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January 15, 2014
13:13 EDTCEarnings Preview: Outlook mixed for Citigroup into Q4 results
Citigroup (C) a bank holding company, is scheduled to report fourth quarter earnings before the open on Thursday, January 16, with a conference call scheduled for 11:00 am ET. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for EPS of 96c on revenue of $18.18B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 83c-$1.14 on revenue of $17.23B-$19.01B. LAST QUARTER: Citigroup reported weaker than expected third quarter results. The bank stated that its third quarter performance was hampered by the economy. The company’s fixed income business was especially hurt by the macro situation, the bank stated. Among the macro issues that hurt Citi were global spread compression and regulatory changes in certain markets, and headwinds from North America mortgages. The bank’s net interest margin inched down to 2.81% in the third quarter, from 2.85% in the second quarter. Citi predicted that its net interest margin would remain "roughly flat" in the fourth quarter, adding that it expected to release loan loss reserves above the necessary amount in order to offset reduced mortgage origination rates in the fourth quarter. PEERS: So far the fourth quarter results of the large banks have been mixed, with JPMorgan (JPM) reporting higher than expected profits excluding certain items but lower than expected revenue, and Wells Fargo (WFC) and Bank of America (BAC) both reporting results that surpassed expectations. STREET RESEARCH: In a note to investors on January 7, research firm Oppenheimer called Citigroup's stock undervalued. Citigroup's Citicorp is the last great value in the banking sector, the firm contended. Moreover, Citigroup will eventually return its approximately $68B in excess capital to shareholders, according to Oppenheimer, which thinks that Citigroup's stock is worth $73-$78 per share if the value of the $68B is included in the calculation. It kept an Outperform rating on the shares. Less optimistic was research firm Jefferies, which listed several concerns about Citigroup in a note to investors on January 8. Specifically, the firm was concerned that analysts may cut their EPS estimates for the company, due to a weaker trading environment and a slowdown of emerging market economies. Although it's unlikely that the stock will drop significantly, it could underperform other large banks, added Jefferies, which kept a Hold rating on the stock. Similarly, Deutsche Bank on December 4 cut its rating on Citigroup to Hold from Buy, citing concerns about the macro economy and the valuation of its stock, along with the impact of the Fed's tapering program. Deutsche reduced its price target on Citigroup to $56 from $61. PRICE ACTION: Citigroup's stock is up nearly 8% over the last month, and is up 1.7% in today's trading ahead of tomorrow's earnings report.
News For C From The Last 14 Days
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February 10, 2016
06:36 EDTCMorgan trading head says Q1 may be tough for Wall Street, WSJ says
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February 9, 2016
15:45 EDTCFed telling banks to stress test for negative rates, CNBC reports
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11:07 EDTCStocks with call strike movement; MS C
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10:00 EDTCCiti volatility increases
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07:43 EDTCMorgan Stanley punished more than peers amid banking rout, WSJ reports
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05:55 EDTCCiti volatility elevated as shares trend lower
Citi February weekly call option implied volatility is at 63, February is at 53, March is at 45; compared to its 52-week range of 15 to 46, suggesting large near term price movement.
February 8, 2016
18:55 EDTCBeiGene appoints Citi as depositary bank for ADR program
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11:12 EDTCStocks with call strike movement; BABA C
Alibaba (BABA) July 75 call option implied volatility increased 4% to 38, Citi (C) May 42.5 call option implied volatility increased 11% to 38 according to iVolatility.
09:36 EDTCActive equity options trading on open
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07:26 EDTCThe FDIC and Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco to hold a conference
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06:31 EDTCNorway's oil fund tells U.S. banks to split CEO-chairman positions, FT says
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February 4, 2016
06:58 EDTCFed official supports tougher bank stress tests, Reuters reports
Boston Fed president Eric Rosengren said that he supports tougher stress tests for "too big to fail" banks, including larger capital investments that would make them "even more binding," Reuters reports. Rosengren said that stress test changes have reduced the likelihood that systemically important financial firms would fail, the report says. Publicly traded companies in the space include Bank of America (BAC), Citi (C), Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan (JPM), Morgan Stanley (MS), U.S. Bancorp (USB) and Wells Fargo (WFC). Reference Link
06:51 EDTCBofA doesn't deserve to be in 'stock market doghouse,' WSJ says
Bank of America (BAC) is currently in the "stock market doghouse," but doesn't deserve to be, David Reilly of the Wall Street Journal's Ahead of the Tape says. The overall beating of U.S. bank stocks has come amid the greater market selloff, reflecting the fact that slowing growth has brought doubt on the Fed's ability to raise rates in March, Reilly says. Since a rate increase is a far-off prospect, investors have little reason to own bank stocks, though Bank of America's valuation assumes "too dire an outcome," the report says. Banks with international outreach, such as Citi (C), are still arguably further behind in post-crisis cleanup, but Bank of America is more focused on the domestic U.S. economy and prices a U.S. recession as a given, not a possibility, the report says. Other large U.S. banks include Wells Fargo (WFC), JPMorgan (JPM), Goldman Sachs (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), U.S. Bancorp (USB), BB&T (BBT), PNC Financial (PNC), and SunTrust (STI). Reference Link
February 3, 2016
16:00 EDTCOptions Update; February 3, 2016
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05:16 EDTCStocks with implied volatility movement; GS C
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February 2, 2016
11:53 EDTCCiti agrees to $23M 'ice breaker' yen Libor settlement, Reuters reports
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February 1, 2016
09:36 EDTCActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: BAC AAPL FB AMZN TWTR MGM MCD NFLX GILD INTC TSLA AA BABA C
January 31, 2016
20:43 EDTCOn The Fly: Top five weekend stock stories
Catch up on the weekend's top five stories with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Coca-Cola (KO) announced a minority stake in diary and juice company Chi, with plans to take full ownership within three years. 2. Billionaire investor Nelson Peltz is considering taking an activist position in Time Warner (TWX), the New York Post reported. 3. Toyota (TM) could temporarily halt domestic production after an explosion at a key supplier curbed its supply of steel, Reuters said. 4. Investigations into Herbalife (HLF), as well as investigations into Bill Ackman himself, have fizzled and criminal charges look unlikely, the Wall Street Journal revealed. 5. Virtu Financial (VIRT) and Ctrip (CTRP) were discussed positively by Barron's this week, as well as "tech bargains" Autodesk (ADSK), Akamai (AKAM), Western Digital (WDC), SanDisk (SNDK) and Lam Research (LRCX) and attractive banking stocks Citi (C), JPMorgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC) and Wells Fargo (WFC).
12:33 EDTCU.S. banks could return 20% or more, Barron's says
The banking sector looks like "one of the best bargains in the market," Barron's contends in a cover story. Names such as Citi (C), JPMorgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), BB&T (BBT), PNC Financial (PNC), SunTrust (STI) and U.S. Bancorp (USB) are showing healthy balance sheets and could offer "at least" 20% upside, the publication argues, adding that the industry's exposure to the energy sector "looks manageable" given information offered in recent earnings reports and conference calls. Reference Link
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