|October 25, 2013|
|15:09 EDT||BA, CAT, NFLX, MSFT, F, AMZN||Stocks poised to end week higher after strong earnings, Chinese data|
Stocks are set to finish the week higher, as strong Chinese economic data and higher than expected earnings from some major companies made investors more optimistic. MACRO NEWS: A preliminary index of Chinese manufacturing reached a seven month high of 50.9 in October, HSBC and Markit reported on Wednesday night... In the U.S. economic data was lackluster, as jobless claims were worse than expected and an index of consumer sentiment for October came in below expectations. Orders of durable goods excluding transportation were below expectations in September, the government reported... The price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell below $100. COMPANY NEWS: Amazon.com (AMZN) shares surged after the company reported higher than expected third quarter revenue. The revenue and profits of Microsoft (MSFT), Boeing (BA), and Ford (F) all surpassed expectation... Netflix (NFLX) reported higher than expected earnings on Monday after the market closed, but the stock pulled back from its highs on Tuesday after a number of analysts suggested that the stock had become too expensive. Additionally, Carl Icahn announced that he had significantly lowered his stake in the streaming video company by selling nearly 3M shares of the company... Caterpillar (CAT) reported lower than expected third quarter profit and revenue and reduced its full-year profit guidance for the third straight quarter.
News For CAT;AMZN;MSFT;BA;F;NFLX From The Last 14 Days
|February 2, 2016|
|06:23 EDT||BA||Boeing on pace for early delivery of new 737 Max, WSJ says|
Boeing (BA) is on track to deliver a new 737 Max jetliner ahead of schedule, the Wall Street Journal reports. The new jet completed its first flight on Friday, a move which marks a major step towards Boeing's goal of delivering the first of such a plane to Southwest Airlines (LUV) in 3Q17, the report says. Boeing is telling customers that it may deliver the jet as soon as six months early, the report says. Reference Link
|05:51 EDT||NFLX||Netflix upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray|
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson upgraded Netflix to Overweight following the stock's 30% decline over the past two months. Concerns around slowing domestic growth and competition have created an entry point into the name, Olson tells investors in a research note. The analyst admits Netflix's domestic growth will continue to slow but sees the streaming service as an international growth story. He keeps a $122 price target for the stock. Netflix closed yesterday up $2.25 to $94.09.
|February 1, 2016|
|18:46 EDT||F||Automakers hit with additional costs due to China regulatory shift, Reuters says|
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|16:01 EDT||MSFT, NFLX||Options Update; February 1, 2016 |
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|13:42 EDT||NFLX, F||Earnings Watch: Alphabet to report Q4 results under new corporate structure|
Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) is expected to report fourth quarter earnings after the market close on Monday, February 1 with a conference call scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. Alphabet is a multinational conglomerate that serves as the parent company of Google, Calico, GV, Google Capital, and Nest Labs. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $8.09 on revenue of $20.77B. The consensus range is $7.32-$8.59 for EPS, and $20.33B-$21.68B for revenue, according to First Call. LAST QUARTER: Alphabet reported third quarter EPS of $7.35 against estimates of $7.21, on revenue of $18.7B against estimates of $18.53B. Google reported Q3 aggregate paid clicks up 23%, paid clicks on Google websites down 5%, aggregate cost-per-clicks down 11%, and cost-per-click on Google websites down 4%. The company also reported Q3 Sites revenue up 16% to $13.08B and Q3 Total advertising revenue up 13% to $26.78B. During its Q3 earnings report, the company said it will begin to disclose the Google business as a single segment in Q4. It also announced that the board authorized the company to repurchase $5.1B of Class C shares in Q4. GOOGLE SEGMENT: Alphabet announced that it will report Google as a single segment within its company beginning in Q4. It stated, "The new operating structure is being introduced in phases. For financial reporting purposes, we expect the reorganization will result in disclosing our Google business as a single segment and all other Alphabet businesses combined as Other Bets beginning in the fourth quarter of 2015." Within Alphabet, the Google segment now has 6 products with over 1B users, including Search, Maps, YouTube, Chrome, Android and Google Play. Gmail is also closing in on the mark with its 900M user base. RBC Capital believes that the disclosure of segment results by Google in conjunction with its Q4 results will cause the stock to rerate. The firm believes that the segment results will highlight the high profits of core Google, supporting an increase in the stocks' sum of the parts valuation. NEWS AND STREET RESEARCH: In the past quarter, Alphabet had a strong holiday season with ChannelAdvisor reporting Google Shopping was up 31.7% over the entire holiday period. Specifically, Google Shopping was up 35.9% on Thanksgiving, up 40.3% on Black Friday, up 25.7% on Cyber Saturday, and up 18.6% on Cyber Monday. Alphabet announced the redesigned launch of Google+ in November, the exploration of Fiber in Chicago and Los Angeles, and announced plans to open its first retail store in New York City. The company also targets the China launch of the Google Play app store in 2016, according to multiple reports. Lenovo (LNVGY) CEO Chen Xudong confirmed that Google Play is expected to come to China at some point this year. The company is expected to make its self-driving car company under the Alphabet structure as a stand-alone business. Ford (F) and Google are in discussions over self-driving cars, with the currently negotiated contract likely to "last a long time." According to a Reuters report, Google expects fewer software failiures in self-driving cars as it learns from its mistakes. Google tested solar-powered Internet drones and expects consumer package delivery via drone to begin in 2017. Google is also in talks with the NFL for streaming rights for London games next year. STREET RESEARCH: Oppenheimer said cloud providers like Alphabet may have a huge opportunity in the coming years. The firm said Alphabet may look for a major partner like Salesforce (CRM) to drive its cloud business. Cantor said Google ad revenue growth should continue to be strong and BMO Capital said Alphabet's outlook has improved as valuation has become more reasonable. Bernstein said the Street continues to underestimate the resilience and growth potential of Alphabet's search ad business and YouTube. Barron's, in particular, was extremely positive on YouTube, saying its revenue per viewer could potentially double in five years. It added it could be twice as valuable as Netflix (NFLX). JMP Securities was also bullish on the company, saying Alphabet benefitted from a relatively strong holiday season for online advertising. Ahead of its Q4 earnings report, JMP Securities expects the company to report "relatively strong" results. PRICE ACTION: Google shares have gained about 6% over the last three months. In Monday afternoon trading ahead of the Q4 report, Google shares are up almost 2%
|13:24 EDT||F||Tesla bull cuts target as competition ramps more quickly than new models|
Shares of Tesla (TSLA) dipped significantly in early trading before later rebounding after Morgan Stanley cut its price target on the automaker to $333 from its previous $450, with the research firm citing a slow production ramp for its new car models, potentially weakened consumer demand amid cheap oil, and clearly heightening competition in the electric and autonomous vehicle space. LOW DEMAND, MORE COMPETITION: Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jones cut his price target on Tesla to $333 from $450, arguing Monday that the carmaker is facing a slow production ramp for the Model X as well as the Model 3, which Jones said may launch in late 2018, missing the company's internal target by at least one year. It is reasonable to assume, Jones said, that Tesla is taking a deliberate, quality-conscious pace for Model X production while also shuffling personnel to help with the car's early rollout, impacting the launch of the mass-market Model 3 even as the company grapples with potentially reduced consumer demand in today's cheap oil environment. Given his assumption of lower volumes, the analyst's revised his 2020 forecast for complete vehicle deliveries to less than half of Tesla's own 500,000 target. For 2016, the analyst cut his total delivery forecast 2% to roughly 70,000 units, including a revision of Model X expectations to 15,000 from 18,500. Contributing to Tesla's headwinds, its consumer energy storage solution looks to be more expensive than previously thought, while competition in the shared and autonomous mobility arena has increased markedly. Indeed, competing efforts from Ford (F), Volkswagen (VLKAY), Alphabet (GOOG) and many others appear "genuine" and are likely to see significant investment follow-through, potentially pressuring Tesla's margins as it increases R&D spend to keep pace, Jones argued. That said, the analyst keeps an Overweight rating on the shares, explaining that while Tesla remains a high risk name that burns plenty of cash to fuel its ambitious plans, it may still be the best positioned company in the ongoing "Auto 2.0" transition. PRICE ACTION: After quickly dropping as low as $182.75 in early trading, shares of Tesla are now up 2.6% to $196.14 in afternoon trading.
|11:14 EDT||NFLX||Stocks with call strike movement; NFLX AA|
Netflix (NFLX) April 110 call option implied volatility increased 6% to 51, Alcoa (AA) April 8 call option implied volatility increased 4% to 50 according to iVolatility.
|10:15 EDT||AMZN||Options with decreasing implied volatility|
Options with decreasing implied volatility: INVN SWFT SNDK AMZN NOW COH VMW CTXS STX
|09:44 EDT||NFLX||Forbes contributor suggests Apple should buy Netflix|
Forbes contributor Jay Somaney noted that Apple (AAPL) has recently been reported to be talking to TV producers and Hollywood studios about investing and developing original TV shows and he contends that "one way to circumvent the tedious and lengthy negotiations process with Hollywood and the networks" is for Apple to offer to buy out Netflix (NFLX). Reference Link
|09:41 EDT||MSFT||Microsoft downgraded to Neutral from Long-Term Buy at Hilliard Lyons|
|09:36 EDT||AMZN, NFLX||Active equity options trading on open|
Active equity options trading on open: BAC AAPL FB AMZN TWTR MGM MCD NFLX GILD INTC TSLA AA BABA C
|09:11 EDT||NFLX||DISH says releases Hopper 3 to customers nationwide|
DISH Network (DISH) announced the availability of its award-winning Hopper 3 to customers nationwide. The third-generation of DISH's whole-home DVR system, Hopper 3 features 16 tuners, delivers an enhanced 4K experience and supports up to seven TVs simultaneously. In the coming weeks, Hopper 3 will launch the Netflix (NFLX) app and integrate Netflix titles into its universal search results.
|06:25 EDT||AMZN||Amazon hinting at shipping, package handling business, WSJ reports|
Amazon hinted recently that it wants to start a business line in shipping and package handling, Greg Bensinger of the Wall Street Journal's Digits blog reports. The company identified packaging and logistics companies as competitors and referred to itself as a "transportation service provider" in a securities filing, the report says. Reference Link
|06:10 EDT||MSFT||Microsoft testing underwater data center, NY Times reports|
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|05:11 EDT||NFLX||Netflix announces Brahman Naman to premiere exclusively on Netflix|
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|January 31, 2016|
|20:11 EDT||AMZN, NFLX||Time Warner, Hulu talks heat up over issue of current seasons, WSJ says|
Time Warner's (TWX) negotiations to potentially buy into Hulu, a joint venture of Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK), Fox (FOX, FOXA) and Disney (DIS), have been heating up lately over the issue of Hulu subscribers being able to view current-season TV shows, reports the Wall Street Journal, citing sources. Though the feature is a differentiator for Hulu when compared to Netflix (NFLX) and Amazon (AMZN), Time Warner believes the presence of full, current seasons contributes to cord cutting, the report says. Reference Link
|19:04 EDT||MSFT||Apple acquires Flyby, assembles 'secret' virtual reality team, FT says|
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|18:15 EDT||AMZN||Amazon investing in original content for Audible, Bloomberg says|
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|14:12 EDT||MSFT||Apple should avoid 'dubious' M&A, focus on cloud, AI development, Barron's says|
"Impatient" investors encouraging Apple (AAPL) to become a mere dividend payer or make "dubious" acquisitions are not making much sense, Barron's contends in its 'Technology Trader' column. Apple continues to innovate and its iPhone franchise "will endure," though the one area where Apple lags behind peers and "can and should" make progress is cloud computing, according to the publication. Alphabet (GOOG), Facebook (FB) and Microsoft (MSFT) are making large strides in cloud and artificial intelligence, but the company still has "plenty of opportunity" to catch up given its product install base, Barron's says. Reference Link
|11:39 EDT||BA, MSFT, AMZN||S&P falls 5% in January despite second straight winning week to close month|
Stocks finished the month of January with two straight winning weeks, but investors are still glad to see the calendar flip as those winners only cut the S&P's loss to 5% for the month. With growth worries abounding amid troubling signs from China and as oil languishes below $35 per barrel, the manufacturing readings from China, Europe, and the U.S. due out on Monday will be essential to whether the new month continues the uptrend of the end of January or the dour tone that dominated the early half of the month. MACRO NEWS: The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged following its policy meeting this week, as almost universally expected. In its accompanying statement, the central bank said its committee members expect that economic conditions will "evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal funds rate." The group added that inflation is expected to "remain low in the near term, in part because of the further declines in energy prices, but to rise to 2% over the medium term as the transitory effects of declines in energy and import prices dissipate and the labor market strengthens further"... In other domestic economic news, the Commerce Department's first read on fourth quarter gross domestic product came in at 0.7% annualized growth, below the already anemic 0.8% growth forecast. The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index rose 5.8% from the prior year in November, topping expectations for a 5.7% year-over-year increase. The separate FHFA house price index showed a monthly gain of 0.5% in November, matching the consensus forecast. Markit's services PMI for January came in at 53.7, missing the 54.0 forecast. The preliminary reading of the Conference Board's consumer confidence index for January came in at 98.1, topping the 96.5 reading that was expected. New home sales surged 10.8% to a 544,000 annualized pace in December, topping expectations and hitting their highest level in 10 months. Initial jobless claims fell to 278,000 last week, versus the expected 281,000 first-time claims. Durable goods orders dropped 5.1% in December, versus expectations for a decrease of 0.7%. The core reading, which removes transportation items, was down 1.2%, versus expectations for a decline of 0.1%. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index slipped to 92.0 in the final January print, missing the 93.0 reading that was forecast... In a surprising move in Asia, the Bank of Japan introduced a rate of minus 0.1% on certain excess holdings of cash while maintaining the pace of its asset purchases. Japan also reported data pointing to a softening economy, as total CPI grew 0.2% year-over-year in December, core CPI rose at only a 0.1% pace and industrial production fell a preliminary 1.4% month-over-month in December. COMPANY NEWS: McDonald's (MCD) advanced Monday after the fast food giant reported better than expected earnings and comparable sales growth for the fourth quarter, powered by the launch of All Day Breakfast in the U.S.... Earnings season accelerated Tuesday as four members of the bluechip Dow Jones Industrial Average posted results before the opening bell. 3M (MMM) was the top advanced on the index with a gain of over 5%, while Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble (PG) and DuPont (DD) all notched gains that day following their reports as well... Apple (AAPL) declined more than 6.5% on Wednesday after the tech giant reported first quarter earnings that topped consensus estimates, but also issued revenue guidance for the new quarter that missed expectations. The company was noted by several analysts as taking a particularly downbeat tone in its earnings conference call, invoking the difficult macroeconomic environment and weakness it has recently seen in China. Apple was not the worst performer in the Dow that day, as Boeing (BA) shares plummeted nearly 9% after its profit outlook for the new fiscal year fell far short of the Street's consensus forecast... Facebook (FB) surged 15.5% on Thursday after the social media giant's fourth quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations. A number of Wall Street analysts increased their price targets for the stock following the report, including Piper Jaffray's Gene Munster, who hiked his target to a "Street-high" $170 per share. The same day, Caterpillar (CAT) reported better than expected quarterly earnings, excluding certain items, but its revenue came in below the consensus forecast and the heavy equipment maker warned that it does not anticipate an improvement in the world economy or commodity prices in 2016. The stock, which had declined almost 20% in the last three months prior to this morning's report, rebounded almost 5% after the company jumped over the lowered bar that had been set by bearish analysts... On Friday, shares of Amazon (AMZN) declined more than 7.5% after the company's fourth quarter results came in below expectations. Meanwhile, Microsoft (MSFT), which reported better than expected earnings, gained almost 6%. Chevron (CVX) reported a quarterly loss due to taking impairments and other charges of $1.1B. The company, which also reported that its average sales price per barrel of crude oil and natural gas liquids in the U.S. was $35 in fourth quarter, down from $66 a year ago, edged up 0.7% to $86.44... Among the many others reporting earnings this week, Visa (V), Mastercard (MA), Under Armour (UA), Sprint (S) and Biogen (BIIB) gained immediately following their reports, while Qualcomm (QCOM), eBay (EBAY), U.S. Steel (X), VMware (VMW) and Anthem (ANTM) all slid following their own... Xerox (XRX) announced plans to separate into two independent publicly-traded companies: one focused on Document Technology and another Business Process Outsourcing company. Xerox also announced an agreement related to the governance of the Business Process Outsourcing company under which six directors of the new company will be selected by Xerox and three will be selected by current Xerox shareholder Carl Icahn... Terex (TEX) surged more than 36% higher on Tuesday after receiving a $30 per share acquisition offer from China's Zoomlion. Terex peers Manitowoc (MTW), Joy Global (JOY) and Oshkosh (OSK) also gained after the offer was disclosed... Weight Watchers (WTW) shares soared nearly 20% Tuesday after noted shareholder and partner Oprah Winfrey tweeted a video detailing her progress using the company's program, indicating that she'd already lost 26 pounds thanks to its plan... AIG (AIG) provided its much-anticipated strategy update, committing to return at least $25B to shareholders over the next two years and announcing the sale of AIG Advisor Group to Lightyear Capital and PSP Investments. The company, under ongoing pressure from activist investors including Carl Icahn, also said it will publicly offer a portion of its United Guaranty unit, though it expressly rejected a full company breakup... SunEdison (SUNE) gained 18% during the week after agreeing to new corporate governance initiatives with David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital, including amending its bylaws to restrict equity issuances for two years without a supermajority board vote... Twitter (TWTR) slumped nearly 6% this week after CEO Jack Dorsey confirmed the departure of four company executives, leading research firm Stifel to downgrade the shares. INDEXES: The Dow gained about 2.2% to close at 16,466.30; the S&P 500 rose about 1.6% to close at 1,940.24; the Nasdaq advanced about 0.4% to close at 4,613.95.