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March 1, 2013
15:16 EDTBTUPeabody Energy volatility flat; shares trade near four-year low
Peabody Energy March call option implied volatility is at 39, April and June is at 42; compared to its 26-week average of 43 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
News For BTU From The Last 14 Days
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July 2, 2015
16:37 EDTBTUStocks end holiday shortened week lower after Greece defaults
Stocks on Wall Street began with a slide on Monday, but not as precipitous a drop as may have been feared, after Greece shut down its banks and announced it will put the concession deal offered by its creditors, and essentially its continued inclusion in the eurozone, up for a popular vote. The major averages regained a bit of their losses in the next two sessions as news regarding the Greek situation continued to dominate the headlines. U.S. markets are closed on Friday in observance of Independence Day, but investors will be returning to big news, for better or worse, following the referendum that is scheduled to occur on July 5. MACRO NEWS: In the U.S., the monthly nonfarm payrolls report showed the addition of 223,000 jobs, versus expectations for 233,000 jobs to have been added last month. The unemployment rate fell to 5.3% from the prior month’s 5.5% rate. Factory orders fell 1.0% in May, which was larger than the expected 0.5% decline. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose to 101.4 in June from a revised 94.6 reading for May, beating expectations for a reading of 97.4. Markit's manufacturing purchasing managers' index for June came in at 53.6, narrowly above the 53.4 forecast. ISM's manufacturing index rose to 53.5 in June, topping May's 52.8 reading and the 53.2 consensus forecast. Construction spending rose 0.8% in May, versus the expected growth of 0.5%. Additionally, Puerto Rico's Governor Alejandro Garcia Padilla, in an interview published by the New York Times, warned that the commonwealth's "debt is not payable" and a report warned that the territory's crisis was even worse than previously thought... In Europe, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras called a surprise referendum on the terms put forth by the country’s creditors in exchange for additional rescue funds and the country shut down its banks until after this Sunday's vote. Standard & Poor's Ratings lowered its sovereign credit ratings on Greece, stating that the probability of the country exiting the eurozone is now about 50%, in its view. Greece officially missed its $1.7B payment to the International Monetary Fund, as expected. Greece's government requested a third bailout from the eurozone, but the request was dismissed by European officials. Eurogroup president Jeroen Dijsselbloem said Wednesday that he saw no need for further talks on Greece at that point as he awaits the result of its referendum... In China, the People’s Bank cut the one-year lending rate by 25 basis points to 4.85% and lowered the amount of reserves certain banks are required to hold by 50 basis points, but the same day the Shanghai Composite entered bear market territory, meaning the index was down more than 20% from its peak in mid-June. Chinese manufacturing PMIs came in short of expectations, as the HSBC/Markit PMI slipped to a final 49.4 in June from the flash reading of 49.6, while the government's official manufacturing PMI fell to 50.1 in June from 50.9 in May. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of BP (BP) advanced after the oil major announced it has reached agreements in principle to settle all U.S. federal and state claims arising from the Deepwater Horizon accident and spill in 2010. BP said it will pay up to $18.7B to settle the claims and that the expected impact of its agreements would be to increase the cumulative pre-tax charge associated with the accident and spill by around $10B from $43.8B at the end of the first quarter... In a blockbuster deal in the insurance industry, ACE Limited (ACE) agreed to acquire Chubb (CB) in a cash and stock transaction valued at over $28B. The combination will create the number one global Property and Casualty insurance company by P&C underwriting income and the number two U.S. public P&C insurer by market cap. Elsewhere on the M&A front, managed healthcare company Centene (CNC) announced a definitive agreement to acquire managed health care services rival Health Net (HNT) in a cash and stock deal valued at approximately $6.8B, including the assumption of approximately $500M of debt. Additionally, Willis Group (WSH) agreed to combine in an all-stock merger of equals with Towers Watson (TW) and Chambers Street Properties (CSG) announced a merger agreement with Gramercy Property Trust (GPT)... U.S. airline stocks dropped after the Associated Press reported that the Justice Department is investigating potential "unlawful coordination" between companies attempting to artificially limit growth to keep fares high... Juno Therapeutics (JUNO) advanced after the company announced a ten-year global collaboration for the development and commercialization of immunotherapies with Celgene (CELG). As part of the deal, Celgene will make an initial payment of approximately $1B, which includes the purchase of approximately 9.1M shares of Juno stock at $93 per share... Pentair (PNR) gained after Nelson Peltz's Trian Group confirmed it has taken a 7.24% stake. Trian urged the company to consider acquisitions and other industrial parts makers, including SPX Corp. (SPW), Flowserve (FLS), Xylem (XYL) and Colfax (CFX), also advanced following the activist's disclosure of its position... In a ruling with implications for coal miners and electric utilities, the Supreme Court overturned the EPA's Mercury Admissions and Toxic Standard, or MATS, rule, stating that the regulator did not properly take into account the costs to utilities and others in the sector in implementing a national standard for the reduction of power plant emissions of mercury and other air toxins... General Motors (GM) reported its U.S. sales fell 3% in June compared to the same month of last year, while Ford (F) said its sales grew 1.6% last month compared to last year. FCA US, the parent of the Chrysler and Jeep brands, reported U.S. sales increased 8% compared with sales in June 2014... Bond insurers MBIA (MBI) and Assured Guaranty (AGO) declined amid the worries about the debt situation in Puerto Rico. INDEXES: The Dow fell about 1.25% to close at 17,730.11, the Nasdaq declined about 1.43% to close at 5,009.21, and the S&P 500 dropped about 1.22% to close at 2,076.78.
10:00 EDTBTUOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
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07:39 EDTBTUPeabody downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank downgraded Peabody to Sell citing a "strained" balance sheet and uncertain deleveraging path forward. It lowered its price target for shares to $1.30 from $6.
05:48 EDTBTUStocks with implied volatility movement; BTU CNX
Stocks with implied volatility movement; Peabody (BTU) 147, CONSOL (CNX) 58 according to iVolatility.
July 1, 2015
17:16 EDTBTUPeabody appoints Amy Schwetz as CFO
Peabody Energy announced that it has named Amy Schwetz to EVP and CFO. Schwetz replaces Michael Crews, who has announced plans to step down by the end of July to take a position at a another industrial firm.
16:00 EDTBTUOptions Update; July 1, 2015
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13:05 EDTBTUOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street remain higher at midday but off their best levels, which were achieved shortly after the open. The strength is being largely attributed to hopes for a resolution to the Greek crisis, but the move was also supported by better than expected domestic data on employment, construction and manufacturing. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., ADP reported the addition of 237,000 private sector jobs in June, versus expectations for 218,000 job additions. Markit's manufacturing purchasing managers' index for June came in at 53.6, narrowly topping the 53.4 forecast. ISM's manufacturing index rose to 53.5 in June, topping May's 52.8 reading and the 53.2 consensus forecast. Construction spending rose 0.8% in May, versus the expected growth of 0.5%. In China, manufacturing PMI's came in short of expectations. The HSBC/Markit PMI slipped to a final 49.4 in June from the flash reading of 49.6 reading, while the official manufacturing PMI fell to 50.1 in June from 50.9 in May. In Europe, Greece officially missed its $1.7B payment to the International Monetary Fund, becoming the first developed country to do so. The Financial Times then reported the Greek government was indicating it was willing to make concessions that get it much closer to creditor demands. The new proposal for budget cuts and policy overhauls from Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras was dismissed by European officials, however, and uncertainty remains high surrounding the next steps in Europe. COMPANY NEWS: In a blockbuster deal in the insurance industry, ACE Limited (ACE) agreed to acquire Chubb (CB) in a transaction valued in excess of $28B in cash and stock. ACE said it expects that the deal will be immediately accretive to EPS and book value, and by year three, the transaction will be accretive to EPS on a double-digit basis and will be accretive to ROE. The combined company is expected to be the number one global Property and Casualty insurance company by P&C underwriting income and the number two U.S. public P&C insurer by market cap. ACE shares advance 2% following the deal announcement, while Chubb surged 29%... General Motors (GM) reported its U.S. sales fell 3% in June compared to the same month of last year, while Ford (F) said its sales grew 1.6% last month compared to last year. FCA US, the parent of the Chrysler and Jeep brands, reported U.S. sales increased 8% compared with sales in June 2014. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Schnitzer Steel (SCHN), which rose 14% after BofA Merrill Lynch upgraded the shares two notches to Buy from Underperform and raised its price target to $21, saying it believes scrap pricing should be nearing a trough with stability expected ahead. Also higher were shares of Dycom (DY), which gained 7% after the company raised its fourth quarter guidance for both earnings and revenue and announced a $40M stock repurchase program. Among the noteworthy losers was Chambers Street Properties (CSG), which fell 8% after announcing a merger agreement with Gramercy Property Trust (GPT), whose shares also slipped 3% following the announcement of the stock-for-stock transaction. Also lower were shares of Peabody Energy (BTU), which dropped 24% after cutting its second quarter guidance on Tuesday night. The company sees its adjusted EPS below its original target due to multiple factors, including flash flood events in June and price drops in Australian metallurgical coal. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was up 88.42, or 0.5%, to 17,707.93, the Nasdaq was up 13.01, or 0.26%, to 4,999.88, and the S&P 500 was up 8.62, or 0.42%, to 2,071.73.
June 30, 2015
17:57 EDTBTUPeabody sees Q2 adjusted EPS, EBITDA below prior range
Peabody Energy announced that second quarter 2015 Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS are now expected to be below the original targeted range due to weather-related shipment issues in the Southern Powder River Basin and lower seaborne coal pricing. On April 23, Peabody forecast Q2 adjusted EPS (59c)-(49c), consensus (34c) and Q2 adjusted EBITDA $135M-$175M. Peabody expects a timing-related impact of approximately $40M in the second quarter as a result of a series of substantial rain and flash flooding events in the Southern Powder River Basin primarily in June that reduced production by 5.0 to 5.5M tons. Peabody has largely resumed normal production levels, and is scheduling to make up the deferred shipments in the third and fourth quarters. The company was also impacted by approximately $20M from the effects of lower pricing on Australian metallurgical coal, with approximately half related to spot coal sales during the quarter and half related to reduced coal inventory valuation due to benchmark third quarter settlements. Spot metallurgical coal prices declined 15% during the quarter before increasing in recent weeks. Regarding other factors expected to affect second quarter results, in early June Peabody announced a reduction of approximately 250 positions, or 25% of its corporate and regional staff, with expected annual savings of $40M to $45M when fully implemented later this year. In addition, the company has initiated actions to reduce approximately 250 employee and contractor positions at multiple metallurgical and thermal coal mines in Australia. These actions are aimed at increasing productivity, lowering costs and improving cash flows, while reducing metallurgical coal volumes for sales when markets improve. The company plans to provide additional details regarding the future benefits of these programs and any targets in its second quarter earnings release scheduled for Tuesday, July 28. Peabody expects to incur an estimated $20M to $25M in second quarter 2015 charges related to these activities, and these charges were not included in the company's previous financial targets. Approximately half of the charges are associated with the previously announced corporate and regional staff reductions, with the other half related to Australia mine site-related workforce reductions. These actions are part of a comprehensive approach the company is taking to improve the business across four key areas of management emphasis: operational, SG&A, financial and portfolio.
June 29, 2015
16:22 EDTBTUOn The Fly: Top stock stories for Monday
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13:47 EDTBTUSupreme court ruling could shift thermal coal sentiment, says Morgan Stanley
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12:24 EDTBTUOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street were sharply lower at midday after a surprise power play by the country's Prime Minister may lead to either his exit from power or the country's exit from the euro zone. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In Europe, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras called a surprise referendum for July 5 on the terms put forth by the country’s creditors in exchange for additional rescue funding. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank decided not to expand its emergency liquidity assistance to Greek banks, leading the country to shut down its banking system and move to impose capital controls. In Asia, the People’s Bank of China cut the one-year lending rate by 25 basis points to 4.85% and lowered the amount of reserves certain banks are required to hold by 50 basis points, but the Shanghai Composite still closed the day with another 3.3% in losses. In the U.S., the National Association of Realtors' pending home sales index rose 0.9% to 112.6 in May, which was roughly in-line with expectations but also marked the highest level since April 2006. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of several coal miners advanced after the Supreme Court overturned the Environmental Protection Agency's air quality regulations for power plants, stating that the regulator did not properly take into account the costs to utilities and others in the sector. Peabody Energy (BTU) rose 5% after the ruling, while Arch Coal (ACI) gained 8% and Cloud Peak Energy (CLD) added about 3%. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Aratana Therapeutics (PETX), which jumped 17.5% after the company announced results from its study of capromorelin, the company's therapeutic for appetite stimulation in dogs. Also higher was Amphenol (APH), which gained 4% after announcing it has entered into exclusive negotiations and has made a binding offer to acquire 100% of the shares of FCI Asia, which is involved in interconnect solutions for the telecom, datacom, wireless communications and industrial markets, for $1.275B from its private equity owner Bain Capital. Among the noteworthy losers were bond insurers MBIA (MBI), which dropped 18%, and Assured Guaranty (AGO), which fell 13.5%, after Puerto Rico's Governor said that the commonwealth would not be able to pay its debts and called for concessions from the island’s creditors. Both stocks were downgraded at BTIG following the news. Also lower following the news in Puerto Rico were First Bancorp (FBP), the bank holding company for FirstBank Puerto Rico, and Popular (BPOP), the parent of Banco Popular de Puerto Rico. Shares of Vitae Pharmaceuticals (VTAE) declined 16% after the company announced that an ongoing Phase 2 trial of its treatment of overweight type 2 diabetic patients did not meet partner Boehringer Ingelheim's predefined endpoint criteria. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 218.57, or 1.22%, to 17,728.11, the Nasdaq was down 69.65, or 1.37%, to 5,010.85, and the S&P 500 was down 25.68, or 1.22%, to 2,075.81.
10:51 EDTBTUSupreme Court overrules EPA regulations on power plant pollution, The Hill says
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10:41 EDTBTUSupreme court rules EPA unlawful with power plant pollution rules, Reuters says
Publicly traded companies in the coal space include Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP), Alpha Natural (ANR), Arch Coal (ACI), CONSOL (CNX), Cloud Peak (CLD), Peabody (BTU) and Walter Energy (WLT).
June 26, 2015
12:58 EDTBTUOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street were mixed at midday, with Nike's (NKE) post-earnings rise providing a boost to the Dow and Micron's (MU) slide dragging on the tech-heavy Nasdaq. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., the University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading rebounded to 96.1 in the final June report from the preliminary 94.6 reading. That revised figure topped the expected reading of 95. In Europe, the ECB left the level of emergency cash available to Greek banks unchanged again Friday as deposit outflows have slowed, according to people familiar with the matter reporting to Bloomberg. Greek leaders are scheduled to hold talks Saturday with the Eurogroup in what may be the nation's last chance for a deal ahead of the expiration of the current bailout agreement on June 30. In China, stocks plunged by the most in five months as the Shanghai Composite Index fell 7.4%, with market watchers citing margin worries and concerns that the PBOC will be less likely to undertake further rate cuts. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of Nike advanced 4% after the athletic apparel and sneaker maker reported fourth quarter results that handily beat expectations. Several firms raised their respective price targets on the stock following the company's Q4 report, including Goldman, which reiterated its Conviction Buy rating on Nike and raised its price target to $131 from $121. Finish Line (FINL), an athletic shoe and apparel retailer that sells Nike products, rose 5% after its own first quarter results also topped the consensus forecast. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was OPKO Health (OPK), which rose nearly 4% after the company announced the decision of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network to include 4Kscore as a recommended test in the 2015 NCCN Guidelines for Prostate Cancer Early Detection. Additionally, CEO Phillip Frost disclosed in regulatory filings that he'd acquired over 64,000 shares of the company stock in the last two days. Also higher was Kforce (KFRC), which gained 7% after SunTrust upgraded the stock to Buy and raised its price target to $27 from $24, noting that the firm's private IT staffing poll suggests margin assumptions may prove conservative. Among the noteworthy losers was Micron, which sunk about 19% after the flash memory maker reported weaker than expected results last night and provided lower than expected Q4 revenue guidance. Also lower were shares of coal miner Peabody (BTU), which fell 7% after Moody's downgraded the company's credit rating to reflect the firm's expectation for the deterioration in the company's credit metrics to be more precipitous than it had previously thought due to the ongoing decline in the seaborne metallurgical coal markets. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was up 53.70, or 0.3%, to 17,944.06, the Nasdaq was down 40.56, or 0.79%, to 5,071.62, and the S&P 500 was down 2.18, or 0.1%, to 2,100.13.
11:08 EDTBTUPeabody plunges after Moody's lowers credit rating
Shares of coal miner Peabody (BTU) are lower in late morning trading after Moody's Investors Service downgraded the company's credit rating last night. WHAT'S NEW: Moody's Investors Service downgraded the ratings of Peabody, including the corporate family rating, to B3 from B2, probability of default rating to B3-PD from B2-PD. The firm noted that the outlook is negative. Moody's said that the downgrade "reflects our expectation of continued deterioration in the company's credit metrics, more precipitous than we had forecasted previously, due to the ongoing decline in the seaborne metallurgical coal markets." The firm expects that the company's Debt/EBITDA, as adjusted, will approach 9x in 2015. Moody's said that although it anticipates some recovery in 2016, it sees the leverage remaining elevated at around 7x. Absent asset sales, the company will generate negative free cash flows in 2015 and 2016, Moody's said in the report. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Moody's said that a further downgrade would be considered if liquidity deteriorated, free cash flows were repeatedly negative and/or Debt/EBITDA exceeded 8x on a sustained basis. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Peabody are down over 9.5% to $2.08 in late morning trading, rebounding from an earlier low of $1.92. OTHERS TO WATCH: Other companies in the coal mining space include Alpha Natural Resources (ANR), Arch Coal (ACI) and CONSOL Energy (CNX).
June 23, 2015
18:00 EDTBTUS&P announces changes to the S&P 400, 500, 600 indices
S&P Dow Jones Indices will make the following changes to the S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600 indices: Columbia Pipeline Group (CPGX) will replace Allegheny Technologies (ATI) in the S&P 500, Allegheny Technologies will replace Unit Corp. (UNT) in the S&P MidCap 400, and Unit Corp. will replace PetroQuest Energy (PQ) in the S&P SmallCap 600 after the close of trading on Wednesday, July 1. S&P 500 constituent NiSource (NI) is spinning off Columbia Pipeline Group in a transaction expected to be completed on that date. NiSource will remain in the S&P 500 following the distribution. Allegheny Technologies, Unit and PetroQuest are all ranked near or at the bottom of their current indices. S&P SmallCap 600 constituent Casey’s General Stores (CASY) will replace AOL (AOL) in the S&P MidCap 400, and Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) will replace Casey’s General Stores in the S&P SmallCap 600 after the close of trading on Thursday, June 25. S&P 100 & 500 constituent Verizon (VZ) acquired AOL in a transaction completed today. TopBuild (BLD) will replace Aéropostale (ARO) in the S&P SmallCap 600 after the close of trading on Tuesday, June 30. S&P 500 constituent Masco (MAS) is spinning off TopBuild in a transaction expected to be completed on that date. Masco will remain in the S&P 500 following the distribution. Aéropostale is ranked near the bottom of the S&P SmallCap 600. “New” Gannett Co. (GCI) will replace Quiksilver (ZQK) in the S&P SmallCap 600 after the close of trading on Friday, June 26. S&P 500 constituent Gannett Co. (GCI) is spinning off “new” Gannett Co. in a transaction expected to be completed on that date. Post spin, the parent company will change its name to TEGNA. and trade under the symbol “TGNA”. It will remain in the S&P 500 following the distribution. Quiksilver is ranked near the bottom of the S&P SmallCap 600. Cable ONE Inc. (CABO) will replace Peabody Energy (BTU) in the S&P MidCap 400 after the close of trading on Tuesday, June 30. S&P MidCap 400 constituent Graham Holdings Company (GHC) is spinning off CableOne in a transaction expected to be completed on that date. Graham Holdings will remain in the S&P MidCap 400 following the distribution. Peabody Energy is ranked near the bottom of the S&P MidCap 400. The Chemours Co. (CC) will replace Semtech Corp. (SMTC) in the S&P MidCap 400, and Semtech will replace Paragon Offshore (PGN) in the S&P SmallCap 600 after the close of trading on Tuesday June 30. S&P 100 & 500 constituent E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. (DD) is spinning off Chemours in a transaction expected to be completed on that date. Dupont will remain in the S&P 100 & 500 following the distribution. Semtech and Paragon Offshore are ranked near or at the bottom of their current indices. “New “ Energizer Holdings (ENR) will replace Harsco (HSC) in the S&P MidCap 400, and Harsco will replace FXCM (FXCM) in the SmallCap 600 after the close of trading on Tuesday, June 30. S&P MidCap 400 constituent Energizer (ENR) is spinning off “new” Energizer in a transaction expected to be completed on that date. Post spin, the parent company will change its name to Edgewell Personal Care Co. and trade under the symbol “EPC”. It will remain in the S&P MidCap 400 following the distribution. Harsco and FXCM are ranked near or at the bottom of their current indices.
17:25 EDTBTUCable ONE Inc. to replace Peabody in S&P 400 as of 6/30 close
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16:00 EDTBTUOptions Update; June 23, 2015
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures down 46c to 17. Option volume leaders: AAPL FB AAPL T BAC MU BTU WMB AMZN TWTR BBRY

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