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February 28, 2014
09:01 EDTNFLX, CMCSA, CCOICogent should be bought on recent weakness, says Pacific Crest
Pacific Crest believes that investors have overreacted to Cogent's (CCOI) slightly lower than expected Q4 revenue, and the deal between Netflix (NFLX) and Comcast (CMCSA). The firm does not expect many deals in which Cogent is circumvented to be made, and it predicts that Cogent will remain a major Internet traffic provider. The firm expects Netflix's deal to have little impact on Cogent. It keeps a $46 price target and Outperform rating on Cogent.
News For CCOI;NFLX;CMCSA From The Last 14 Days
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September 29, 2015
15:19 EDTNFLXDiscovery drops as investor day fails to dispell cord-cutting fears
Shares of Discovery Communications (DISCA) have dropped today as the company held its first-ever investor day amid ongoing concerns about the potential decline of pay TV. NEW GUIDANCE: Discovery Chief Financial Officer Andrew Warren updated the company's full year 2015 outlook, saying he expects constant currency adjusted earnings per share to grow in the low double digits. The company expects revenue for the year to grow 9%-10%, with free cash flow up in low single digits. Meanwhile, year over year currency headwinds were seen deducting $460M from revenue and 24c-29c from adjusted EPS. Discovery also established long-term guidance, saying it sees its adjusted EPS compound annual growth rate up in low double digits from 2015 to 2018, on a constant currency basis. "Third quarter results are on track, highlighted by strong U.S. advertising growth," Warren added. THREE BILLION SUBSCRIBERS: CEO David Zaslav commented during the investor day that the company is "confident in the long-term outlook for our business," adding that Discovery expects to reach 3B cumulative worldwide subscribers by year's end. The Chief Executive highlighted what he called five differentiators for Discovery's growth potential, including its ownership of a growing and diverse portfolio of content and IP "that uniquely positions Discovery for the changing media landscape." CORD CUTTING: Multiple Discovery executives showcased the company's European products, including Eurosport and the Eurosport Player OTT service, as well as the company's apparent first-mover advantage in Latin America. The seemingly increased attention on foreign initiatives comes as U.S. cord-cutting trends continue generating headlines, with Citi analyst Jason Bazinet arguing as recently as September 18 that Disney (DIS) would be the only cable network to make more money in a bundle-free world. According to media reports of today's Discovery event, Chief Executive Zaslav said "it's not rational" that media companies are selling so much of their content to streaming services like Netflix (NFLX) that threaten the appeal of cable bundles. The CEO added that Discovery has assumed a 1%-2% decline in pay TV over "the next couple of years," though he reassured investor day attendees that the company's adjusted operating income should be roughly flat even in a worst-case scenario. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Discovery crashed as much as 7% in early morning trading before seeing hesitant moves higher. The stock is down just under 4% to roughly $26.70 heading towards session close.
15:09 EDTNFLXNetflix may test recent support
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11:09 EDTCMCSAGoPro announces launch of channel on Comcast Watchable
GoPro (GPRO) announced it's bringing the GoPro Channel to Watchable, Comcast's (CMCSA, CMCSK) new, cross-platform video service. GoPro's first Multichannel Video Programming Distributor agreement will deliver GoPro content to users on iOS,, and X1. Launching in beta, all Watchable content is free, the company stated.
11:07 EDTNFLXNetflix, Virgin America partner to offer passengers free WiFi access to Netflix
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11:05 EDTCMCSAComcast launches video platform Watchable, Business Insider reports
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10:37 EDTNFLXNetflix could announce strategic cooperation with Wanda Group, Techweb says
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09:35 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
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09:19 EDTCCOI, NFLXDeutsche Bank to hold a conference
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September 28, 2015
16:00 EDTNFLXOptions Update; September 28, 2015
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10:02 EDTNFLXNetflix licenses global streaming rights for 'Colony'
Netflix, Inc., Legendary Television and Universal Cable Productions announced that Netflix has acquired subscription video on demand rights on a global basis to COLONY, a highly anticipated new drama from Carlton Cuse and Ryan Condal, which premieres on USA January 14, 2016. COLONY is a co-production between Legendary Television and Universal Cable Productions.
07:56 EDTNFLXNetflix appears to have a hit with Narcos, says UBS
UBS analyst Doug Mitchelson said the firm's "Evidence Lab" found that Netflix' Narcos is already among the top four most liked of the company's original shows on Facebook in less than 1 month after premiering, adding that the reception of the show has been particularly strong in Latin America. The apparent hit increases the firm's confidence in Q3 subscriber growth estimates for both the U.S. and international markets, Mitchelson told investors in a research note. The analyst also noted that Netflix ranked sixth in week 1 and 24th in week 2 in terms of iOS app downloads for Japan after launching there. Though the launch is the weakest internationally since 2013, the size of the market should still let it contribute to Q3, wrote Mitchelson who keeps a Buy rating and $143 price target on Netflix shares.
06:27 EDTNFLXNetflix acquires rights to three more TV shows, Variety reports
Netflix has acquired the global streaming rights to CW's "Jane the Virgin," USA's "Colony" and CBS's "Zoo," sources confirm to Variety. Netflix previously announced the acquisition of exclusive global rights to ABC's "How to Get Away with Murder." Reference Link
06:08 EDTCMCSAComcast NBCUniversal to acquire 51% stake in Universal Studios Japan
Comcast NBCUniversal (CMCSA) announced that it has agreed to purchase 51% ownership of Universal Studios Japan in a recapitalization transaction, partnering with the current owners including Goldman Sachs (GS), USJ's CEO Glenn Gumpel, Asian private-equity firm MBK Partners, and U.S. hedge fund Owl Creek Asset Management. Comcast NBCUniversal's purchase price for the majority ownership of the theme park destination is Y183B, or $1.5B. "We are excited to expand our global footprint with this wonderful theme park in Osaka and are excited by the opportunities that lie ahead in Japan and all of Asia," said Brian L. Roberts, Chairman and CEO of Comcast. "This investment represents a huge opportunity and commitment to creating value for our shareholders and continuing to grow internationally." Acquiring majority ownership of Universal Studios Japan continues Comcast NBCUniversal's ongoing investment strategy for it's U.S. parks in Orlando and Hollywood.
September 27, 2015
19:39 EDTCMCSA'Hotel Transylvania 2' bites down in record-setting debut
Animated children's film "Hotel Transylvania 2" set a domestic record for September while "Maze Runner" and "Black Mass" dropped in their second weekends at the box office. WEEKEND LEADER: Sony's (SNE) computer animated comedy "Hotel Transylvania 2" grossed $47.5M during its domestic open for the weekend of September 27, beating expectations for $35M-$40M and setting a new record for September box office debuts. Adam Sandler, Selena Gomez, and others returned to provide voice acting for the monster-themed movie, which saw the biggest open yet for Sony Pictures Animation. BOX OFFICE RUNNERS-UP: With Robert DeNiro and Anne Hathaway in leading roles, Time Warner (TWX) subsidiary Warner Bros.' "The Intern" opened at $18.2M against estimates sales of $15M-$20M. Fox's (FOX, FOXA) "Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials" came in third with $14M after grossing $30.3M domestically during last weekend's debut. Meanwhile, Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK) subsidiary Universal's "Everest" jumped to $13.1M after significantly expanding its screen count, while Warner Bros.' "Black Mass" rounded out this weekend's Top 5 at $11.5M.
September 25, 2015
16:00 EDTNFLXOptions Update; September 25, 2015
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures up 66c to 25.09. Option volume leaders: AAPL NFLX BAC FB AU NKE PFE INTC AMZN TSLA
13:17 EDTCMCSAFly Watch: 'Hotel Transylvania 2' expected to top weekend box office
Sony's (SNE) animated sequel "'Hotel Transylvania 2," which is opening in 3,600 theaters, is expected to win this weekend's box office with a domestic gross of $35M-$40M. The next bunch of films are all expecting similar grosses in the mid-to-high teens. Time Warner (TWX) subsidiary Warner Bros.' comedy "The Intern," starring Robert DeNiro and Anne Hathaway, is estimated to open in the $15M-$20M range in 3,305 theaters. Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK) subsidiary Universal's "Everest," which opened last weekend on IMAX (IMAX), is expanding to over 3,000 theaters this weekend and is estimated to gross in the range of $15M-$17M. Fox's (FOX, FOXA) "Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials," which grossed $30.3M domestically for the weekend of September 20, is expected to earn an estimated $16M in its second weekend of release. Warner Bros.' Whitey Bulger biopic "Black Mass," which took in $23.4M in its domestic opening last weekend, is expected to gross $12.5M-$13M this weekend. Additionally, Lions Gate's (LGF) drug cartel drama "Sicario" is playing in about 50 theaters ahead of the film's wide release on October 2.
11:58 EDTNFLXStocks with call strike movement; TWTR NFLX
Twitter (TWTR) January 32 call option implied volatility increased 2% to 53, Netflix (NFLX) January 115.7 call option implied volatility decreased 2% to 55 according to IVolatility.
10:48 EDTNFLX, CMCSAMorgan Stanley cautious on media, but sees several stocks punished too hard
Morgan Stanley cut its price targets on a number of media companies, citing the impact of cord cutting and skinny bundles. The firm also reduced its outlook for the pay-TV sector due to its belief that the adoption of skinny bundles will accelerate, while the outlook for cable TV ads has deteriorated slightly, given macro pressures. The firm kept a Cautious view on the media sector, but also identified several stocks in the space that it thinks have been punished too harshly by investors recently. WHAT'S NEW: TV networks in general, and cable networks in particular, have the highest margins in media and are encountering increased top and bottom line competitive pressures, Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne believes. On the top line, they are being hit by ratings and ad pressures as well as cord cutting and distribution consolidation, the analyst stated. Meanwhile, their profit is being hurt by the increased need to obtain new content and intensified competition for content from new sources like Netflix (NFLX) and Google's (GOOG) YouTube, Swinburne said. However, the analyst thinks that media stocks are "starting to get" cheap, given the leverage that many of the companies carry. Swinburne cuts his price target on 21st Century Fox (FOXA) to $31 from $37, on AMC Networks (AMCX) to $86 from $88, on CBS (CBS) to $46 from $56, on Time Warner (TWX) to $72 from $87 and on Viacom (VIAB) to $48 from $60. He kept Overweight ratings on Fox, AMC and CBS, an Equal Weight rating on Time Warner and an Underweight rating on Viacom. OVERDONE DECLINES: Swinburne believes that the declines in three media stocks - CBS, 21st Century Fox, and AMC Networks - have been overdone, while the decline in Comcast's (CMCSA) stock has also been excessive. CBS and 21st Century Fox are "best positioned for the skinny bundle" and have the cheapest valuations relative to their growth rates, Swinburne believes. Meanwhile, AMC Networks has "content momentum" and its EPS can exceed expectations, the analyst believes. Comcast is gaining share in the broadband Internet market, could take share in video soon, and has sufficient scale and offerings to benefit from the increased popularity of skinny bundles, according to the analyst, who kept an Overweight rating on the stock. The media sector could benefit from consolidation going forward, added Swinburne, who recommended that investors interested in buying potential takeover targets in the space focus on AMC Networks, MSG Networks (MSG) and Dreamworks Animation (DWA). He kept Overweight ratings on all three of those stocks. OTHERS TO WATCH: Besides Comcast, other pay TV companies include DISH Network (DISH) and Charter Communications (CHTR). PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Fox A shares lost 0.5% to $25.83, AMC fell 0.3% to $73.29, CBS added 0.2% to $41, Time Warner was little changed at $67.66 and Comcast A shares added 0.6% to $57.17.
09:34 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL BAC FB NKE NFLX PFE AU TSLA
06:13 EDTNFLXPiper's Munster sees building virtual reality momentum for Facebook
Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster says Facebook's (FB) virtual reality theme is building momentum after its Oculus unit announced a 50% price cut for its mobile VR solution headset to $99. Also announced was that the headset, named Gear VR, will work with five phones versus three in the past. A better virtual reality experience is now available to a larger market and the "critically important" content is growing, Munster tells investors in a research note. Oculus has partnerships with Netflix (NFLX), Hulu, Tivo (TIVO), Sega and Midway to bring their content into Gear VR, Munster points out. He expects Samsung to sell 5M-10M Oculus enabled Gear VR headsets next year, up from around 1M in 2015. Munster maintains an Overweight rating on Facebook with a $146 price target. The stock closed yesterday up 44c to $94.41.
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