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August 20, 2014
10:04 EDTUCBI, SIEGY, ILMN, DNKN, TNP, PNRA, FFIV, DKL, SKUL, JBLU, EONGY, CNPOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: CenterPoint Energy (CNP) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus... Delek Logistics (DKL) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo... Dunkin' Brands (DNKN) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... E.ON AG (EONGY) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Societe Generale... F5 Networks (FFIV) upgraded at ISI Group... Illumina (ILMN) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush... JetBlue (JBLU) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen... Panera Bread (PNRA) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... Siemens (SIEGY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Skullcandy (SKUL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson... Tsakos Energy (TNP) upgraded at Morgan Stanley... United Community Banks (UCBI) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at SunTrust.
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October 1, 2015
12:57 EDTDNKNOptions with increasing put volume
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12:16 EDTDNKNOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street were lower at midday as investors remain cautious following last quarter's rout. The Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 each lost 7% or more in the third quarter and yesterday's end-of-quarter rally is turning out to be very short-lived as investors brace for tomorrow's nonfarm jobs report and the Federal Reserve rate setting meeting that comes late this month. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., Markit's manufacturing purchasing managers' index inched up to 53.1 in the final September reading, compared to the preliminary September figure of 53.0 that was flat from August. ISM's manufacturing index fell to 50.2 in September, however, versus expectations for a reading of 50.6. Construction spending grew 0.7% in August, versus the consensus expectation for a rise of 0.5% for the month. Initial jobless claims rose to 277,000 in the week of September 26, versus expectations for 271,000 first-time claims. In Asia, Chinese markets were closed for holidays, but monthly manufacturing data was still released. The government's official manufacturing PMI ticked up to 49.8, beating expectations for a 49.6 reading. The final Caixin/Markit PMI, meanwhile, fell to a fresh six-and-a-half-year low of 47.2 in September, though that was slightly improved an earlier flash estimate of 47. In Japan, the Bank of Japan's quarterly tankan survey of large manufacturers for the September quarter came in at positive 12, compared with expectations for a positive 13 reading. In Europe, Markit's final Eurozone manufacturing PMI for September came in at 52.0, consistent with the flash figure and down from August's final 52.3 reading. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of General Motors (GM) rose fractionally near midday after the company reported its U.S. sales grew 12% in September compared to the same month of last year. Additionally, the auto giant hosted a global business update event, where it announced two new car- and ride-sharing projects and confirmed its plans to jointly develop a commercially viable fuel cell vehicle with Honda (HMC) in the 2020 timeframe. Fiat Chrysler (FCAU), which reported U.S. sales increased 14% last month, and Ford (F), which said its U.S. sales rose 23% in September, both saw their shares slip fractionally near noon. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT), which rallied 19% after the company released additional data from its Phase IIb program of eteplirsen in patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy. Also higher was PBF Energy (PBF), which gained 10% after agreeing to purchase the 155,000 barrel-per-day Torrance refinery, and related logistics assets, from ExxonMobil (XOM). Among the noteworthy losers was Crocs (CROX), which dropped 14% after Piper Jaffray analyst Erinn Murphy downgraded the stock to Neutral, saying adverse currency moves and China weakness could cause sales to miss expectations in Q3. Also lower were shares of Dunkin' Brands (DNKN), which fell 10% after the company projected third quarter U.S. same-store sales that fell below the prior year period and said it would close 100 stores in the U.S. in 2015 and 2016. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 195.02, or 1.2%, to 16,089.68, the Nasdaq was down 55.92, or 1.21%, to 4,564.24, and the S&P 500 was down 17.57, or 0.92%, to 1,902.46.
11:53 EDTDNKN, PNRADunkin' Brands sinks after announcing plans to close 100 U.S. stores
Shares of Dunkin' Brands (DNKN), a franchisor of quick service restaurants specializing in coffee and baked goods, are falling after the company projected third quarter U.S. same-store sales that fell below the prior year period. Additionally, Dunkin' said it would close 100 stores in the U.S. in 2015 and 2016. WHAT'S NEW: This morning during its Investor & Analyst Day presentation, Dunkin' Brands repeated its adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal year 2015 of $1.87-$1.91, below analysts' consensus of $1.92. Revenue for the fiscal year is seen increasing 6%-8%, compared to the consensus of $808.07M. The company also repeated its FY15 Dunkin' Donuts U.S. SSS guidance of up 1%-3% and Baskin-Robbins U.S. SSS up 1%-3%. Looking further ahead, Dunkin' Brands said it is targeting up to 15% adjusted EPS growth over the next 5 years along with mid to high single digit revenue growth and 10%+ adjusted operating income growth. It's also targeting U.S. comps growth of 2%-4% over the next five years along with total net unit development of 4%-6%. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Dunkin' estimated that same-store sales will grow 1.1% in Q3 at its U.S. Dunkin' Donuts stores compared with a 2% increase in the year-ago period. Additionally, the company said it expects to close 100 Dunkin' Donuts U.S. stores in 2015 and 2016. Dunkin' noted that its gross openings forecast remains unchanged. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, Dunkin' Brands fell $5.34, or about 10.8%, to $43.71 on more than four times its average daily trading volume. Including today's pull back, the shares have lost approximately 1% over the past 12 months. OTHERS TO WATCH: Dunkin' Brands peers include Starbucks (SBUX) and Panera Bread (PNRA), which are down 0.1% and 1.05%, respectively.
10:48 EDTDNKNDunkin' Brands drops sharply, holds a line at $44
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10:11 EDTDNKNHigh option volume stocks
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10:00 EDTILMNOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: AGCO (AGCO) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS... Banco Santander (SAN) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Crocs (CROX) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray... EZchip (EZCH) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Brean Capital... Illumina (ILMN) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Leerink... ServisFirst (SFBS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Sandler O'Neill.
08:57 EDTDNKNDunkin' Brands targeting U.S. comps up 2%-4% over next five years
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08:56 EDTDNKNDunkin' Brands targeting up to 15% adjusted EPS growth over next 5 years
Over the next five years, targeting mid to high single digit revenue growth, 10%+ adjusted operating income growth, up to 15% adjusted EPS growth.
08:55 EDTDNKNDunkin' Brands repeats FY15 adjusted EPS view $1.87-$1.91, consensus $1.92
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06:59 EDTILMNIllumina downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Leerink
Leerink analyst Daniel Leonard downgraded Illumina to Market Perform citing a less compelling risk/reward over the next 12 months amid uncertainty regarding the next driver of growth in research. The analyst cut his price target for shares to $185 from $225.
September 30, 2015
20:04 EDTILMNAmoy, Illumina enter into strategic collaboration
Amoy Diagnostics and Illumina (ILMN) announced a strategic collaboration to accelerate the adoption of precision medicine and targeted therapies in China. Under the collaboration, Amoy will develop and commercialize a series of oncology-related tests based on Illumina's next-generation sequencing platforms, including the recently released research use only TruSight Tumor 15 as transferred from Illumina to Amoy. The collaboration reflects the commitment of both companies to provide integrated solutions to meet clinical needs in China.
13:23 EDTDNKNDunkin' Brands volatility elevated into investor meeting
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10:33 EDTFFIVBattleground: Analysts agree Barracuda shares 'cheap,' diverge on ratings
The shares of Barracuda Networks (CUDA) are falling after the company reported lower than expected revenue and provided weaker than expected guidance. Research firms Piper Jaffray and JPMorgan both said that the shares are cheap in the wake of their huge decline today, though Piper downgraded the shares and JPMorgan kept an Overweight rating on the stock. Barracuda provides IT security and storage solutions, primarily for small and medium businesses. WHAT'S NEW: Barracuda last night reported second quarter earnings per share of 10c, versus analysts' consensus estimate of 9c. The company's revenue, however, came in at $78.4M, below the consensus outlook of $78.7M. Moreover, the company lowered its fiscal 2016 EPS guidance to 34c-36c from 36c-41c. Analysts' consensus estimate was 39c. Barrcuda cut its full-year revenue guidance to $320M-$323M, from $325M-$330M. Analysts' consensus estimate was $325M. The company said that its Q2 results were negatively impacted by longer sales cycles in its Europe, Middle East, and Africa region and it warned that it "saw some evidence" of slowing growth in the storage market. It also stated that its gross billings came in below its expectations. ANALYST REACTION: Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski responded to Barracuda's results by downgrading the stock to Neutral from Overweight. Although Barracuda blamed its lower than expected billings guidance on weakness in its storage business, its security billings increased only by high single digit percentage levels, the analyst stated. The shares are "cheap," but the valuation is not compelling enough to recommend the stock, contends Nowinski, who cut his price target for shares to $20 from $40. Barracuda was also downgraded at Macquarie and at Stephens this morning.Conversely, JPMorgan analyst Sterling Auty called Barracuda shares "too cheap to ignore." The company lowered its billings guidance partly due to worries about slowing storage market growth, as indicated by an industry report released last quarter, said Auty. However, the growth of Barracuda's storage business actually accelerated last quarter, reaching about 25%, the analyst stated. He believes that Barracuda's new guidance reflects the company's efforts to be "prudent." Auty cut his price target on the name to $30 from $42 but kept an Overweight rating on the shares. OTHERS TO WATCH: Other publicly traded companies in the IT security space include Check Point (CHKP), F5 Networks (FFIV), FireEye (FEYE), Fortinet (FTNT), Imperva (IMPV), Palo Alto (PANW), Proofpoint (PFPT), Qualys (QLYS) and Symantec (SYMC). PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Barracuda tumbled 33% to $15.90.
09:29 EDTJBLUBuckeye Partners announces FERC approval of settlement with airlines
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07:16 EDTPNRAPanera Bread remains a Top Pick for 2015 at Barclays
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September 29, 2015
14:40 EDTILMNIllumina volatility increase on wide share price movement
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11:38 EDTPNRAMcDonald's rises as analysts weigh in on fast food sector
Shares of McDonald's (MCD) rose in morning trading after Credit Suisse upgraded the Big Mac maker to Outperform. Some McDonald's competitors were also active after Telsey Advisory initiated coverage on multiple companies in the quick-serve and fast casual restaurant space. WHAT'S NEW: Credit Suisse analyst Jason West upgraded McDonald's to Outperform and raised his price target on its shares to $112 from $110. West said that more improvements for the company are "forthcoming" even after CEO Steve Easterbrook announced positive operational and financial steps. The analyst added that checks suggest that U.S. same-store sales trends are beginning to turn as a result of operational and menu changes, as well as some new product wins. West said he sees 5%-6% possible upside to current 2016 expectations and views a favorable risk/reward of roughly 2%-3% downside as opposed to 20% upside, even if the turnaround is "fairly modest." NOTABLE INITIATIONS: Separately, Telsey Advisory Group analyst Bob Derrington initiated coverage of several companies in the restaurant sector, stamping Panera (PNRA) with an Outperform rating and a $225 price target. The analyst noted that the company's plan to become a better dining alternative continues to build traction and that same-store sales trends are likely to speed up in 2016 and 2017. Derrington initiated Jack in the Box (JACK) with an Outperform rating and a price target of $95, as he sees it being positioned for strong appreciation in the year ahead based on management's plan to revitalize and differentiate the Jack in the Box brand. The analyst also expects the company to further differentiate, improve the returns, and position its Qdoba brand for quick growth and recycle its franchise cash flow for better shareholder returns. Derrington initiated coverage of Chipotle (CMG) with a Market Perform rating and an $800 price target, saying that despite the firm's positive prospects due to better-than-most-peer same-store sales and revenue growth, the company's margin risk makes him take a more cautious approach to his rating of the stock. The analyst also tagged Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) with a Market Perform rating and a $220 price target, noting that the company's strong growth prospects seem to be reflected in its premium valuation. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, McDonald's shares rose 1.6% to $97.49, Panera shares gained 0.9% to $191, Jack in the Box advanced 1.1% to $78.24, Chipotle added 1% to $715 and Buffalo Wild Wings were 1.3% higher at $195.68.
11:19 EDTFFIVAnalyst rolls out coverage of IT security stocks with mixed view
Research firm Stifel initiated coverage of IT security company Barracuda Networks (CUDA) with a Buy rating and started coverage of another company in the sector, Imperva (IMPV), with a Hold rating in notes to investors this morning. WHAT'S NEW: Barracuda is "an emerging leader" in the small and medium business security and storage sectors and it's poised to replace legacy systems in those markets, Stifel analyst Gur Talpaz wrote. The lower than expected billings reported by the company for the first quarter was "an aberration," according to Talpaz, who predicts its billings growth should accelerate in Q2. Unlike legacy threat management systems, Barracuda's products can be bought individually, on an "as needed" basis, by small and medium businesses, Talpaz explained. More importantly, Barracuda's products allow a single administrator to view the majority of the company's security infrastructure from any location, Talpaz noted. Additionally, Barracuda's storage solutions can be implemented using appliance, cloud or hybrid systems, according to Talpaz, who set a $36 price target on the shares. Imperva is "the clear leader" in the small but fast growing Web Application Firewall, or WAF, market, the analyst stated. However, many companies still don't view WAF systems as necessary, reasoning that they do not have that many Web applications, according to Talpaz. Moreover, competition in the market is intense, as network vendors such as F5 Networks (FFIV) and cloud vendors such as Akamai (AKAM) are competing in the relatively small space, the analyst stated. Talpaz expects Imperva to report strong Q3 results, but heading into 2016, he believes that the company's future profitability is "limited,"while its competitive end markets will create challenges and its valuation leaves little room for error. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Talpaz also initiated coverage of another company in the sector, Qualys (QLYS), with a Hold rating. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, Barracuda slipped 1.2% to $24.33, Imperva dropped 3.6% to $63 and Qualys advanced 0.4% to $28.59.
10:00 EDTPNRAOn The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary
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06:10 EDTPNRAPanera Bread initiated with an Outperform at Telsey Advisory
Target $225.
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