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News Breaks
July 22, 2014
11:38 EDTNDLS, PNRA, FRGI, CMGChipotle hits 52-week high after beat and raise quarter
Shares of fast casual restaurant operator Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) are rallying after the company's second quarter results handily beat analysts' consensus estimates and it raised its fiscal 2014 comparable restaurant sales outlook. WHAT'S NEW: Last night, Chipotle reported Q2 earnings per share of $3.50 and revenue of $1.05B, easily beating analysts' consensus estimates of $3.08 and $988.94M, respectively. Q2 comparable restaurant sales increased 17.3%. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Chipotle raised its FY14 comparable restaurant sales outlook to mid-teens growth from high single digit growth. It forecast 180195 new restaurant openings in 2014. On the company's earnings conference call, management said throughput improved significantly during both lunch and evening hours and they expect that trend to continue for a "long, long time." They see a solid pipeline for potential new sites for this year and beyond, noting that 70% of new stores will be in developed markets. They targeted 30% restaurant operating margin in late 2014 or early 2015, up from about 27% currently. ANALYST REACTION: This morning, analyst commentary was decidedly positive. Five separate firms - Piper Jaffray, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, JP Morgan, RW Baird, and RBC Capital - all raised their respective price targets on Chipotle. Among those, Baird took its target on the stock to the highest level, hiking its target on the stock to $800 from $650. Baird called the company's Q2 results "impressive" and said it remains highly confident in Chipotle's fundamental outlook, robust traffic momentum and long-term growth prospects. The firm keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, Chipotle rose $72, or about 12%, to nearly $662 per share on nearly twice its average daily trading volume. Earlier in the session, the stock hit a new 52-week high of $663.43. Including today's advance, the stock is up approximately 65% over the past 12 months. OTHERS TO WATCH: Other companies in the fast casual restaurant space include Panera Bread (PNRA), Noodles & Company (NDLS) and Fiesta Restaurant Group (FRGI).
News For CMG;PNRA;NDLS;FRGI From The Last 14 Days
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October 9, 2015
09:49 EDTPNRAEl Pollo Loco calls active amid takeover speculation
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09:41 EDTPNRARumor: El Pollo Loco moves higher amid takeover speculation
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October 8, 2015
10:00 EDTNDLS, CMGOn The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary
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October 7, 2015
18:21 EDTCMGChipotle initiated with a Buy at SunTrust
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18:20 EDTNDLSNoodles & Company initiated with a Neutral at SunTrust
Target $15.
October 1, 2015
11:53 EDTPNRADunkin' Brands sinks after announcing plans to close 100 U.S. stores
Shares of Dunkin' Brands (DNKN), a franchisor of quick service restaurants specializing in coffee and baked goods, are falling after the company projected third quarter U.S. same-store sales that fell below the prior year period. Additionally, Dunkin' said it would close 100 stores in the U.S. in 2015 and 2016. WHAT'S NEW: This morning during its Investor & Analyst Day presentation, Dunkin' Brands repeated its adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal year 2015 of $1.87-$1.91, below analysts' consensus of $1.92. Revenue for the fiscal year is seen increasing 6%-8%, compared to the consensus of $808.07M. The company also repeated its FY15 Dunkin' Donuts U.S. SSS guidance of up 1%-3% and Baskin-Robbins U.S. SSS up 1%-3%. Looking further ahead, Dunkin' Brands said it is targeting up to 15% adjusted EPS growth over the next 5 years along with mid to high single digit revenue growth and 10%+ adjusted operating income growth. It's also targeting U.S. comps growth of 2%-4% over the next five years along with total net unit development of 4%-6%. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Dunkin' estimated that same-store sales will grow 1.1% in Q3 at its U.S. Dunkin' Donuts stores compared with a 2% increase in the year-ago period. Additionally, the company said it expects to close 100 Dunkin' Donuts U.S. stores in 2015 and 2016. Dunkin' noted that its gross openings forecast remains unchanged. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, Dunkin' Brands fell $5.34, or about 10.8%, to $43.71 on more than four times its average daily trading volume. Including today's pull back, the shares have lost approximately 1% over the past 12 months. OTHERS TO WATCH: Dunkin' Brands peers include Starbucks (SBUX) and Panera Bread (PNRA), which are down 0.1% and 1.05%, respectively.
September 30, 2015
07:16 EDTPNRAPanera Bread remains a Top Pick for 2015 at Barclays
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September 29, 2015
11:38 EDTCMG, PNRAMcDonald's rises as analysts weigh in on fast food sector
Shares of McDonald's (MCD) rose in morning trading after Credit Suisse upgraded the Big Mac maker to Outperform. Some McDonald's competitors were also active after Telsey Advisory initiated coverage on multiple companies in the quick-serve and fast casual restaurant space. WHAT'S NEW: Credit Suisse analyst Jason West upgraded McDonald's to Outperform and raised his price target on its shares to $112 from $110. West said that more improvements for the company are "forthcoming" even after CEO Steve Easterbrook announced positive operational and financial steps. The analyst added that checks suggest that U.S. same-store sales trends are beginning to turn as a result of operational and menu changes, as well as some new product wins. West said he sees 5%-6% possible upside to current 2016 expectations and views a favorable risk/reward of roughly 2%-3% downside as opposed to 20% upside, even if the turnaround is "fairly modest." NOTABLE INITIATIONS: Separately, Telsey Advisory Group analyst Bob Derrington initiated coverage of several companies in the restaurant sector, stamping Panera (PNRA) with an Outperform rating and a $225 price target. The analyst noted that the company's plan to become a better dining alternative continues to build traction and that same-store sales trends are likely to speed up in 2016 and 2017. Derrington initiated Jack in the Box (JACK) with an Outperform rating and a price target of $95, as he sees it being positioned for strong appreciation in the year ahead based on management's plan to revitalize and differentiate the Jack in the Box brand. The analyst also expects the company to further differentiate, improve the returns, and position its Qdoba brand for quick growth and recycle its franchise cash flow for better shareholder returns. Derrington initiated coverage of Chipotle (CMG) with a Market Perform rating and an $800 price target, saying that despite the firm's positive prospects due to better-than-most-peer same-store sales and revenue growth, the company's margin risk makes him take a more cautious approach to his rating of the stock. The analyst also tagged Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) with a Market Perform rating and a $220 price target, noting that the company's strong growth prospects seem to be reflected in its premium valuation. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, McDonald's shares rose 1.6% to $97.49, Panera shares gained 0.9% to $191, Jack in the Box advanced 1.1% to $78.24, Chipotle added 1% to $715 and Buffalo Wild Wings were 1.3% higher at $195.68.
10:00 EDTCMG, PNRAOn The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary
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06:44 EDTCMGChipotle initiated with a Market Perform at Telsey Advisory
Target $800.
06:10 EDTPNRAPanera Bread initiated with an Outperform at Telsey Advisory
Target $225.

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