|August 21, 2014|
|18:22 EDT||INTU, MRVL, ROST, ARO, GPS, CRM, HD, OGXI, TFM, GME||On The Fly: After Hours Movers |
UP AFTER EARNINGS: GameStop (GME), up 6.3%... salesforce.com (CRM), up 1.4%... Ross Stores (ROST), up 6.3%... The Fresh Market (TFM), up 8.1%... Gap (GPS), up 1.2% after reporting second quarter results above analyst estimates and announcing plans to open the first franchise-operated Gap stores in India in 2015... Marvell Technology (MRVL), up 1.1%. ALSO HIGHER: OncoGenex (OGXI), up 6.4% after Phase 3 ENSPIRIT Trial passes early interim futility analysis. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Aeropostale (ARO), down 6.7%... Intuit (INTU), down 1.2%. ALSO LOWER: Home Depot (HD), down fractionally after announcing that Craig Menear will replace Frank Blake as CEO.
News For GME;CRM;ROST;TFM;GPS;MRVL;OGXI;ARO;INTU;HD From The Last 14 Days
|November 16, 2015|
|14:38 EDT||HD||Home Depot November 120 straddle priced for 4.4% movement into Q3|
|14:28 EDT||HD||Home Depot technical notes ahead of earnings|
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|10:40 EDT||HD||Earnings Watch: Home Depot reports following recent rout among retailers|
Home Depot (HD), a home improvement retailer, is scheduled to report third quarter results before the market opens on Tuesday, November 17, with a conference call scheduled for 9:00 am ET. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $1.32 on revenue of $21.76B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is $1.28-$1.37 on revenue of $21.16B-$22B. LAST QUARTER: On August 18, Home Depot reported second quarter adjusted EPS of $1.71 on revenue of $24.83B, generally in line with analysts' consensus estimates of $1.71 and $24.69B, respectively. The company said same-store sales increased 4.2% year-over-year, with U.S. SSS up 5.7%. The company raised its fiscal year 2015 EPS growth view to 13% from 11%-12% and its FY15 revenue growth forecast to 5.2%-6% from 4%-4.6%. The company previously raised its FY15 EPS growth view to 11%-12% and revenue growth view to 4.2%-4.8% from 3.5%-4.7%. Home Depot also said it sees FY15 SSS to be up 4.1%-4.9% y/y, an increase from its prior view of 4%-4.6% growth. Home Depot said at the time that it expected to repurchase an additional $3.9B of shares during the remainder of the year for a total of $7B. NEWS: On its last earnings conference call, Home Depot said the increased guidance reflects the outperformance of Q2 and the expected benefits of the Interline Brands acquisition. The company also noted that it will tap the long-term debt markets in the fall. During the quarter, Home Depot completed the $1.63B acquisition of Interline. STREET RESEARCH: UBS raised its price target on Home Depot to $138 from $129 on the day after its last earnings release, saying it sees several factors that could drive upside, including the addition of the Interline platform and system enhancements. PRICE ACTION: Last week, while retailers Macy's (M), Nordstrom (JWN) and numerous others in the space reported worse than expected quarterly results and gave downbeat guidance, Home Depot shares declined about 4.7%. Over the last three months, Home Depot shares are up about 1%. In early trading ahead of Tuesday's earnings, shares in Home Depot slipped about 0.25% to $119.74.
|05:30 EDT||CRM||Stocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; ODP CRM|
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|05:28 EDT||HD||Stocks with implied volatility movement; HD ETP|
Stocks with implied volatility movement; Home Depot (HD) 26, Energy Transfer Partners (ETP) 49 according to iVolatility.
|November 13, 2015|
|16:24 EDT||ROST||On The Fly: Top stock stories for Friday|
Stocks on Wall Street ended a tough week on a down note, falling after the Commerce Department reported that retail sales grew by an anemic 0.1% last month. This data comes on the heels of this week's downbeat quarterly report from Macy's (M) and a similarly disappointing report last night from peer Nordstrom (JWN). ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined following the weaker than expected retail sales data reported by the government as well as third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom and J.C. Penney (JCP), which fell 15% and 15.5% respectively. Virtually every mass-market, brick-and-mortar retailer was down today, from giants like Wal-Mart (WMT) and Costco (COST), to smaller retailers like Ross Stores (ROST) and Urban Outfitters (URBN)... Shares of Mylan (MYL) jumped 12.9% to $48.78 after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drug makers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid 6.16% to $146.90 in the wake of the shareholder vote... Cisco (CSCO) fell 5.8% after its first quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations but its guidance for the new quarter disappointed. A number of analysts that had been bullish on the name trimmed their price targets in response but also recommended the post-earnings weakness as a buying opportunity. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Springleaf Holdings (LEAF), which surged $5.07, or 11.5%, to $49.27 after reaching a settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice that will allow the company to proceed with closing its previously announced acquisition of OneMain Financial from Citi (C). On the closing of the acquisition, the company will be renamed OneMain Holdings and has applied to the New York Stock Exchange to change its ticker symbol to "OMF," Springleaf noted. Also higher was Illumina (ILMN), which gained $10.26, or 6.6%, to $165.65 after being selected to replace Sigma-Aldrich (SIAL) in the S&P 500. Among the noteworthy losers was Fossil (FOSL), which plunged $18.62, or 36.5%, to $32.39 after the watchmaker gave lower than expected profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and said it continues to expect this fiscal year's results to be "significantly" negatively impacted by foreign currency changes. Also lower were shares of Vipshop (VIPS), which fell $5.03, or 27%, to $13.60 after issuing weaker than expected preliminary third quarter revenue guidance, which it said was partially driven by the warmer-than-expected fall weather in China. INDEXES: The Dow dropped 202.83, or 1.16%, to 17,245.24, the Nasdaq lost 77.20, or 1.54%, to 4,927.88, and the S&P 500 declined 22.93, or 1.12%, to 2,023.04.
|12:34 EDT||GME||On The Fly: Top stock stories at midday|
Stocks on Wall Street were lower at midday following worse than expected retail sales data in the U.S. and a report showing that the Eurozone's economic growth slowed last quarter. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined on Friday morning following the weaker than expected retail sales data reported by the government as well as third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). Each of the aforementioned department store operators slid following their reports, as did Macy's (M) and Kohl's (KSS), which reported on their own results earlier in the week. TJX Companies (TJX) and Ross Stores (ROST), which are both scheduled to report quarterly earnings next week, were also among those caught up in the weakness... Shares of Mylan (MYL) jumped 13% after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drugmakers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid 7% in the wake of the shareholder vote... Cisco (CSCO) fell 6% after its first quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations but its guidance for the new quarter disappointed. A number of analysts that had been bullish on the name trimmed their price targets in response but also recommended the post-earnings weakness as a buying opportunity. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Syngenta (SYT), which rallied 5% after Bloomberg reported that the company rejected an initial $42B offer from ChemChina. Also higher was Yum! Brands (YUM), which gained 4% after it reported positive year over year same store sales growth for its China division in October. Among the noteworthy losers was GameStop (GME), which fell 14% after its stock was downgraded at Pacific Crest and NPD estimated that video game software sale declined 3% last month compared to the same month of last year. Also lower was Fossil (FOSL), which plunged 33% after the watchmaker gave lower than expected profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and said it continues to expect this fiscal year's results to be "significantly" negatively impacted by foreign currency changes. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 88.19, or 0.51%, to 17,359.88, the Nasdaq was down 34.22, or 0.68%, to 4,970.86, and the S&P 500 was down 9.24, or 0.45%, to 2,036.73.
|10:48 EDT||GME||GameStop retreats after downgrade, NPD sales data|
Video game retailer GameStop (GME) is falling after its stock was downgraded by Pacifc Crest and a research firm estimated that video game software sale declined 3% last month compared to the same month of last year. Notably, the news comes after video game makers Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) have recently announced some upbeat news. WHAT'S NEW: Pacific Crest analyst Evan Wilson cut his rating on GameStrop to Sector Weight from Overweight, citing weaker than expected physical game sales, the growth of digital games, and the stock's gains. Noting that research firm NPD reported that sales of new physical software video games had dropped 3% year-over-year last month, Wilson says he is not as optimistic as he had been that the category will grow going forward. Additionally, the popularity of digital games, where GameStop's market share and profitability are much lower than in physical software, is hurting the retailer, the analyst stated. The new video games due out in 2016 don't look especially impressive, and before today's trading, GameStop's stock was approaching Wilson's previous price target, the analyst wrote. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Activision Blizzard's stock climbed November 11 and November 12 after the company announced that its new Call of Duty video game had generated more than $550M of sales in the first weekend it was available. In a note to investors on November 11, Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson said he still anticipates that Activision will sell 20.5M units of Call of Duty this year. However, he added that the estimate could prove conservative, given solid reviews of the game and a bigger next-gen console installed base. He kept an Overweight rating on the shares. On October 29, Electronic Arts reported stronger than expected second quarter results and provided stronger than expected Q3 guidance. The company's "Star Wars: Battlefront" game, due out November 17, has generally gotten good reviews from analysts. The video game should be "one of the strongest titles" this quarter, and should kick off an important franchise for the company, predicted Piper's Olson, who expects the company to sell 13.5M units of the game. He kept an $87 price target and Overweight rating on EA shares. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, GameStop dropped 12% to $39.20, Electronic Arts slid 1% to $70.93 and Activision fell 1.8% to $34.39.
|10:19 EDT||ROST||Retailer weakness renewed following Nordstrom, J.C. Penney reports|
Shares of department store retailers, and others in the retail space, plunged on Friday morning following third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). WHAT'S NEW: Nordstrom reported Q3 earnings per share of 42c, against analyst estimates of 72c, Q3 revenue of $3.24B below consensus estimates of $3.37B. Same-store sales for the quarter increased 0.9%. Nordstrom said its quarterly performance reflected softer trends that were generally consistent across channels and merchandise categories. The company also lowered its FY15 adjusted EPS view to $3.40-$3.50 from $3.70-$3.80, against analysts' expectations of $3.75, lowered its FY15 revenue guidance to up 7.5%-8% from 8.5%-9.5% and lowered its FY15 SSS view to 2.5%-3% from 3.5%-4.5%. Meanwhile, J.C. Penney reported a smaller than expected loss, with adjusted EPS of (47c) on revenue of $2.9B, beating analysts' estimates of (55c) and $2.88B, respectively. Same-store sales for the quarter were up 6.4%. The company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2015 view for a 4%-5% increase in SSS and said on its earnings conference call that it believes fourth quarter comps will be in line with FY15 expectations and also reaffirmed expectations of $1.2B in EBITDA in 2017. The company still expects to be cash flow breakeven in FY15 and confirmed reports that it recently cut 300 positions at its Plano, Texas office. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Macy's (M), which generally competes more with Nordstrom, reported Q3 revenue that missed analysts' expectations on Wednesday, and the retailer cut its FY15 EPS view to $4.20-$4.30 excluding charges from $4.70-$4.80, also well below estimates calling for $4.65, with total sales down 2.7%-3.1%, compared to previous guidance of down about 1%. Macy's now sees FY15 SSS on an owned plus licensed basis down by 1.8% to 2.2%, compared with previous guidance of approximately flat. Macy's noted "tepid" spending by U.S. customers in Q3, and provided Q4 EPS of $2.54-$2.64, well below analysts' consensus estimates of $2.90. Kohl's (KSS), which competes more closely with J.C. Penney, reported Q3 results that beat analysts' estimates on Thursday, with EPS of 75c on revenue of $4.43B, against estimates for 69c and $4.4B, respectively, and SSS up 1%. The company said it believes it can "hit" FY15 EPS guidance of the low end of $4.40-$4.60, but forecast negative weather trends in Q4. Macy's is more dependent on tourist spending than Kohl's. ANALYSTS' REACTION: Deutsche Bank analyst Paul Trussell says he's "disappointed and shaken" by Nordstrom's weaker than expected Q3 results and guidance and cut his price target to $66 from $84. Citi analyst Paul Lejuez cut his price target on Nordstrom to $65 from $92 and called the retailer's results a "sucker punch." Credit Suisse analyst Michael Extein also lowered his target on Nordstrom to $60 from $75. Stifel maintained its price target on Nordstrom and said it expects ROIC to improve and EPS growth to accelerate over the longer term. REPORTS TO COME: TJX Companies (TJX) and Ross Stores (ROST), which are also being hit by the plunge in the retail sector, will report quarterly earnings on November 17 and November 19, respectively. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, shares of Nordstrom are down 17% to $52.56 and shares of J.C. Penney are lower by nearly 9% to $8.01. Much of the rest of the retail sector is lower this morning, with Macy's down over 3%, Kohl's plunging 8%, TJX down more than 5% and Ross down nearly 5%. Fossil (FOSL), which also reported earnings yesterday, is down almost 32%.
|10:00 EDT||GME||On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary|
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Abbott (ABT) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Advance Auto Parts (AAP) downgraded after Q3 miss at Sterne Agee CRT... CafePress (PRSS) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... Ctrip.com (CTRP) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James... CubeSmart (CUBE) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James... Deutsche Bank (DB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi... Digital Ally (DGLY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Roth Capital... El Pollo Loco (LOCO) downgraded to Neutral at Baird... F5 Networks (FFIV) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... FirstMerit (FMER) downgraded on stock outperformance at Raymond James... Fly Leasing (FLY) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... GameStop (GME) downgraded on valuation, digital impact at Pacific Crest... Histogenics (HSGX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG... MaxPoint (MXPT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham... Memorial Resource (MRD) downgraded to Outperform at Scotia Howard Weil... Rite Aid (RAD) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Rubicon Minerals (RBY) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Canaccord... SABMiller (SBMRY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg... Sensata (ST) downgraded at SunTrust... Stryker (SYK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.
|09:50 EDT||GME||GameStop tumbles following NPD data, downgrade|
The stock was last at $39.02, down over 12% on the session. At that price next support is at $38.36. Resistance is at $40.50. October NPD video game software data showed a 3% decline. Pacific Crest downgraded the shares to Sector Weight.
|09:27 EDT||GME||On The Fly: Pre-market Movers |
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Blue Buffalo (BUFF), up 8.2%... Applied Materials (AMAT), up 3.8%... Planet Fitness (PLNT), up 9.8%... Lipocine (LPCN), up 16.2% after reporting quarterly results and that the FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of June 28, 2016. ALSO HIGHER: Mylan (MYL), up 10.9% after Perrgo (PRGO) shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed... Plug Power (PLUG), up 7.3% after entering into a strategic supply agreement with 3M (MMM)... Yum! Brands (YUM), up after reporting that October China Same-Store Sales are up 5%. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Fossil (FOSL), down 24.5%... Fossil (JWN), down 20.6%... El Pollo LoCo (LOCO), down 15.1%... Cisco (CSCO), down 4.1%.... Tyco (TYC), down 4.1%... J.C. Penney (JCP), down 6.8%. ALSO LOWER: Fitbit (FIT), down 8.4% after 17M share Secondary priced at $29.00... GameStop (GME), down 8% after being downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest... Lions Gate (LGF), down 2.6% after 3.4M share Spot Secondary priced at $39.43... Perrigo is down 10.5% after shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed.
|08:37 EDT||CRM||Salesforce volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook |
Salesforce November call option implied volatility is at 74, December is at 45, January is at 40; compared to its 52-week range of 27 to 60, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 18.
|08:05 EDT||TFM||Roundy's buyout shows Fresh Market undervalued, sayst Jefferies|
Jefferies analyst Mark Wiltamuth says Kroger's (KR) acquisition of Roundy's (RNDY) reaffirms his view that The Fresh Market (TFM) is undervalued. Fresh Market shares trade at 6 times EV/EBITDA, below the 6.9 times EV/EBITDA paid by Kroger for Roundy's, and the company has a "superior" margin, free cash flow and growth profile, Wiltamuth tells investors in a research note. With a new CEO exploring strategic options, either a "buyout or a new turnaround effort are brewing" for Fresh Market, the analyst contends. He keeps a Buy rating on the stock with a $29 price target.
|07:16 EDT||GME||GameStop downgraded on valuation, digital impact at Pacific Crest|
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|06:55 EDT||GME||GameStop downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest|
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|05:40 EDT||GME||October NPD video game software declined 3%, says Piper Jaffray|
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson says October NPD video game software declined 3% year-over-year, with Microsoft's (MSFT) Halo 5 being the top title by a "wide margin." Enough next generation hardware has now been sold to drive sustainable software growth on a quarterly basis, Olson tells investors in a research note. He maintains Overweight ratings on Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Electronic Arts (EA), GameStop (GME) and Take-Two (TTWO).
|05:24 EDT||CRM||Stocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; ODP CRM|
Stocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; Office Depot (ODP) 108, Salesforce (CRM) 48 according to iVolatility.
|November 12, 2015|
|16:23 EDT||OGXI||OncoGenex reports Q3 EPS (16c), consensus (17c)|
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|12:09 EDT||GPS||Old Navy: More than 800 stores to open at 4 pm on Thanksgiving Day|
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