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July 29, 2015
16:00 EDTFBOptions Update; July 29, 2015
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15:59 EDTFBNotable companies reporting after market close
Notable companies reporting after the market close, with earnings consensus, include Facebook (FB), consensus 47c... MetLife (MET), consensus $1.48... Williams (WMB), consensus 24c... Vertex (VRTX), consensus (58c)... O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY), consensus $2.26... NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), consensus $1.37... Marriott (MAR), consensus 81c... Fiserv (FISV), consensus 94c... Western Digital (WDC), consensus $1.45... SBA Communications (SBAC), consensus 9c... Whole Foods (WFM), consensus 45c... Lincoln National (LNC), consensus $1.53... Lam Research (LRCX), consensus $1.47... ServiceNow (NOW), consensus (2c)... Qorvo (QRVO), consensus $1.06... Hologic (HOLX), consensus 39c.
15:08 EDTFBNotable companies reporting after market close
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14:49 EDTFBFacebook July weekly 96 straddle priced for 8.2% movement into Q2
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12:37 EDTFBEarnings Watch: Analysts upbeat on Facebook revenue drivers ahead of Q2 report
Facebook (FB) is expected to report second quarter earnings after the market close on Wednesday, July 29 with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Facebook is a social networking service with over 1B active users. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 47c on revenue of $3.99B. The consensus range is 39c-54c for EPS, and $3.66B-$4.22B for revenue, according to First Call. LAST QUARTER: Facebook reported first quarter EPS of 42c against estimates of 40c, on revenue of $3.54B against estimates of $3.56B. Facebook reported Q1 daily active users were up 17% to 936M and mobile daily active users were up 31% to 798M. Monthly active users were 1.44B as of March 31, 2015. The company said Instagram has more than 200M daily users. During its Q1 earnings conference call, Facebook said it expects Foreign Exchange headwinds in Q2 will be greater than Q1. It said it expects total payments and other fees revenue to decline year-over-year for the remainder of the year. NEWS: In the past quarter, Facebook introduced video calling and Moneypenny features to its Messenger service. It also announced the platform and its Instant Articles for publishers. Re/code said Facebook may be mulling a Twitter (TWTR) acquisition, but Facebook declined to comment. A New York Times article said Facebook is in talks to insert music videos in feeds. Facebook also said there was no truth to a rumor that said it may launch a music streaming service. STREET RESEARCH: Most analyst firms in the past quarter gave positive recommendations on Facebook, citing strong revenue drivers from multiple sources, SunTrust said Facebook could get a significant revenue boost from its Instagram move and expects the Buy button could lift revenue 5%-10%. Piper Jaffray said Facebook’s multiple is expected to increase as investors become more aware of VR, adding that the company is the best play on the “next computer paradigm of virtual reality.” JMP Securities say Facebook is expected to continue its growth in ad share as Instagram engagement and monthly average users continue to grow. Ahead of the Q2 earnings report, ITG Research said Q2 revenue is tracking slight above consensus and BTIG expects Facebook to exceed consensus estimates due to higher confidence in video advertising opportunity. Brean Capital said Facebook will face ForEx headwinds in Q2, but quarterly results are less relevant as investors will be focused on the long-term goals. PRICE ACTION: Facebook shares have gained about 13% since the first day of trading following the company's Q1 report. In Wednesday afternoon trading ahead of its Q2 report, Facebook shares are up 0.5%
11:48 EDTFBStocks with call strike movement; FB GILD
Facebook (FB) December 110 call option implied volatility decreased 3% to 32, Gilead (GILD) November 130 call option implied volatility decreased 9% to 29 according to IVolatility.
11:15 EDTFBFacebook July weekly 95 straddle priced for 8.7% movement into Q2
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11:07 EDTFBFacebook technical comments ahead of results
On the daily chart there is a potential bullish flag that has developed in the last two weeks. If the news is strongly bullish, the flag pattern would become active on a move above $96.50. Upside potential for the pattern, if it triggers and completes, is to the $110 to $112 area. If the news is instead a negative surprise, first established support would be at the $90 area. On a breakdown below $90, next support would be at the 50-day moving average at $86.16. If the 50-day is broken, next support is at $84.74. The $83 to $80 zone has been strong support over the prior year in the event of a larger negative surprise.
09:35 EDTFBActive equity options trading on open
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06:40 EDTFBFacebook testing profile tags feature, Verge reports
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06:23 EDTFBFacebook July weekly volatility elevated into Q2 and outlook
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06:07 EDTFBFacebook expected to present mobile revenue increase, Re/code says
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06:01 EDTZNGAStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; ZNGA GMCR
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July 28, 2015
16:00 EDTFBOptions Update; July 28, 2015
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11:42 EDTFBStocks with call strike movement; FB GILD
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10:47 EDTFBUBS says YouTube paid service could be $1B business
Google's (GOOG, GOOGL) revenue could increase by about $1B or more if it decides to offer a paid, ad free version of its YouTube website in the U.S., UBS wrote in a note to investors today. The firm made the estimate based on a survey it conducted of U.S. consumers. WHAT'S NEW: YouTube remains well-positioned to benefit from the growth of online video, UBS analyst Eric Sheridan stated. After UBS conducted a survey of U.S. adult consumers, Sheridan reported that the survey found that 27% of U.S. consumers would probably subscribe to a paid, ad free version of YouTube. According to Bloomberg, YouTube has decided to launch such a service in coming months. If only 5% of U.S. YouTube users buy subscriptions to the service, Google's revenue would rise by about $943M, Sheridan estimated. Following the survey, the analyst is more confident that Google will meet his revenue estimates, which exceed consensus levels. Specifically, he predicted that Google's revenue for the second half of 2015 would come in at $32.4B, versus the consensus outlook of $31.8B, while its 2016 revenue would be $72.2B, compared with the consensus estimate of $69.7B. Sheridan kept a $750 price target and Buy rating on the stock. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Other companies that are significantly exposed to online video include Netflix (NFLX), Facebook (FB) and AOL, which has been acquired by Verizon (VZ). PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Google Class A shares were little changed at $657.55.
09:42 EDTFBActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL BIDU FB NFLX F T FCX TWTR
08:16 EDTFBFacebook July weekly volatility elevated into Q2 and outlook
Facebook July weekly call option implied volatility is at 109, August is at 52, September is at 41; compared to its 52-week range of 19 to 48, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q2 results on July 29.
06:21 EDTFBTwitter, Facebook profitability gap 'vast,' Re/code reports
Twitter's (TWTR) recent stock stumble has created the appearance of a potential bargain compared with Facebook (FB), though in reality the difference in growth and profitability between the two companies is enormous, the Wall Street Journal reports. Analysts forecast Twitter posting negative $200M in EBITDA this year, with Facebook expected to post positive $8B, the report says. Reference Link
July 27, 2015
16:00 EDTFBOptions Update; July 27, 2015
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