|February 4, 2014|
|12:25 EDT||DIS||Earnings Preview: Analyst predicts Disney will report stronger than expected Q1|
The Walt Disney Company (DIS) is scheduled to report first quarter earnings after the market close on Wednesday, February 5 with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. The Walt Disney Company is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise with five business segments: media networks, parks and resorts, studio entertainment, consumer products and interactive media. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 91c on revenue of $12.23B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 84c-97c on revenue of $11.92B-$12.54B. LAST QUARTER: Disney reported fourth quarter EPS of 77c against estimates for 76c on revenue of $11.57B against estimates for $11.4B. The company's media networks revenue was $4.95B vs. $4.88B a year prior and its parks and resorts revenue was $3.7B, up 8% from a year prior. The company reported its Q4 cable networks operating income $1.3B. Disney (DIS) Chairman and CEO Bob Iger disputed rumors that the company could be looking to sell its eight ABC TV stations. Iger commented, "These have been good assets for us... We don't comment about acquisitions or divestitures, but I don't think it would be wise to either predict or to conclude that these assets were on the market." NEWS: During the quarter, Disney raised its annual dividend 15% to 86c per share. The Wall Street Journal recently reported that Disney's interactive-media unit will cut "several hundred" people from its workforce, with cuts likely starting after the company's quarterly report. Earlier in the quarter, Disney's Pixar Animation Studios laid off less than 5% of its 1,200-person workforce following the delay of its upcoming film, "The Good Dinosaur." Disney elected Twitter's Jack Dorsey to its board of directors. Barron's said Discovery Communications (DISCA) could bid for Scrips Networks (SNI) and that may spark interest in Discovery by Disney, Viacom (VIAB) or Fox (FOXA). Hulu said on its blog that it will reach $1B in revenue in 2013, up from $695M in 2012. STREET RESEARCH: Stifel predicts that Disney will report stronger than expected Q1 results, and expects the company's results to generally be upbeat. Bernstein believes that Disney's stock probably doesn't adequately reflect the value of the A&E Television Network. The firm thinks the network's operating outlook is stable to improving, and it values the asset at $23.5B. B. Riley downgraded the stock to Neutral from Buy. PRICE ACTION: Year-to-date, Disney shares are down almost 7%. Over the last three months, Disney shares are up over 3%, and shares are up over 1.5% today ahead of tomorrow's earnings report.
News For DIS From The Last 14 Days
|October 23, 2014|
|07:53 EDT||DIS||Alibaba CEO ups Hollywood content pursuit with studio meetings, Bloomberg says|
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|October 22, 2014|
|13:06 EDT||DIS||Earnings Preview: Comcast reporting Q3 results as Time Warner deal progressing|
Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK) is set to report third quarter earnings before the market open on Thursday, October 23, with a conference call scheduled for 8:30 am ET. Comcast is a diversified media company that operates the NBC family of networks and Universal Pictures, among other cable, internet, and voice services. On February 13, Comcast announced plans to merge with Time Warner Cable (TWC) in a deal valued at $45.2B. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 71c on revenue of $16.82B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 64c-76c on revenue of $16.5B-$17.17B. LAST QUARTER: Comcast reported second quarter EPS of 75c against estimates for 72c, on revenue of $16.84B against estimates for $16.95B. TIME WARNER CABLE DEAL: On August 17, The Wall Street Journal reported that the Federal Communications Commission said that one issue it must decide as it reviewed the proposed acquisition of Time Warner Cable is whether to allow Comcast to continue Time Warner Cable's arrangement to handle programming and technology acquisitions for cable operator Bright House Networks. On August 26, Engadget reported that Netflix (NFLX) filed a formal protest against the Time Warner Cable deal, saying that the merger would result in "serious public interest harm" and that a combined cable giant would have a huge amount of leverage over it and rivals such as Hulu. Hulu is a joint venture owned by Comcast along with Disney (DIS) and 21st Century Fox (FOX,FOXA). The New York Post reported on September 8 that Discovery (DISCA) believed Comcast's takeover of Time Warner Cable would give the merged entity an unfair advantage over programmers. That same day, Reuters said a proxy statement detailed that Time Warner Cable employees would split $416M if the merger deal with Comcast did not transpire. At the Goldman Sachs Communacopia Conference on September 10, Comcast said that it has made "a lot of progress" on the shareholder approval process for the Time Warner Cable deal, but expected the agreement to be finalized in early fiscal year 2015 versus the previous guidance of late 2014. The company expects the Time Warner Cable merger to generate $1.5B in operating expense synergies. On September 16, Comcast said at the Media, Communications and Entertainment Conference that it would reveal its capital plan at the close of the Time Warner Cable deal and noted at that time that "everything was on track" regarding the merger. The Wall Street Journal reported on September 30 that the FCC pushed for media companies to submit details of their programming agreements with Comcast prior to the Time Warner Cable deal. The FCC announced three days later that it extended time for the companies to file their replies on Comcast regarding the merger. On October 8, Comcast Shareholders approved stock issuance for the Time Warner Cable deal and the next day, Time Warner Cable stockholders approved the Comcast merger deal. STREET RESEARCH: Analysts remained fairly quiet on Comcast throughout the quarter. On September 9, UBS raised its price target on Comcast to $72 from $60 given its strong underlying fundamentals and the expected free cash flow accretion from the Time Warner Cable deal. The firm also said it expected Comcast to accelerate its stock buyback and increase its dividend. UBS kept its Buy rating on the stock. On October 17, Goldman Sachs said that Comcast was its top large cap pick into the earnings report given steady fundamentals, moderated expectations, and valuation. The firm maintained the stock with a Buy rating and a $64 price target. PRICE ACTION: Since the first day of trade following its Q2 report on July 22, shares of Comcast are down about 3.5%. Since it announced its deal with Time Warner Cable on February 13, shares of the media company have fallen just under 6%. In late-morning trade ahead of tomorrow’s Q3 report, shares of Comcast are down fractionally.
|October 16, 2014|
|10:01 EDT||DIS||On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary|
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Akamai (AKAM) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo... CGG SA (CGG) downgraded to Reduce from Neutral at Nomura... Central Valley Community (CVCY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Sandler O'Neill... DSM (RDSMY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura... Disney (DIS) downgraded at Guggenheim... Francesca's (FRAN) downgraded to Underperform from Outperform at Macquarie... Netflix (NFLX) downgraded to Fair Value from Buy at CRT Capital... Nordstrom (JWN) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie... Norfolk Southern (NSC) downgraded at Credit Suisse... Rio Tinto (RIO) downgraded to Market Perform at Cowen... Seadrill (SDRL) downgraded to Reduce from Neutral at Nomura... Ternium (TX) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Urban Outfitters (URBN) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie... Viacom (VIAB) downgraded at BofA/Merrill... eBay (EBAY) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at CLSA... lululemon (LULU) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Macquarie.
|09:39 EDT||DIS||Active equity options trading on open|
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|07:45 EDT||DIS||Disney downgraded at Guggenheim|
As previously reported, Guggenheim downgraded Disney to Neutral from Buy. The firm downgraded shares based on relative valuation, risk to domestic pay-TV subscriber growth, challenging FY15 film comparisons, and potential for sports-network tiering. Price target lowered to $87 from $96.
|07:17 EDT||DIS||Disney downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim|
|October 14, 2014|
|07:23 EDT||DIS||CBS more attractive than Disney, says Wells Fargo|
Among media and cable stocks, Wells Fargo sees the least risk and most reward potential in CBS (CBS). The firm sees the least reward potential and most risk in Disney (DIS). The firm believes that the market is overestimating the ad declines for CBS, and it thinks that CBS' stock may have finally bottomed. Disney has a relatively expensive valuation and tough comps, added Wells Fargo, which keeps Outperform ratings on both stocks.
|October 12, 2014|
|15:10 EDT||DIS||Disney's Maker Studios to create programming for parent company, Bloomberg says|
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|October 10, 2014|
|13:17 EDT||DIS||Nielsen to restate some TV rating due to software glitch, Variety reports|
Nielsen (NLSN) acknowledged it uncovered a software error on October 6 that had resulted in TV ratings being allocated incorrectly among broadcast and syndication programming since March 2 and that it would restate the ratings accordingly to fix the errors, reported Variety. The company said 98% to 99% of ratings would not be affected by more than .05 of a ratings point and a person familiar with the situation said some TV networks have an expectation that some of their new fall programming will see a very slight uplift due to the restatement, the report noted. The big four broadcast networks are operated by CBS (CBS), Comcast (CMCSA), Disney (DIS) and 21st Century Fox (FOXA). Reference Link