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March 14, 2014
12:31 EDTCTB, CELG, GIS, ULTA, ARO, SBUX, GMCROn The Fly: Midday Wrap
Stocks on Wall Street traded in a narrow band on either side of the flat-line in the early going, as the news flow continues to be dominated by developments between Russia and Ukraine. Stocks opened in quiet fashion and moved to the upside early in the session. The market was unable to hold its gains, however, and reversed course following a report that indicated that consumer sentiment has fallen this month. The averages crossed back into positive territory right before noon, but the market has remained in a narrow range throughout the morning's swings. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., producer prices fell 0.1% overall in February, versus an expected increase of 0.2%. The core reading, which excludes food and energy, fell 0.2%, versus an expected increase of 0.1%. The Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey for March unexpectedly dropped to a four-month low of 79.9. The preliminary reading for the month was expected by analysts to have come in at 81.8, which would have been a slight bump from the prior 81.6 figure. In Europe, one person reportedly died and several were injured after violent clashes in the Ukrainian city of Donetsk amid demonstrations from those opposed to Russia’s military intervention in Crimea. Also, reports indicated the Russian military conducted another military exercise near Ukraine on Thursday. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of single-serve coffee machine maker Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) rose nearly 9% after the company agreed to new terms in its deal with coffee giant Starbucks (SBUX). Research firm Buckingham said its views Keurig's amended deal with Starbucks as a positive event for both companies. The new agreement lets Keurig pursue additional premium unlicensed brands and provides Starbucks an opportunity for better margins, said the firm... Shares of teen retailer Aeropostale (ARO) fell almost 14% after its fourth quarter results and first quarter outlook missed analysts' consensus expectations. The retailer also entered a financing deal with private equity firm Sycamore Partners for a strategic partnership and $150M in senior secured credit facilities. Aeropostale will also issue convertible preferred stock to Sycamore that gives the firm the right to acquire up to 5% of the company's common stock at an exercise price of $7.25, the closing price of the company's common stock on March 12. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was beauty retailer Ulta Salon (ULTA), which advanced over 7% after the company’s fourth quarter results beat estimates. Also higher following its quarterly earnings report was tire maker Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB), which rose nearly 8%. Among the noteworthy losers was Celgene (CELG), which dropped almost 3% after the U.K.'s healthcare guidance body issued new draft guidance on the use of the company's Revlimid drug. Also lower were shares of cereal and packaged foods maker General Mills (GIS), which slid 2% after the company warned its third quarter earnings could miss expectations. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was up 1.15, or 0.01%, to 16,110.04, the Nasdaq was up 1.74, or 0.04%, to 4,262.16, and the S&P 500 was virtually unchanged at 1,846.36.
News For GMCR;SBUX;ARO;ULTA;CELG;CTB;GIS From The Last 14 Days
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November 18, 2015
09:06 EDTGISHain Celestial weakness looks overdone, says Bernstein
Bernstein notes that Hain Celestial (HAIN) is now trading at a lower valuation than a number of "ostensibly more challenged food companies like" Kellogg (K) and General Mills (GIS). The firm expects the company to benefit over the longer term from current food trends. It trimmed its price target on the name to $50 from $60 and keeps an Outperform rating.
08:47 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain expanding KOLD beverage lineup with cocktail mixers
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08:36 EDTSBUXStarbucks sees expanding gross margin in 2016
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08:20 EDTSBUXStarbucks sees no impact from economic weakness in China
Says lunch and afternoon offerings are increasingly relevant to customers. Says has started to roll out Evenings program in multiple stores. Says food makes up 20% of sales, up from 17% a few years ago. Says goal to have food make up 25% of sales. Says Morning Daypart sales up 22% over past five years. Says "a lot of opportunity" in lunch. Says breakfast sandwich sales have doubled over past three years. Says all comp growth in China is traffic. Says growing store portfolio in China at 30% per year clip. Sees no impact from economic weakness in China.
08:15 EDTSBUXStarbucks CFO: 1,500 stores in U.S. have Clover machines, up 50% y/y
Says 1,500 stores have Clover machines now in the U.S., up 50% year over year. Sees selling premium coffees in more international markets. Sees opening 500 larger-format reserve cafes. Says focusing on elevating tea presence in stores. Says Teavana brand driving revenue growth, contributing to comp growth. Plans to have Teavana in more Starbucks stores worldwide.
08:10 EDTSBUXStarbucks sees annual EPS growth of at least 15%
Sees annual revenue growth of about 10%. Says at mid-to-single digit comps each quarter. Says growing comps at 8%. Says playing "the long game." Says growth built on innovation, store experience. Says will see softness in topline unless it invests heavily in store experience. Says food is growing faster than beverage in U.S. stores. Says started to invest in "partner digital." Says customer-facing digital apps and technology is industry leading, though lagging behind in partner-facing digital technology. Says employee turnover is down. Comments taken from Morgan Stanley Global Consumer and Retail Conference.
07:19 EDTSBUXDunkin' Donuts tests mobile ordering app, Bloomberg reports
Dunkin' Donuts, owned by Dunkin' Brands (DNKN), is aiming to play catch up to Starbucks (SBUX) by testing a mobile ordering and delivery service in certain U.S. markets, Bloomberg reports. Starting Wednesday, 124 Dunkin' locations in Portland, Maine, will let customers order ahead of time through an app, the report says. Roughly 19 cafes in Dallas are also testing the delivery, with additional locations in Atlanta, Chicago, L.A., and Washington coming soon, the report says. Reference Link
05:11 EDTGMCRStocks with implied volatility movement; GMCR CHK
Stocks with implied volatility movement; Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) 94, Chesapeake (CHK) 99 according to iVolatility.
November 17, 2015
10:20 EDTULTAOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: SGMS HZNP CSC ULTA RH BURL GME AEO BBRY TIF
08:29 EDTULTAULTA Beauty December volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
ULTA Beauty November call option implied volatility is at 41, December is at 52, March is at 41; compared to its 52-week range of 17 to 54, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on December 3.
08:22 EDTCELGSignificant Celgene overhang removed, says JMP Securities
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07:58 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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07:52 EDTSBUXMorgan Stanley to hold a conference
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November 16, 2015
17:02 EDTSBUXPoint72 added to lululemon position, subtracted from Netflix position
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13:11 EDTCELGCelgene jumps 2% after defeating Kyle Bass patent challenge
Shares of Celgene moved higher after the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office declined to review a Revlimid patent expiring in 2019. The USPTO found that that Bass's Coalition for Affordable Drugs was unlikely to succeed, according to Bloomberg. Shares of Celgene are up 2%, or $1.64, to $190.13 in afternoon trading. The agency is reviewing two other patents on the drug.
13:08 EDTCELGCelgene defeats Bass challenege on Revlimid patent, Bloomberg reports
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10:43 EDTULTAOptions with increasing implied volatility
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November 13, 2015
11:02 EDTCELGCelgene calls active on renewed takeover chatter
Celgene November weekly 111 and 112 calls are active on total call volume of 9K contracts (3K puts) on renewed takeover chatter. November weekly call option implied volatility is at 82, November is at 42, December is at 35; compared to its 52-week range of 23 to 54. Active call volume suggests traders taking positions for large price movement.
10:58 EDTCELGRumor: Celgene moves up on renewed takeover chatter
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November 12, 2015
11:58 EDTGMCRStocks with call strike movement; GMCR ESV
Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) March 55 call option implied volatility decreased 10% to 56, Ensco (ESV) March 19 call option implied volatility increased 6% to 55 according to iVolatility.
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