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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News Breaks
January 24, 2014
14:08 EDTCATEarnings Preview: Caterpillar expects Q4 profit lower than Q3
Caterpillar (CAT) is expected to report fourth quarter earnings on Monday, January 27 before the market open with a conference call scheduled for 11:00 am ET. Caterpillar is a manufacturer of mining and construction equipment. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $1.28 on revenue of $13.64B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is $1.20-$1.39 on revenue of $13.16B-$14.11B. LAST QUARTER: Caterpillar reported Q3 EPS of $1.45 against estimates for $1.67. Q3 revenue came in at $13.42B against estimates for $14.32B. On its Q3 report, the company lowered its FY13 EPS and revenue guidance, citing concern about a reduction in mining orders. Caterpillar cut its FY13 EPS view to $5.50 from $6.50, compared to a consensus at the time of $6.20. Its FY13 revenue view was lowered to $55B from $56B-$58B, versus a consensus at the time of $56.46B. The company also lowered its FY13 guidance following both its Q1 and Q2 reports. Caterpillar forecast FY14 sales of $52.25B-$57.75B, compared to expectations of $58.65B. The company said the 2014 outlook reflected uncertainty, and it expected to take "deeper actions" to improve its cost structure and balance sheet. On January 24, the company reported dealer machinery sales were down 9% in the past three months. STREET RESEARCH: Street research has been mostly negative in the weeks leading up to Caterpillar's Q4 earnings report. On October 24, JP Morgan downgraded Caterpillar to Neutral from Overweight, citing execution and rising headwinds following the company's weaker than expected Q3 results. The firm lowered its price target for the shares to $90 from $105. On November 7, ISI Group downgraded Caterpillar to Neutral from Buy. On November 25, BofA/Merrill upgraded Caterpillar to Buy from Neutral. The firm believed Caterpillar's Power System segment was an overlooked source of 2014 operating earnings and would help support profit of at least $4.50-$5.00 per share. BofA placed a $100 price target on the shares. PRICE ACTION: Caterpillar’s shares have traded modestly higher since the company's Q3 results, but are down over 10% from year ago levels. In afternoon trading ahead of Monday's Q4 report, Caterpillar’s shares are down over 2.5%.
News For CAT From The Last 14 Days
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January 28, 2016
10:46 EDTCATCaterpillar retraces much of its gains, levels to watch
Shares hit an intraday high of $62.45 following earnings and outlook, but has given back much of that gain with price last at $59.42. At that price next support is at $58.68. Resistance is at $60.78.
08:33 EDTCATOptions expected to be active
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07:36 EDTCATCaterpillar Financial reports Q4 revenue $648M, profit after tax $114M
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07:35 EDTCATCaterpillar sees FY16 Energy & Transportation sales to decline 10%-15%
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07:35 EDTCATCaterpillar sees FY16 EPS excluding restructuring costs $4.00, consensus $3.48
Expects restructuring costs in 2016 to be about $400M or about 50c per share.
07:34 EDTCATCaterpillar sees FY16 EPS $3.50, consensus $3.48
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07:33 EDTCATCaterpillar does not anticipate improvement in world economy, commodity prices
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07:33 EDTCATCaterpillar reports Q4 EPS excluding items 74c, consensus 69c
Reports Q4 revenue $11B, consensus $11.43B.
January 27, 2016
14:34 EDTCATNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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12:26 EDTCATCaterpillar volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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11:44 EDTCATEarnings Watch: Analysts cautious on Caterpillar ahead of Q4 results
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10:04 EDTCATCaterpillar falls, levels to watch
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09:12 EDTCATCaterpillar reports retail machines sales down 16% in three months end December
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January 25, 2016
16:14 EDTCATOn The Fly: Top stock stories for Monday
Stocks began the session in negative territory and remained there throughout the day. The market has yet to de-couple from oil prices, as stocks continue to move in the direction of the commodity. The averages almost made it back to positive ground in the early afternoon, but with oil down more than 4% the sellers emerged and pushed the market toward session lows. The market continued to lose ground as oil fell further, giving up nearly 6% by the close on the New York Mercantile Exchange, bringing stocks' two day win streak to an end. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., the economic calendar was light. The Dallas Fed manufacturing survey, the lone report of note, came in at -34.6, below the revised prior reading of -21.6 and short of the consensus -14.5 forecast. West Texas Intermediate for March delivery fell $1.85, or 5.8%, to close at $30.34 a barrel on the NYMEX. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of McDonald's (MCD) advanced 0.7% to $119.20 after the fast food giant reported better than expected earnings and comparable sales growth for the fourth quarter, powered by the launch of All Day Breakfast in the U.S... Twitter (TWTR) fell 4.6% to $17.02 after CEO Jack Dorsey confirmed on Sunday night the departure of four company executives, leading research firm Stifel to downgrade the shares... Tyco (TYC) jumped 11.6% to $34.15 after reaching a merger agreement with Johnson Controls (JCI) which will see Johnson shareholders owning 56% of the combined company's equity. Johnson Controls fell 3.9% to $34.21 following the merger announcement. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Valeant (VRX), which rose 4.55% to $92.63 after hospitalized CEO Michael Pearson said he is "on the road to recovery" after a bout of pneumonia. The news was followed by announcements that Valeant has sold three of its skincare brands and received FDA acceptance of its biologics license application for psoriasis drug Brodalumab. Also higher was SunEdison (SUNE), which advanced 2.6% to $2.72 after the Wall Street Journal reported that the company is set to give David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital a seat on its board. Meanwhile, energy savings firm EnerNOC (ENOC) jumped 69.5% to $7.05 after the Supreme Court ruled in favor of FERC's so-called "demand response" rule, sending energy generators Dynegy (DYN) and Talen Energy (TLN) down a respective 11.6% and 6.2%. Among the noteworthy losers was OncoMed (OMED), which plunged 42.9% to $10.04 after its Phase 2 trial of tarextumab in pancreatic cancer showed futility in an interim analysis. Also lower were containerboard and paper makers KapStone (KS), WestRock (WRK) and Packaging Corp (PKG), which dropped about 21%, 15% and 13%, respectively, after an industry publication reported that prices in the sector had declined. Additionally, Caterpillar (CAT) was the Dow's biggest decliner Monday, sinking 5% to $57.90 after being downgraded to Sell at Goldman Sachs. INDEXES: The Dow fell 208.29, or 1.29%, to 15,885.22, the Nasdaq lost 72.69, or 1.58%, to 4,518.49, and the S&P 500 declined 29.82, or 1.56%, to 1,877.08.
12:17 EDTCATOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street were lower at midday as oil prices resumed their slide, giving up some of the surge the commodity saw to close out last week. The stock market, which has been highly correlated with oil lately, continues to be led around by energy prices once again today. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., the economic calendar was light with the Dallas Fed manufacturing survey the lone report of note. The survey came in at -34.6, below the revised prior reading of -21.6 and short of the consensus -14.5 forecast. WTI crude oil dropped about 5% to trade near $30.50 per barrel near midday. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of McDonald's (MCD) advanced a bit over 1% after the fast food giant reported better than expected earnings and comparable sales growth for the fourth quarter, powered by the launch of All Day Breakfast in the U.S. On the other side of the Dow was Caterpillar (CAT), which fell nearly 4% to lead the bluechip index on the down side after its stock was downgraded to Sell at Goldman Sachs... Twitter (TWTR) fell about 4% after CEO Jack Dorsey confirmed on Sunday night the departure of four company executives, leading research firm Stifel to downgrade the shares. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Tyco (TYC), which rallied 10.8% after it announced that it entered into a definitive merger agreement with Johnson Controls (JCI). Johnson shares fell 2% after the deal announcement. Also higher was Williams Partners (WPZ), which gained 7% after it lowered its estimate of its 2016 growth capital funding needs to $2B, 32% lower than its previous plans. Among the noteworthy losers was OncoMed (OMED), which fell 46% after the company said its Phase 2 ALPINE clinical trial showed futility on an interim analysis. Also lower were KapStone (KS), WestRock (WRK), and Packaging Corp (PKG), which dropped 20%, 13%, and 11%, respectively, after an industry publication reported that prices in the sector had declined. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 78.00, or 0.48%, to 16,015.51, the Nasdaq was down 23.34, or 0.51%, to 4,567.84, and the S&P 500 was down 11.89, or 0.62%, to 1,895.01.
11:39 EDTCATCaterpillar volatility increases after Goldman cuts rating to sell into Q4
Caterpillar January weekly call option implied volatility is at 71, February is at 42; compared to its 52-week range of 16 to 41, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q4 results on January 28.
11:18 EDTCATGoldman says sell Caterpillar with more pain to come from commodity slump
The shares of Caterpillar (CAT) are dropping after Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to Sell from Neutral. Demand for machinery will probably drop as commodity producers continue to lower their capital expenditures going forward, the firm believes. WHAT'S NEW: Commodity producers are likely to reduce their capital spending, including their expenditures on machinery, according to Goldman analyst Jerry Revich. These trends will be driven by the producers' "challenging returns" and weak balance sheets, he believes. The commodity producers' slump will affect Caterpillar in two ways, the analyst explained. Specifically, 30% of Caterpillar's revenue is derived from commodity producers, while it obtains 25% of its revenue from countries that export commodities, where overall demand for machinery will probably fall, explained Revich. Moreover, although analysts' consensus estimates indicate that they expect Caterpillar's profit to bottom this year, capital spending in Caterpillar's main end markets appears to be above average levels, said Revich, who expects the company's 2017 EPS to come in 15% below the consensus outlook. The analyst cut his price target on the shares to $51 from $67. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Caterpillar dropped 4% to $58.54. Other machinery makers also declined, with Deere (DE) falling 2.8% to $72.54, AGCO Corporation (AGCO) slumping 3.6% to $44.28 and Joy Global (JOY) giving back 3.2% to $8.73.
10:00 EDTCATOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: American Eagle (AEO) downgraded to Hold from Buy at BB&T... American Express (AXP) downgraded on weak revenue outlook at Argus... Bristol-Myers (BMY) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital... Caterpillar (CAT) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Crestwood Equity (CEQP) downgraded to Neutral on potential distribution cut at Baird... Cummins (CMI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi... Federal Realty (FRT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Evercore ISI... GKN PLC (GKNLY) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse... Galapagos NV (GLPG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at GoldmanvHortonworks (HDP) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer... International Flavors (IFF) downgraded on headwinds at Stifel... International Paper (IP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi... JPMorgan (JPM) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura... KapStone (KS) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Macquarie... Mosaic (MOS) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... NetSuite (N) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens... ONEOK Partners (OKS) downgraded to Neutral at Baird... OvaScience (OVAS) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer... Packaging Corp. (PKG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi... Potash (POT) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Power Solutions (PSIX) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray... Raymond James (RJF) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura... Regeneron (REGN) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Chardan... SanDisk (SNDK) downgraded to Underperform from Outperform at CLSA... Toll Brothers (TOL) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at JMP Securities... Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel... WPX Energy (WPX) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at Iberia... WestRock (WRK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill... Whole Foods (WFM) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... Zurich Insurance (ZURVY) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas.
09:03 EDTCATOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
HIGHER: Tyco (TYC) and Johnson Controls (JCI), up 9% and 1%, respectively, after announcing a definitive merger agreement. Johnson Controls shareholders will own approximately 56% of the equity of the combined company, while current Tyco shareholders will own approximately 44%... SunEdison (SUNE), up 10% after the Wall Street Journal reported that the company is set to give David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital a seat on its board... Affimed Therapeutics (AFMD), up 26% after entering a clinical research collaboration in immuno-oncology with Merck (MRK). UP AFTER EARNINGS: McDonald's (MCD), up 3%... LOWER: Twitter (TWTR), down 5% after its CEO Jack Dorsey confirmed in a tweet last night that several executives are departing the company. Media reports also indicate that, as part of its shake-up, Twitter intends to bring in two new members to its board as soon as this week... OncoMed (OMED), down 38% after an independent data safety monitoring board remarked on several findings regarding futility of the company's Phase 2 ALPINE clinical trial... Medivation (MDVN), down 7% after FDA places investigational new drug application for MDV9300 on partial clinical hold... International Paper (IP), down 4.8%, Packaging Corp. (PKG), down 4.8%, WestRock (WRK), down 6%, after Pulp & Paper Week reduced January kraftliner and corrugated medium prices... Caterpillar (CAT), down 4% after Goldman cuts rating to sell... Regeneron (REGN), down 3% after downgraded at Chardan to sell. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Kimberly-Clark (KMB), down 2.5%.
08:59 EDTCATCaterpillar falls in pre-market
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