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April 19, 2013
11:22 EDTCATEarnings Preview: Caterpillar sees Q1 sales, profit down from prior year
Caterpillar (CAT) is expected to report first quarter earnings on Monday, April 22 before the market open with a conference call scheduled for 11:00 am ET. Caterpillar is a manufacturer of mining and construction equipment. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $1.42 on revenue of $13.72B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is $1.20-$1.70 on revenue of $12.53B-$14.65B. LAST QUARTER: Caterpillar reported fourth quarter EPS of $1.04 against estimates for $1.70, though its results included a charge of $580M, or 87c per share. Q4 revenue came in at $16.08B against estimates for $16.12B. In its Q4 report, the company forecast Q1 sales and profit significantly lower on a year-over-year basis. Management said, “While we are not providing a specific sales and profit outlook for 1Q13, we are expecting that they are likely to be significantly lower than 1Q12. The middle of our full-year outlook for sales is about $2B below 2012 levels. We expect that revenue will decline more than $2B in 1Q13 compared with 1Q12. Much of the expected decline in Q1 sales is a result of the continuation of reduced production as dealers are expected to continue to lower their new machine inventories. We expect that dealer inventory reductions will be negative to sales in 1Q13, while in 1Q12 dealers increased inventory which benefited Caterpillar. Profit is also expected to be significantly lower in 1Q13 versus 1Q12—a result of lower expected sales and the negative cost impact of continuing low production levels and declining inventory.” STREET RESEARCH: Street research has been mixed in the weeks leading up to Caterpillar's Q1 earnings report. Sentiment was positive early in the quarter, but turned negative over the past month. On January 29, CLSA upgraded Caterpillar to a Buy from Outperform and raised its price target to $115 from $105. Standpoint Research initiated the shares with a Buy rating and a price target of $105 on March 20. On April 3, Goldman downgraded Caterpillar to a Neutral from a Buy, citing a reduced outlook for iron ore prices and mining equipment capital expenditures. The firm no longer saw upside to consensus estimates given the oversupplied commodity environment and lowered their price target to $101 from $116. PRICE ACTION: Caterpillar’s shares have traded approximately 17% lower since Q4’s results were released in late January. In late morning trading ahead of Monday's Q1 report, Caterpillar’s shares are up 0.2%.
News For CAT From The Last 14 Days
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November 19, 2015
10:26 EDTCATGoldman says sell Titan with ag and mining weakness expected to continue
Goldman Sachs downgraded Titan International (TWI) to Sell from Neutral today, saying that weakness in agriculture and mining would continue to weigh on the company's results. Goldman's downgrade comes after the company reported much weaker than expected results on November 6. Titan makes tires and wheels used in off-road vehicles which are utilized by farmers and mining and construction companies. WHAT'S NEW Titan derives 80% of its revenue from agriculture and mining, so the weakness in those sectors will continue to hurt its results going forward, wrote Goldman analyst David Tamberino. Additionally, farmers have less money to spend on capital projects, reducing the likelihood that they will adopt Titan's new LSW tires, according to the analyst. Given these factors and the January 2017 maturity of Titan's convertible note, the company could be faced with a cash crunch, the analyst warned. Moreover, Titan is facing increased competition, according to Tamberino. He sharply lowered his 2015-2017 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization estimates for the company and slashed his price target on the name to $3 from $8. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Deere (DE), Caterpillar (CAT), and AGCO (AGCO) sell heavy machinery used in agriculture. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Titan sank 11% to $4.50.
November 16, 2015
15:36 EDTCATCaterpillar November volatility up into overview of Financial Services
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13:29 EDTCATCaterpillar to host conference call
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November 13, 2015
12:34 EDTCATCaterpillar, General Motors, Altria Group are market beaters, Barron's says
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