 3%, says Piper Jaffray|
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson says October NPD video game software declined 3% year-over-year, with Microsoft's (MSFT) Halo 5 being the top title by a "wide margin." Enough next generation hardware has now been sold to drive sustainable software growth on a quarterly basis, Olson tells investors in a research note. He maintains Overweight ratings on Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Electronic Arts (EA), GameStop (GME) and Take-Two (TTWO).