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December 17, 2012
11:21 EDTDNKN, SBUX, BAGL, PNRA, CBOUCoffee retailers rise after acquisition of Caribou Coffee
A number of retailers that specialize in selling coffee are advancing after Germany's Joh. A. Benckiser Group announced earlier today that it would acquire Caribou Coffee Company (CBOU) for $16 per share, or about $340M. The deal represents a premium of about 30% over Caribou's closing stock price on Friday. Caribou had about 581 coffeehouses, including 169 franchised locations, in the U.S. as of January 1, 2012, according to Reuters. In late morning trading, Starbucks (SBUX) climbed 1.80% to $54.32, Dunkin Brands (DNKN) increased 2.50% to $32.45, Einstein Noah (BAGL) gained 2.39% to $16.02 and Panera Bread (PNRA) rose 1.44% to $160.46.
News For CBOU;BAGL;DNKN;PNRA;SBUX From The Last 14 Days
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November 23, 2015
10:54 EDTPNRABattleground: Analysts vary widely in assessing E. coli impact on Chipotle
Research firms had very different views on Chipotle's (CMG) outlook after the company announced late Friday afternoon that six new cases of E coli linked to its restaurants had been identified in four additional states, triggering a 12.5% decline in the shares. JPMorgan wrote that the selloff in the stock was overdone, as the E.Coli outbreak should have only "a limited impact" on the company's results. Similarly, research firm William Blair does not expect the casual dining company's results to be meaningfully impacted by the news. However, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch downgraded the stock two notches, to the firm's equivalent of a Sell, and Sterne Agee cut its rating on the name to Neutral, with both firms predicting that the new E.coli cases would meaningfully hurt Chipotle's results. BACKGROUND: Chipotle announced that it was informed by the federal government that six new cases of E.coli had been found which matched a previous strain of the disease linked to the company's restaurants. Five of the six newly diagnosed individuals reported that they had recently eaten at Chipotle restaurants, the company reported late Friday. The previous outbreak of E.coli had been restricted to Washington state and Oregon, but the new cases involved individuals living in California, New York, Minnesota and Ohio. BULLS: According to JPMorgan analyst John Ivankoe, the selloff in Chipotle's stock is overdone, as the E.coli outbreak seems to be "very contained and minor." The six additional cases do not mean that a "widespread outbreak" has occurred, wrote the analyst, who expects the company's comp sales to drop about 2% this quarter and to be flat in the first quarter of 2016 before rising 2% in both Q2 and Q3. Moreover, he believes that "numerous" initiatives that the company is undertaking could drive its comp sales higher. Ivankoe trimmed his price target on the name to $680 from $750 but kept an Overweight rating on the shares. William Blair analyst Sharon Zackfia says that if the 12.5% drop in the stock on Friday implies that 12.5% of the company's 2016 profits could be at risk, it appears investors expect the company's same-store sales to decline 7%-8% next year. Zackfia says that such a decline is "highly unlikely," and she believes that Chipotle's same-store sales could actually "firm" in 2016. The analyst, who expects the company to emerge "largely unscathed" from the outbreak, kept an Outperform rating on the stock. BEARS: BofA Merrill Lynch analyst Joseph Buckley lowered his rating on Chipotle two notches to Underperform, the firm's equivalent of Sell, from Buy. The new cases suggest that the E.coli outbreak is national and not just confined to the Pacific Northwest region, the analyst stated. Chipotle's same-store sales will drop 4% this quarter, as the short-term impact on the company could be magnified because it has benefited in the past from being seen as having high quality food, Buckley believes. However, the analyst added that he does not expect the E.coli outbreak to hurt the company over the longer term. Nonetheless, he slashed his price target on the name to $470 from $750. Also downgrading Chipotle was Sterne Agee analyst Lynne Collier, who cut her rating on the name to Neutral from Buy. The fact that the source of the problem has not been identified creates doubt about whether the bad news for the company is over, Collier believes. Although the new cases of E.coli appear to have occurred during the same time period as the previous reported cases, the company's sales could still be negatively affected for 6-12 months, wrote the analyst, who now expects its SSS to fall 2% this quarter. She lowered her 2016 EPS estimate for the company to $19.22 from $20.40. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Maxim Group upgraded its rating on Panera Bread (PNRA) to Buy from Hold, predicting that the restaurant operator would benefit from Chipotle's problems. The firm set a $210 price target on the shares. Yum! Brands' (YUM) Taco Bell and Jack in the Box's (JACK) Qdoba are other competitors of Chipotle. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Chipotle rebounded 6% to $568.33.
10:00 EDTPNRAOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) upgraded to Peer Perform from Underperform at Wolfe Research... Constellation Brands (STZ) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen... Dick's Sporting (DKS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... Encana (ECA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Evercore ISI... Genomic Health (GHDX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... HP Inc. (HPQ) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim... Heritage Commerce (HTBK) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Sandler O'Neill... James River Group (JRVR) upgraded on improved outlook at BMO Capital... Kellogg (K) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse... KeyCorp (KEY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies... Och-Ziff Capital (OZM) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette... PBF Energy (PBF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Panera Bread (PNRA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim... Parkway Properties (PKY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho... PepsiCo (PEP) upgraded to Neutral from Reduce at Nomura... Sanchez Energy (SN) upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at KLR Group... Sonoco (SON) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie... Synchrony (SYF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Sterne Agee CRT... Telecom Argentina (TEO) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Teva (TEVA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... TransAlta (TAC) upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital... Universal Insurance (UVE) upgraded to Outperform at Keefe Bruyette... Willis Group (WSH) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank... YPF (YPF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
08:08 EDTPNRAMaxim sees Panera benefiting from Chipotle woes, upgrades to Buy
As reported previously, Maxim analyst Stephen Anderson upgraded Panera Bread (PNRA) to Buy from Hold, contending that the fast casual chain will be a beneficiary of market share gains at the expense of Chipotle (CMG) as the Mexican restaurant chain experiences extended sales pressure due to the recent E. coli outbreak linked to its locations. Anderson, who also expects rising same-restaurant sales, easier labor comparisons and lower commodity costs to see Panera's margin expansion to return by end 2016, raised his price target on the stock to $210 from $208.
07:28 EDTPNRAPanera Bread upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim
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November 18, 2015
10:01 EDTDNKNDunkin' Brands testing on-the-go ordering, delivery service in select markets
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08:36 EDTSBUXStarbucks sees expanding gross margin in 2016
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08:20 EDTSBUXStarbucks sees no impact from economic weakness in China
Says lunch and afternoon offerings are increasingly relevant to customers. Says has started to roll out Evenings program in multiple stores. Says food makes up 20% of sales, up from 17% a few years ago. Says goal to have food make up 25% of sales. Says Morning Daypart sales up 22% over past five years. Says "a lot of opportunity" in lunch. Says breakfast sandwich sales have doubled over past three years. Says all comp growth in China is traffic. Says growing store portfolio in China at 30% per year clip. Sees no impact from economic weakness in China.
08:15 EDTSBUXStarbucks CFO: 1,500 stores in U.S. have Clover machines, up 50% y/y
Says 1,500 stores have Clover machines now in the U.S., up 50% year over year. Sees selling premium coffees in more international markets. Sees opening 500 larger-format reserve cafes. Says focusing on elevating tea presence in stores. Says Teavana brand driving revenue growth, contributing to comp growth. Plans to have Teavana in more Starbucks stores worldwide.
08:10 EDTSBUXStarbucks sees annual EPS growth of at least 15%
Sees annual revenue growth of about 10%. Says at mid-to-single digit comps each quarter. Says growing comps at 8%. Says playing "the long game." Says growth built on innovation, store experience. Says will see softness in topline unless it invests heavily in store experience. Says food is growing faster than beverage in U.S. stores. Says started to invest in "partner digital." Says customer-facing digital apps and technology is industry leading, though lagging behind in partner-facing digital technology. Says employee turnover is down. Comments taken from Morgan Stanley Global Consumer and Retail Conference.
07:19 EDTSBUX, DNKNDunkin' Donuts tests mobile ordering app, Bloomberg reports
Dunkin' Donuts, owned by Dunkin' Brands (DNKN), is aiming to play catch up to Starbucks (SBUX) by testing a mobile ordering and delivery service in certain U.S. markets, Bloomberg reports. Starting Wednesday, 124 Dunkin' locations in Portland, Maine, will let customers order ahead of time through an app, the report says. Roughly 19 cafes in Dallas are also testing the delivery, with additional locations in Atlanta, Chicago, L.A., and Washington coming soon, the report says. Reference Link
November 17, 2015
07:52 EDTSBUXMorgan Stanley to hold a conference
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November 16, 2015
17:02 EDTSBUXPoint72 added to lululemon position, subtracted from Netflix position
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November 12, 2015
18:48 EDTPNRAMcDonald's CEO: Pace of change had slowed within company, NYT reports
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