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July 30, 2014
09:31 EDTMSFT, GMEGameStop should be bought on weakness, says BB&T
BB&T thinks Electronics Arts' (EA) subscription deal with Microsoft (MSFT) is a non-event for GameStop (GME). The firm sees the decline in Electronic Arts as an overreaction and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
News For GME;MSFT From The Last 14 Days
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November 18, 2015
14:49 EDTMSFTEarnings Watch: Salesforce shares up 14% since last earnings report
Salesforce (CRM) is scheduled to report third quarter results after the market close on Wednesday, November 18, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Salesforce is a provider of enterprise cloud computing solutions that include apps and platform services. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 19c on revenue of $1.7B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 17c-20c on revenue of $1.68B-$1.72B. On its last earnings conference call, Salesforce gave Q3 EPS guidance of 18c-19c and revenue guidance of $1.69B-$1.7B. It also gave FY16 EPS guidance of 70c-72c and FY16 revenue of $6.6B-$6.63B. The company expects FY16 operating cash flow growth of approximately 34%-35%. Salesforce said it is now on pace to reach $7B run rate later this year. LAST QUARTER: On August 20, Salesforce reported second quarter EPS of 19c, beating the consensus analyst forecast of 18c. The company's revenue came in at $1.63B, topping the consensus estimate of $1.60B. It reported deferred revenue on balance of $3.03B as of July 31 and Q2 subscription and support revenue of $1.52B. Salesforce added that Q2 was the "best quarter ever" for the company due to momentum in Europe and growth in the adoption of its core platform. NEWS: Salesforce and Western Union (WU) announced an agreement for Western Union to use Sales Cloud, Community Cloud, Analytics Cloud and App Cloud to automate previously paper-based processes. Salesforce also announced plans to extend its strategic partnership with Microsoft (MSFT). The company said it would double its workforce in the Seattle area. STREET RESEARCH: Brean Capital said Salesforce should be a core holding due its new cloud targets, operating margin expansion and revenue growth in the 20%-30% range year over year. Jeffries said it was impressed with the company's DreamForce conference, but kept an Underperform rating on the stock because the net present value of new business may be negative for Salesforce at this time. In late September, Oppenheimer said that the company's checks were positive. It added that Salesforce's share of the market could be increasing and adds that Salesforce's platform strategy is becoming more popular with customers. PRICE ACTION: Salesforce shares are up over 14% since the company's Q2 report. In afternoon trading ahead of Thursday's report, Salesforce shares are up fractionally.
November 17, 2015
18:58 EDTMSFTMicrosoft CEO says building new cyber defense center, NBC reports
Speaking at the Microsoft Government Cloud Forum on Tuesday, CEO Satya Nadella revealed plans to open a Cyber Defense Operations Center, gathering security experts from across the company's suite of products in order to respond to security threats in real-time, reports NBC. Reference Link
10:20 EDTGMEOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: SGMS HZNP CSC ULTA RH BURL GME AEO BBRY TIF
09:02 EDTMSFTAnalyst pans competing products, says buy Fitbit
Shares of previous high-flier Fitbit (FIT) have dropped about 30% in the last two weeks following the company's third quarter earnings report, but an analyst at Bank of America upgraded his view of the fitness tracker maker this morning, saying that now is the time to buy ahead of fourth quarter results that may be boosted by the "underwhelming" new products being launched by its competitors. UNDERWHELMING COMPETITION: Fitbit's sales guidance for this holiday quarter looks conservative, contends Bank of America analyst Nat Schindler, who notes that the company only had the launch of one new product last December but will have the Charge, Charge HR and Surge to drive sales this season. Schindler also notes that the company's international advertising has expanded into more countries ahead of the holidays this year. Key, however, may be the "underwhelming" lineup of new or updated fitness trackers launched by competitors, such as the Microsoft's (MSFT) Band 2, Jawbone's UP4 and Sony's (SNE) Smartband 2, many of which have only minor improvements and no "must have" features to pull consumers away from Fitbit, Schindler told investors in his research note. PLATFORM PICKING UP STEAM: The analyst also pointed out that Fitbit now has more than 20 companies signed onto its health and wellness platform, including big names like Target (TGT) and Barclays (BCS), which he believes should help drive revenue beats in the upcoming fiscal year due to increased device sales. Also, the additional dashboard data should help Fitbit maintain long-term user engagement, said Schindler. APPLE WATCH: Apple's (AAPL) Apple Watch is largely viewed as the biggest potential competitive threat to Fitbit's offerings, but on the fitness tracker maker's last earnings call CEO James Park said Fitbit's products differ from those of its competitors in several key aspects, including pricing, cross-platform compatibility, brand awareness and product line breadth. Other wearables makers include Garmin (GRMN) and Samsung. PRICE ACTION: Since the day after Fitbit's last earnings report after the market close on November 2, its shares have fallen about 29.5% to close yesterday at $28.80. In pre-market trading this morning, Fitbit shares rose 2% to $29.40.
07:56 EDTMSFTUBS to hold a conference
Global Technology Conference is being held in San Francisco on November 16-18 with webcasted company presentations to begin on November 17 at 10:45 am.; not all company presentations may be webcasted. Webcast Link
06:16 EDTMSFTMicrosoft turns around flawed security technology, NY Times says
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November 16, 2015
17:02 EDTMSFTPoint72 added to lululemon position, subtracted from Netflix position
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16:00 EDTMSFTOptions Update; November 16, 2015
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November 15, 2015
19:29 EDTMSFTMicrosoft delays, possibly kills tool to translate Android apps, Re/code says
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November 13, 2015
16:00 EDTMSFTOptions Update; November 13, 2015
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12:34 EDTGMEOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street were lower at midday following worse than expected retail sales data in the U.S. and a report showing that the Eurozone's economic growth slowed last quarter. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined on Friday morning following the weaker than expected retail sales data reported by the government as well as third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). Each of the aforementioned department store operators slid following their reports, as did Macy's (M) and Kohl's (KSS), which reported on their own results earlier in the week. TJX Companies (TJX) and Ross Stores (ROST), which are both scheduled to report quarterly earnings next week, were also among those caught up in the weakness... Shares of Mylan (MYL) jumped 13% after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drugmakers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid 7% in the wake of the shareholder vote... Cisco (CSCO) fell 6% after its first quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations but its guidance for the new quarter disappointed. A number of analysts that had been bullish on the name trimmed their price targets in response but also recommended the post-earnings weakness as a buying opportunity. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Syngenta (SYT), which rallied 5% after Bloomberg reported that the company rejected an initial $42B offer from ChemChina. Also higher was Yum! Brands (YUM), which gained 4% after it reported positive year over year same store sales growth for its China division in October. Among the noteworthy losers was GameStop (GME), which fell 14% after its stock was downgraded at Pacific Crest and NPD estimated that video game software sale declined 3% last month compared to the same month of last year. Also lower was Fossil (FOSL), which plunged 33% after the watchmaker gave lower than expected profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and said it continues to expect this fiscal year's results to be "significantly" negatively impacted by foreign currency changes. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 88.19, or 0.51%, to 17,359.88, the Nasdaq was down 34.22, or 0.68%, to 4,970.86, and the S&P 500 was down 9.24, or 0.45%, to 2,036.73.
10:48 EDTGMEGameStop retreats after downgrade, NPD sales data
Video game retailer GameStop (GME) is falling after its stock was downgraded by Pacifc Crest and a research firm estimated that video game software sale declined 3% last month compared to the same month of last year. Notably, the news comes after video game makers Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) have recently announced some upbeat news. WHAT'S NEW: Pacific Crest analyst Evan Wilson cut his rating on GameStrop to Sector Weight from Overweight, citing weaker than expected physical game sales, the growth of digital games, and the stock's gains. Noting that research firm NPD reported that sales of new physical software video games had dropped 3% year-over-year last month, Wilson says he is not as optimistic as he had been that the category will grow going forward. Additionally, the popularity of digital games, where GameStop's market share and profitability are much lower than in physical software, is hurting the retailer, the analyst stated. The new video games due out in 2016 don't look especially impressive, and before today's trading, GameStop's stock was approaching Wilson's previous price target, the analyst wrote. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Activision Blizzard's stock climbed November 11 and November 12 after the company announced that its new Call of Duty video game had generated more than $550M of sales in the first weekend it was available. In a note to investors on November 11, Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson said he still anticipates that Activision will sell 20.5M units of Call of Duty this year. However, he added that the estimate could prove conservative, given solid reviews of the game and a bigger next-gen console installed base. He kept an Overweight rating on the shares. On October 29, Electronic Arts reported stronger than expected second quarter results and provided stronger than expected Q3 guidance. The company's "Star Wars: Battlefront" game, due out November 17, has generally gotten good reviews from analysts. The video game should be "one of the strongest titles" this quarter, and should kick off an important franchise for the company, predicted Piper's Olson, who expects the company to sell 13.5M units of the game. He kept an $87 price target and Overweight rating on EA shares. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, GameStop dropped 12% to $39.20, Electronic Arts slid 1% to $70.93 and Activision fell 1.8% to $34.39.
10:00 EDTGMEOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Abbott (ABT) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Advance Auto Parts (AAP) downgraded after Q3 miss at Sterne Agee CRT... CafePress (PRSS) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... (CTRP) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James... CubeSmart (CUBE) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James... Deutsche Bank (DB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi... Digital Ally (DGLY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Roth Capital... El Pollo Loco (LOCO) downgraded to Neutral at Baird... F5 Networks (FFIV) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... FirstMerit (FMER) downgraded on stock outperformance at Raymond James... Fly Leasing (FLY) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... GameStop (GME) downgraded on valuation, digital impact at Pacific Crest... Histogenics (HSGX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG... MaxPoint (MXPT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham... Memorial Resource (MRD) downgraded to Outperform at Scotia Howard Weil... Rite Aid (RAD) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Rubicon Minerals (RBY) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Canaccord... SABMiller (SBMRY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg... Sensata (ST) downgraded at SunTrust... Stryker (SYK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.
09:50 EDTGMEGameStop tumbles following NPD data, downgrade
The stock was last at $39.02, down over 12% on the session. At that price next support is at $38.36. Resistance is at $40.50. October NPD video game software data showed a 3% decline. Pacific Crest downgraded the shares to Sector Weight.
09:35 EDTMSFTActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL CSCO FB BAC BABA MSFT NFLX INTC JCP AMZN C
09:27 EDTGMEOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Blue Buffalo (BUFF), up 8.2%... Applied Materials (AMAT), up 3.8%... Planet Fitness (PLNT), up 9.8%... Lipocine (LPCN), up 16.2% after reporting quarterly results and that the FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of June 28, 2016. ALSO HIGHER: Mylan (MYL), up 10.9% after Perrgo (PRGO) shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed... Plug Power (PLUG), up 7.3% after entering into a strategic supply agreement with 3M (MMM)... Yum! Brands (YUM), up after reporting that October China Same-Store Sales are up 5%. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Fossil (FOSL), down 24.5%... Fossil (JWN), down 20.6%... El Pollo LoCo (LOCO), down 15.1%... Cisco (CSCO), down 4.1%.... Tyco (TYC), down 4.1%... J.C. Penney (JCP), down 6.8%. ALSO LOWER: Fitbit (FIT), down 8.4% after 17M share Secondary priced at $29.00... GameStop (GME), down 8% after being downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest... Lions Gate (LGF), down 2.6% after 3.4M share Spot Secondary priced at $39.43... Perrigo is down 10.5% after shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed.
07:16 EDTGMEGameStop downgraded on valuation, digital impact at Pacific Crest
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06:55 EDTGMEGameStop downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest
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06:27 EDTMSFTMicrosoft brings major updates to Xbox One, WSJ reports
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05:40 EDTGMEOctober NPD video game software declined 3%, says Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson says October NPD video game software declined 3% year-over-year, with Microsoft's (MSFT) Halo 5 being the top title by a "wide margin." Enough next generation hardware has now been sold to drive sustainable software growth on a quarterly basis, Olson tells investors in a research note. He maintains Overweight ratings on Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Electronic Arts (EA), GameStop (GME) and Take-Two (TTWO).
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