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February 12, 2014
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Deere (DE), up 1.5%... Dr Pepper Snapple Group (DPS), up 1.8%... Owens Corning (OC), up 11%... Pinnacle Entertainment (PNK), up 5%... DaVita (DVA), up 5.7%. ALSO HIGHER: EnteroMedics (ETRM), up 12.5% after announcing FDA Advisory Committee meeting date for Maestro System... AMCOL (ACO), up 12.5% after announcing merger with Imerys in $41 per share transaction valued at about $1.6B... TripAdvisor (TRIP), up 4.5% after earnings, upgrade at RBC Capital... Crocs (CROX), up 5.9% after upgrade at Piper Jaffray. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: WellCare Health Plans (WCG), down 6.6%...ReachLocal (RLOC), down 17%... Jive Software (JIVE), down 6.7%... FireEye (FEYE), down 5.5%. ALSO LOWER: Green Mountain (GMCR), down 1.5% following downgrade at Longbow... Ventrus (VTUS), down 63.7% after Phase 3 trial of Diltiazem showed no significant difference to placebo.
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November 16, 2015
10:00 EDTDEOn The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary
Today's noteworthy initiations include: American Farmland (AFCO) initiated with a Buy at Citi... AptarGroup (ATR) initiated with an Outperform at Baird... Buckeye Partners (BPL) initiated with a Neutral at DA Davidson... Continental Building (CBPX) initiated with a Buy at Sterne Agee CRT... Deere (DE) initiated with a Hold at Societe Generale... Dimension Therapeutics (DMTX) initiated with a Buy at Goldman... Ferrari (RACE) initiated with a Buy at BofA/Merrill... Lendingtree (TREE) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim... Magellan Midstream (MMP) initiated with a Buy at DA Davidson... Multi Packaging (MPSX) initiated with a Buy at BofA/Merrill... Potbelly (PBPB) initiated with a Buy at Sidoti.
07:36 EDTDEBerkshire Hathaway discloses new AT&T stake in quarterly update
Berkshire Hathaway gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this morning. NEW STAKES: AT&T (T), Kraft Heinz (KHC), Liberty Lilac Group (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Phillips 66 (PSX), Charter (CHTR), Liberty Media (LMCK), Suncor (SU), General Motors (GM). DECREASED STAKES: Goldman Sachs (GS), Wal-Mart (WMT), Deere (DE), Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI), WABCO (WBC). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Viacom (VIAB).
06:57 EDTDEDeere volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
Deere November call option implied volatility is at 34, November weekly is at 45, December is at 39, January is at 35; compared to its 52-week range of 16 to 40, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q4 results on November 25.
06:34 EDTDEDeere Q4 report likely negative catalyst, says Deutsche Bank
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06:27 EDTDEDeere price target lowered to $64 from $82 at JPMorgan
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06:13 EDTFEYECyberArk CEO: Lack of data breaches won't hurt company, Bloomberg says
CyberArk (CYBR) is distancing itself from FireEye (FEYE), saying that the lack of security breaches won't hurt the company, Bloomberg reports, citing comments from CyberArk CEO Udi Mokady. FireEye blamed a lull in cyber attacks for its downbeat quarterly earnings, the report says. "That is totally not the case in our world," Mokady said by phone from San Francisco last week. "It's not our business model -- our model is to put in private account security ahead of time, and we're seeing increased demand, increased awareness of that." Reference Link
05:26 EDTDEDeere initiated with a Hold at Societe Generale
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November 13, 2015
09:58 EDTFEYEFireEye calls active on renewed takeover chatter
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09:43 EDTFEYERumor: FireEye active on renewed takeover chatter
November 12, 2015
13:24 EDTFEYEEarnings Watch: Cisco seeks to break out of trading rut with Q1 report
Cisco Systems (CSCO) is scheduled to report results of its fiscal first quarter after the market close on Thursday, November 12 with a conference call scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. Cisco, a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, sells Internet protocol-based networking and other products related to the communications and IT industry and provides related services. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 56c on revenue of $12.65B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 55c-59c on revenue of $12.55B-$12.81B. Along with its quarterly report, Cisco guided to Q1 EPS of 55c-57c and said it expects its revenue to increase 2%-4% year over year. LAST QUARTER: On August 12, Cisco reported fourth quarter EPS of 59c on revenue of $12.8B, beating consensus estimates of 56c and $12.65B for EPS and revenue, respectively. NEWS: On its Q4 earnings conference call, Cisco said that it was looking at acquisitions at the right price, particularly in areas like software and security. On August 31, Apple (AAPL) and Cisco announced a partnership to build a "fast lane" for iOS business users by optimizing Cisco networks for iOS devices and apps, integrating iPhone with Cisco enterprise environments and providing unique collaboration on iPhone and iPad. The next day, Cisco was among multiple other companies, including Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOG), Intel (INTC), Microsoft (MSFT), Mozilla, and Netflix (NFLX), announcing the formation of the Alliance for Open Media to build next-generation media formats, codecs, and technologies in the public interest. On September 3, Business Insider reported that people at Cisco still though that chairman John Chambers was running the show as chief executive officer after appointing Chuck Robbins to that role last May. On September 15, Mandiant, a FireEye (FEYE) subsidiary, said in a blog post that researchers discovered previously unknown attacks on certain routers and that such attacks replace the operating system used in Cisco equipment. About a week later, the Wall Street Journal reported that Cisco was aiming to strengthen its business in China by joining forces with Inspur group, a move which was confirmed on September 24. On October 29, Cisco announced its intention to acquire 1 Mainstream. CNBC later reported that the company paid $100M-$150M to acquire 1 Mainstream. On November 9, Ericsson (ERIC) and Cisco announced a global business and technology partnership to "create the networks of the future." The companies said that the strategic partnership will be a key driver of growth and value for the next decade, with each company benefiting from incremental revenue in calendar year 2016 and expected to ramp to $1B or more for each by 2018. STREET RESEARCH: On August 17, Morgan Stanley downgraded Cisco to Equal Weight from Overweight and maintained a $30 price target on the stock, saying it did not believe improved growth is "secular" and anticipates growth will revert to GDP like levels as the upgrade cycle concludes. Wells Fargo said on August 28 that a 10% selloff in communication tech stocks, including Cisco, had created an attractive buying opportunity. Bernstein said a week later that Cisco, Juniper (JNPR), and F5 Networks (FFIV) should be bought on wider macro economic weakness. On October 6, Citi initiated coverage of Cisco with a Buy rating and $30 price target. A week later, Barclays initiated coverage of Cisco with an Overweight rating and a $32 price target. On November 9, RBC Capital maintained an Outperform rating and $33 price target on Cisco, saying it expects the company to report slightly better than expected results. The next day, SunTrust maintained a Buy rating on Cisco, saying its partnership with Ericsson was a positive and should strengthen Cisco's service provider business. PRICE ACTION: In afternoon trading ahead of tonight's report, Cisco shares were up 0.5% to $27.97. In the last three months, Cisco shares are fractionally higher and virtually unchanged when discounting this afternoon's slight rise.
11:58 EDTGMCRStocks with call strike movement; GMCR ESV
Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) March 55 call option implied volatility decreased 10% to 56, Ensco (ESV) March 19 call option implied volatility increased 6% to 55 according to iVolatility.
10:42 EDTTRIPTripAdvisor to host investor meeting
Investor meeting to be held on November 12 at 1:45 pm. Webcast Link
10:25 EDTJIVE, TRIPOptions with decreasing implied volatility
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05:35 EDTDEDeere implied volatility of 39 at upper end of index mean range
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November 11, 2015
10:32 EDTGMCROptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: STRP MW FTK RPTP MNK CVC GMCR ATML NUS BHI
09:59 EDTGMCROn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Amedisys (AMED) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho... Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Ladenburg... BioCryst (BCRX) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill... Boot Barn (BOOT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at BB&T... C1 Financial (BNK) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James... Clarcor (CLC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Avondale... EMC (EMC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo... Eaton (ETN) downgraded on near-term challenges at Argus... Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) downgraded to Negative from Mixed at OTR Global... Lennox (LII) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Mediaset (MDIUY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC... MetLife (MET) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... Metaldyne Performance (MPG) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays... Oracle (ORCL) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... Penn Virginia (PVA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord... Rex Energy (REXX) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Northland... Rice Energy (RICE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Rockwell Automation (ROK) downgraded to Underperform from Outperform at CLSA... Sabra Health Care (SBRA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at SunTrust... SanDisk (SNDK) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein... Vestas Wind (VWDRY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC.
09:24 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain downgraded to Negative from Mixed at OTR Global
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07:55 EDTTRIPRBC Capital to hold a conference
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05:53 EDTTRIPStocks with implied volatility below IV index mean; QCOM TRIP
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05:14 EDTGMCRStocks with implied volatility movement; FTK GMCR
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