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July 24, 2014
12:32 EDTDHI, CAT, F, QCOM, DPS, ANGI, GM, TRIP, UA, SODA, FBOn The Fly: Midday Wrap
Stocks on Wall Street were slightly higher at midday amid another wave of earnings reports, headlined by Facebook (FB), Caterpillar (CAT), General Motors (GM) and Ford (F). The market has moved in a narrow range as investors try to digest the bevy of earnings reports that were released last night and this morning. The market has also had to battle a negative economic report on new home sales, which not only disappointed in June but saw the prior month revised lower as well. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., initial jobless claims dropped 19K to 284K in the week ended July 19. While the BLS said there were no special factors in the claims data, they also reminded that the numbers can be very volatile at this time of year due in part to auto shutdowns. Markit's flash U.S. PMI for July dipped 1 point to 56.3 from 57.3 in June. June new home sales fell 8.1% to a 406K rate, which was worse than expected, and May's data was downwardly revised. In China, HSBC's flash manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 52 in July from 50.7 a month earlier. COMPANY NEWS: Facebook achieved a new all-time high and its share price eclipsed $76, a level that was more than double the price of its initial public offering, after its revenue and profits beat expectations. After the report a number of Wall Street analysts hiked their price targets on the stock, with Jefferies and Topeka both raising their targets on the social network operator's stock to $100... Shares of General Motors declined more than 3% after its earnings per share, excluding special items, missed consensus expectations and its revenue also fell short of the analysts' forecast. The company took a $400M special charge related to its ignition switch compensation program, but cautioned that there is no cap on this program and it is possible the total cost could increase by another $200M. Also, GM recorded a non-cash pre-tax special charge of about $900M in the second quarter for the estimated costs of future possible recalls for "up to the next 10 years on 30M GM vehicles on the road today." In contrast, Ford reported earnings per share, excluding special items, and revenue that beat expectations and its stock rose 1%... Caterpillar dropped over 3% after its quarterly revenue missed expectations and it narrowed its outlook for full-year revenue. However, the heavy machine maker's earnings did beat the consensus forecast and it raised it fiscal year profit outlook. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Sodastream (SODA), which jumped nearly 20% after Bloomberg said the home beverage system maker is in talks with an investment firm on deal that would make it a private company and value it at about $828M, or $40 per share. Also higher following their earnings reports were Under Armour (UA), which rose 15%, and Dr. Pepper Snapple (DPS), which gained 5%. Among the noteworthy losers following their earnings reports were homebuilder DR Horton (DHI), which fell 10%, online travel company TripAdvisor (TRIP), which dropped 9%, and semiconductor chip maker Qualcomm (QCOM), which slid 6%. Also lower was review service operator Angie's List (ANGI), which plunged 19% after reporting second quarter losses per share and revenue that were worse than expected, prompting a number of downgrades of its stock by Wall Street analysts. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was up 8.25, or 0.05%, to 17,094.88, the Nasdaq was up 6.10, or 0.14%, to 4,479.80, and the S&P 500 was up 2.98, or 0.15%, to 1,989.99.
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September 27, 2015
16:24 EDTQCOMQualcomm commits to invest $150M in Indian startups
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September 25, 2015
16:35 EDTCATStocks end week lower as biotechs sink, Volkswagen crashes
Stocks ended the week lower after concerns about drug prices were reignited, sinking biotech stocks, an emissions scandal engulfed Volkswagen (VLKAY), dragging down shares of automakers and their suppliers, and Caterpillar (CAT) announced that it may eliminate as many as 10,000 jobs in the next three years as commodity prices continue to slump. MACRO NEWS: Following the Federal Reserve's decision last week to wait before raising rates, the central bank made a concerted effort to give the market more clarity this week. Over last weekend, three Federal Reserve officials - San Francisco Fed President John Williams, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker - all argued that an interest-rate increase is still warranted this year. Then, on Thursday night, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said during a speech at UMass Amherst that the central bank remains inclined to hike rates this year. Yellen's remarks were incrementally hawkish, but welcomed by the market, since they helped clarify the message the Fed delivered a week ago... In the U.S., Markit's flash manufacturing purchasing manager's index was flat at 53.0 in September, which was slightly better than the expectation for it to dip to 52.8. Durable goods orders for August declined 2.0%, versus expectations for a drop of 2.3%. When transportation items were removed, the core reading was breakeven, versus expectations for a rise of 0.1%. The third estimate of second quarter GDP showed the economy grew 3.9% quarter-over-quarter, versus expectations for the GDP growth estimate to stay at 3.7%. Personal consumption in Q2 is now believed to have grown 3.6%, up from the prior estimate of 3.1%. The final University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading for September came in at 87.2, which was down from August's 91.9 but above the expected 86.2 reading... The Asian Development Bank cut its growth forecast for the region, citing a weaker outlook for China and India and a delayed recovery in the world's advanced economies. The bank now sees the Chinese economy growing 6.8% this year and 6.7% next year, down from its previous forecasts of 7.2% and 7%, respectively. Markit's flash manufacturing PMI for China fell to 47.0 in September from 47.3 last month. Meanwhile, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe unveiled new economic targets, including a goal for a 20% increase in the target size of the Japanese economy to 600T yen, though he gave no timeframe for achieving this aspiration... In Europe, Markit's composite PMI for the eurozone came in at 53.9 in the first look for September, down from 54.3 in August and below expectations for a reading of 54.1. COMPANY NEWS: Biotech stocks declined after privately-held Turing Pharmaceuticals made headlines by enacting a 5,000% price increase on its treatment for toxoplasmosis, reigniting a debate around drug prices that previously embroiled costly Hepatitis C drugs including AbbVie's (ABBV) Viekira Pak and Gilead's (GILD) Sovaldi and Harvoni. Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton sent the debate to center stage by criticizing the "outrageous" prices of specialty drugs and laying out a plan to tackle "price gouging" in the specialty drug market. The NASDAQ Biotechnology index fell roughly xxx% for the week amid the attention paid to Turing's drug and Clinton's response... Volkswagen (VLKAY) shares trading in New York fell sharply to begin the week and ended the week far from where they'd been last Friday before the EPA said it found manipulations that violate U.S. environmental standards while testing certain of the automaker's diesel cars. The EPA said Volkswagen may face civil penalties of $37,500 for each vehicle not in compliance with federal clean air rules, which could total as much as $18B, according to Reuters. In the wake of the scandal, Chief Executive Officer Martin Winterkorn resigned, with the company's supervisory board subsequently praising the decision and selecting Matthias Mueller, the former head of Porsche (POAHY), as Winterkorn's successor as the company's new CEO... Caterpillar (CAT) shares dropped after the heavy machinery maker announced plans for job cuts and lowered its revenue guidance for this year and next. Caterpillar said that it would lay off 4,000-5,000 of its employees between now and the end of 2016 and could lay off up to 10,000 employees by 2018. Caterpillar cut its fiscal year 2015 revenue forecast by $1B and said its sees its fiscal year 2016 revenue to be 5% below this year, adding that it expects revenue declines in all three large segments next year... Online and mobile deal provider Groupon (GRPN) said it plans to cut 1,100 jobs relating primarily to the company's international operations... Nike jumped after the athletic gear giant reported better than expected earnings and futures orders, prompting numerous price target hikes and at least one upgrade at Street research firms. Among other companies reporting earnings this week, BlackBerry (BBRY), ConAgra (CAG), Carnival (CCL), and CarMax (KMX) fell immediately following their quarterly reports... Apple (AAPL), which has previously been reported to be working on an electric car via its "Project Titan," is speeding up those efforts and setting 2019 as a target to ship its first vehicle, according to The Wall Street Journal... Against the backdrop of China's President Xi Jinping visiting the U.S., Boeing (BA) announced deals to sell 300 planes to three Chinese companies and set up an aircraft factory in in the Asian nation, while Cisco (CSCO) announced a partnership with Chinese server maker Inspur Group... Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman Sachs (GS) Chairman and CEO, disclosed that he was diagnosed with lymphoma. "Fortunately, my form of lymphoma is highly curable and my doctors' and my own expectation is that I will be cured," Blankfein stated in an open letter that was shared by the bank... GoPro (GPRO) finished the week about xxx% lower after Barron's contended in a feature article last weekend that the company's stock could plunge another 30% to $25 as Apple, Sony (SNE) and others pressure the company's "one-hit wonder" products... On the M&A front, Atmel (ATML) agreed to be acquired by German chipmaker Dialog Semiconductor in a deal valued at roughly $4.6B and Starwood Waypoint (SWAY) announced a stock-for-stock merger agreement with Colony American Homes. INDEXES: The Dow lost about 0.43% to close at 16,314.67, the S&P 500 fell about 1.35% to close at 1,931.34, and the Nasdaq declined about 2.89% to close at 4,686.50.
16:00 EDTFBOptions Update; September 25, 2015
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures up 66c to 25.09. Option volume leaders: AAPL NFLX BAC FB AU NKE PFE INTC AMZN TSLA
13:36 EDTQCOMQualcomm volatility low as shares trend lower
Qualcomm (QCOM) current 30-day call option implied volatility is at 26, compared to a one-month ago level of 38, suggesting decreasing price movement for the chipmaker that appear poised to obtain more revenue from Apple's (AAPL) iPhone 6S devices.
11:25 EDTQCOMCirrus leads iPhone suppliers higher as analysts dissect 6S
Cirrus Logic (CRUS), Skyworks (SWKS) and Qorvo (QRVO) are among the chipmakers that appear poised to obtain more revenue from Apple's (AAPL) iPhone 6S devices than from the previous generation of the market-leading smartphone. Research firms issued notes today based on their analysis of "teardowns" of the new phones after they went on sale for the first time, beginning in Australia. TEARDOWNS: Apple's common practice when rolling out its newest iPhone models is for Australia to be its first launch market. The unboxing of iPhones when they become available for sale for the first time anywhere in the world is a much anticipated event among the tech giant's fans, as well as by Apple-focused blogs and Wall Street analysts who follow the company. Websites like iFixit have become well known for their "teardowns" of the devices, where they purchase, take apart and analyze the way in which the device is made and how it differs from previous models. These teardowns are closely watched by analysts and can sometimes be catalysts for the stocks of iPhone component suppliers. CIRRUS: Barclays analyst Blayne Curtis says teardowns of Apple's iPhone 6S indicate Cirrus Logic secured both a smart codec and boosted amp win in the new phone. The company's content in each phone is likely towards the upper end of his $3.50-$4.00 estimate, Curtis tells investors, noting that he views this as better than expected. Curtis thinks the 6S content, coupled with the "several new growth drivers" Cirrus outlined at yesterday's technology day, could reverse the negative sentiment on the stock. He keeps an Overweight rating on the name with a $39 price target. OTHER WINNERS AND LOSERS: Skyworks and Qorvo saw their content rise 22% and 25% respectively, Curtis estimated. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is continuing to supply the NFC and Secure Element chips for the 6S devices, but is no longer providing the sensor hub, the analyst reported. The company will lose about 50c per iPhone as a result of this development, but it did know that it would no longer be providing the hub before it provided its guidance in July, according to Curtis. STMicroelectronics (STM) is no longer providing the secure MCU for the iPhone 6S, Curtis added. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Other companies that are supplying iPhone 6S components include Qualcomm (QCOM), Texas Instruments (TXN), and Avago (AVGO), iFixit reported. After conducting checks, Craig-Hallum analyst Anthony Stoss estimated that Skyworks will obtain about $6.50 of revenue per iPhone, up from about $5.50 previously, while Qorvo's revenue per device will rise to $6.25 from $5.75 and Avago will see its revenue per device increase to about $6.75 from about $6.50, Stoss believes. The firm kept Buy ratings on Skyworks, Avago, and Qorvo. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Cirrus shares jumped $4.36, or 16%, to $31.49, Skyworks added about 3% and Qorvo rose 4%. Meanwhile, NXP gained about 2% and STMicroelectronics advanced 2.5%.
10:00 EDTCATOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Atlas Air (AAWW) downgraded to In-Line from Outperform at Imperial Capital... Caterpillar (CAT) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... Cummins (CMI) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... Emerge Energy (EMES) downgraded after guidance withdrawal at Stifel... Exxon Mobil (XOM) downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research... F5 Networks (FFIV) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James... Internap (INAP) downgraded on earnings miss, negative outlook at Oppenheimer... Semtech (SMTC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at MKM Partners... Silicon Laboratories (SLAB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at MKM Partners... Superconductor Technologies (SCON) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Ladenburg... Virgin America (VA) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen.
09:48 EDTQCOMApple iPhone 6S Plus teardown reveals chip suppliers, iFixit reports
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09:34 EDTFBActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL BAC FB NKE NFLX PFE AU TSLA
09:05 EDTGMGeneral Motors volatility elevated
General Motors October weekly call option implied volatility is at 34, October and November is at 33; compared to its 52-week range of 14 to 36, suggesting large near term price movement.
08:28 EDTCATCummins downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair
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08:06 EDTCATCaterpillar downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair
William Blair downgraded Caterpillar to Market Perform after the company yesterday reduced its sales forecast and cut jobs. The firm sees a lack of catalysts and visibility amid the "machinery meltdown."
07:20 EDTCATCaterpillar EPS poised to bottom in 2016, says Stifel
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06:53 EDTCATCalAmp still has 'substantial growth' at Caterpillar, says Northland
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06:34 EDTGMGM CEO again rejects idea of merger with Fiat Chrysler, WSJ reports
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06:21 EDTFBFacebook's free internet effort in developing countries 'inadequate,' WSJ says
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06:13 EDTFBPiper's Munster sees building virtual reality momentum for Facebook
Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster says Facebook's (FB) virtual reality theme is building momentum after its Oculus unit announced a 50% price cut for its mobile VR solution headset to $99. Also announced was that the headset, named Gear VR, will work with five phones versus three in the past. A better virtual reality experience is now available to a larger market and the "critically important" content is growing, Munster tells investors in a research note. Oculus has partnerships with Netflix (NFLX), Hulu, Tivo (TIVO), Sega and Midway to bring their content into Gear VR, Munster points out. He expects Samsung to sell 5M-10M Oculus enabled Gear VR headsets next year, up from around 1M in 2015. Munster maintains an Overweight rating on Facebook with a $146 price target. The stock closed yesterday up 44c to $94.41.
06:07 EDTGMGM CEO says pursuing profit margins, not market share, WSJ reports
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05:58 EDTFBIndian Prime Minister to meet with Apple, Google CEOs, WSJ reports
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will meet this weekend with Google (GOOG) CEO Sundar Pichai, Facebook (FB) founder Mark Zuckerberg and Apple (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook, among others, The Wall Street Journal reports. According to industry insiders, the tech executives will use the visit to push for better market access in India as well as clearer regulation on investment and startups. Reference Link
05:51 EDTCATBarclays starts U.S. Machinery space with Negative view
Barclays analyst Robert Wertheimer rolled out coverage of the U.S. Machinery space with a Negative view. Of the fifteen companies he initiated in the sector, only two are Overweight rated. Wertheimer started five names at Underweight, his firm's equivalent of a sell. Consensus estimates are too high across the board with revenue for this cycle already peaking for most of machinery, the analyst told investors last night in a research note. He sees a sharper downturn for North American trucks than the consensus expects, with another peak level eight years away. And the tractor supercycle is only two years in a downturn, while the prior two supercycles saw seven consecutive down years in machinery sales, Wertheimer adds. Allison Transmission (ALSN) and United Rentals (URI) are the analyst's Overweight-rated stocks in the sector. Deere (DE), CNH Industrial (CNHI), Cummins (CMI), PACCAR (PCAR) and Navistar (NAV) are his Underweight rated names. Wertheimer also started with Equal Weight ratings shares of Actuant (ATU), AGCO (AGCO), Caterpillar (CAT), Joy Global (JOY), Lincoln Electric (LECO), Manitowoc (MTW), Terex (TEX) and WABCO (WBC).
05:11 EDTCATStocks with implied volatility movement; VRX CAT
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