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July 30, 2014
11:42 EDTDWADreamWorks falls after Q2 results miss, SEC probe disclosed
Shares of animated film-maker DreamWorks Animation (DWA) are tumbling after the company reported worse than expected second quarter financial results and revealed that the SEC is investigating its 2013 writedown on the movie "Turbo." WHAT'S NEW: DreamWorks Animation experienced a Q2 earnings per share loss of (18c), while analysts were expecting a loss of (2c). The company's Q2 revenue was $122.3M, which was below analysts' consensus of $137.86M. WHAT'S NOTABLE: During the company's conference call, DreamWorks said the SEC is investigating its 2013 writedown on the movie "Turbo," but noted that it is cooperating with the probe. Looking ahead, the company says that the continued performance of "How to Train Your Dragon 2" at worldwide box offices is expected to be the primary driver of its Q3 results. Significant events for Q4 include the theatrical release of the "Penguins of Madagascar " on November 26, as well as its home video/home entertainment release of both "Mr. Peabody & Sherman" and "Dragon 2." The company called 2014 an "investment year," as it is aiming to continue investing "heavily" in each of its areas of growth and expects its spending to continue during the second half and into next year. Commenting on to its Television unit, DreamWorks says it remains on track to debut 3 new series in the second half of the year and 7 new series in 2015. The company continues to expect that its 2015 television revenue will exceed $250M and that its profit margin for this segment will approach 30% as it ramp up production and delivery. ANALYST OPINION: Piper Jaffray analyst James Marsh is maintaining his Neutral rating on the shares as he expects the stock to continue to trade "sideways" until better perspective on the company's diversification efforts become evident. Marsh said he expects DreamWorks' investment spending and the SEC probe into the company's "Turbo" writedown will pressure shares. He said that he isn't certain about the nature of the investigation beyond the few remarks from management on the company's call, but based on what he knows at the moment, Marsh said that he doesn't see any big issues stemming from the probe. PRICE ACTION: During late-morning trading, shares of DreamWorks fell $3.15, or 14%, to $19.51.
News For DWA From The Last 14 Days
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September 28, 2015
05:56 EDTDWADreamWorks pullback brings 'compelling' entry point, says Piper Jaffray
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September 25, 2015
10:48 EDTDWAMorgan Stanley cautious on media, but sees several stocks punished too hard
Morgan Stanley cut its price targets on a number of media companies, citing the impact of cord cutting and skinny bundles. The firm also reduced its outlook for the pay-TV sector due to its belief that the adoption of skinny bundles will accelerate, while the outlook for cable TV ads has deteriorated slightly, given macro pressures. The firm kept a Cautious view on the media sector, but also identified several stocks in the space that it thinks have been punished too harshly by investors recently. WHAT'S NEW: TV networks in general, and cable networks in particular, have the highest margins in media and are encountering increased top and bottom line competitive pressures, Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne believes. On the top line, they are being hit by ratings and ad pressures as well as cord cutting and distribution consolidation, the analyst stated. Meanwhile, their profit is being hurt by the increased need to obtain new content and intensified competition for content from new sources like Netflix (NFLX) and Google's (GOOG) YouTube, Swinburne said. However, the analyst thinks that media stocks are "starting to get" cheap, given the leverage that many of the companies carry. Swinburne cuts his price target on 21st Century Fox (FOXA) to $31 from $37, on AMC Networks (AMCX) to $86 from $88, on CBS (CBS) to $46 from $56, on Time Warner (TWX) to $72 from $87 and on Viacom (VIAB) to $48 from $60. He kept Overweight ratings on Fox, AMC and CBS, an Equal Weight rating on Time Warner and an Underweight rating on Viacom. OVERDONE DECLINES: Swinburne believes that the declines in three media stocks - CBS, 21st Century Fox, and AMC Networks - have been overdone, while the decline in Comcast's (CMCSA) stock has also been excessive. CBS and 21st Century Fox are "best positioned for the skinny bundle" and have the cheapest valuations relative to their growth rates, Swinburne believes. Meanwhile, AMC Networks has "content momentum" and its EPS can exceed expectations, the analyst believes. Comcast is gaining share in the broadband Internet market, could take share in video soon, and has sufficient scale and offerings to benefit from the increased popularity of skinny bundles, according to the analyst, who kept an Overweight rating on the stock. The media sector could benefit from consolidation going forward, added Swinburne, who recommended that investors interested in buying potential takeover targets in the space focus on AMC Networks, MSG Networks (MSG) and Dreamworks Animation (DWA). He kept Overweight ratings on all three of those stocks. OTHERS TO WATCH: Besides Comcast, other pay TV companies include DISH Network (DISH) and Charter Communications (CHTR). PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Fox A shares lost 0.5% to $25.83, AMC fell 0.3% to $73.29, CBS added 0.2% to $41, Time Warner was little changed at $67.66 and Comcast A shares added 0.6% to $57.17.

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