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May 7, 2014
08:25 EDTBWA, BWA, GNTX, GNTX, MTOR, MTOR, CMC, CMC, WLK, WLK, PHM, PHM, PCAR, PCAR, BRP, BRP, CAT, CAT, BERY, BERYWells Fargo to hold a conference
Industrials & Construction Conference is being held in New York on May 7-8 with webcasted company presentations to begin on May 7 at 8:25 am; not all company presentations may be webcasted. Webcast Link
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September 24, 2015
10:11 EDTCATJoy Global September weekly volatility increases on Caterpillar restructuring
Joy Global (JOY) September weekly call option implied volatility is at 77, October is at 60, November is at 57; compared to its 52-week range of 26 to 70, suggesting large price movement after Caterpillar(CAT) announced restructuring plans to lower costs by $1.5B annually.
09:17 EDTCATCaterpillar announces reorganization in dealer and customer support divisions
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09:11 EDTCATCaterpillar: Pre-tax costs associated with actions to be about $2B through 2018
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09:10 EDTCATCaterpillar: Restructuring costs, sales outlook will be 'negative for profit'
Expects costs will be favorable.
09:09 EDTCATCaterpillar: Cost reductions could impact more than 20 facilities
Cost reductions could impact more than 20 facilities and slightly more than 10% of manufacturing square footage. A portion of these cost reductions are expected to be effective in 2016, with more savings anticipated in 2017 and 2018.
09:06 EDTCATCaterpillar volatility up into restructuring plans to lower costs
Caterpillar September weekly call option implied volatility is at 33, October and November is at 30; compared to its 52-week range of 16 to 38, suggesting large price movement into announcing restructuring plans to lower costs by $1.5B annually.
09:06 EDTCATCaterpillar says key industries are 'well below prior peak levels'
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09:05 EDTCATCaterpillar expects FY16 revenue decline to occur in all three large segments
Expects FY16 revenue decline to occur in all three large segments -- Construction Industries, Energy & Transportation and Resource Industries - with the most significant decline in the oil and gas portion of our Energy and Transportation segment.
09:05 EDTCATOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
HIGHER: Arrowhead Research (ARWR), up 35% after disclosing top-line findings from the Heparc-2001 Phase 2a clinical study of ARC-520, its candidate for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B infection... Conatus Pharmaceuticals (CNAT), up 19% after the company's Phase 2 Portal Hypertension clinical trial of emricasan met its primary endpoints... Keryx Biopharmaceuticals (KERX), up 13% after announcing that the European Commission has approved Fexeric for the control of elevated serum phosphorus levels, or hyperphosphatemia, in adults with chronic kidney disease. LOWER: Caterpillar (CAT), down 5% after announcing restructuring plans, lowering revenue guidance, and having stock initiated with a Sell rating and a $28 price target at Axiom... Twitter (TWTR), down 1.5% after Citi cut estimates below consensus and lowered its price target to $30. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Worthington (WOR), down 12.5%... Accenture (ACN), down 3%.
09:04 EDTCATCaterpillar expects FY15 decline in revenue outlook to impact Q3 and Q4
09:03 EDTCATCaterpillar sees FY16 revenue to be 5% below FY15, consensus $47.36B
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09:03 EDTCATCaterpillar cuts FY15 revenue $48B from $49B, consensus $48.82B
09:03 EDTCATCaterpillar to reduce workforce by 4,000-5,000 people between now and 2016-end
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09:02 EDTCATCaterpillar announces restructuring plans to lower costs by $1.5B annually
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07:31 EDTCATAxiom initiates Caterpillar with a Sell, sees 60% downside potential
Axiom analyst Gordon Johnson II initiated Caterpillar with a Sell rating, saying that two of the company's three core businesses are struggling and he believes near-term strength in the company's Construction business is transient. Johnson thinks China's stimulus measures and near-zero interest rates have allowed Caterpillar to "stuff the channel" for the past five years, but with both tailwinds moderating, the analyst projects that the company's calendar 2016 EPS will fall to $2.79, far below the Street consensus view of $4.53. The analyst set a $28 price target on the stock, which represents about 60% downside from Caterpillar's closing price of $70.20 yesterday.
06:39 EDTBWABorgWarner volatility elevated on exposure to Volkswagen
BorgWarner (BWA) October call option implied volatility is at 40, January is at 37; compared to its 52-week range of 19 to 43, suggesting large near term price movement on the auto suppliers exposure to Volkswagen (VLKAY).
September 23, 2015
14:52 EDTPCARNavistar slides after VW scandal makes potential takeover unlikely
Shares of truck maker Navistar (NAV) have been under pressure since the start of the Volkswagen (VLKAY) emissions probe. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Navistar, which is based in the U.S., has long been seen as a possible target of Volkswagen. Navistar would give Volkswagen a footing in the U.S commercial truck market and allow it to better compete with Daimler (DDAIF) and Volvo (VOLVY) in that sector. On March 5, shares of Navistar jumped after The Deal's senior transportation writer Lou Whiteman wrote that the company could become a target for Volkswagen, Daimler or PACCAR (PCAR). Earlier today, Dow Jones wrote that Volkswagen's growing scandal over diesel engine emissions will likely distract the German automaker's interest in Navistar. PRICE ACTION: Since September 18, when the EPA first announced it was issuing a notice of violation to Volkswagen, shares of Navistar are down approximately 19%. Navistar is at a 52-week low, down over 8% to $13.70 in afternoon trading.
14:14 EDTGNTX, BWAVolkswagen shares jump as CEO Winterkorn departs
Shares of Volkswagen (VLKAY) trading in New York have jumped following the resignation of Chief Executive Officer Martin Winterkorn, with the company's supervisory board subsequently praising the decision and saying it will consider his replacement at a meeting Friday. Prior to the news, several analysts made their own arguments regarding the stock, appearing quite bearish but saying long-term value still remains for Volkswagen even as it grapples with what could be years of fallout from its recent emissions failure. ANALYST OPINION: Several research firms weighed in on Volkswagen's ongoing emissions scandal this morning prior to Winterkorn announcing his resignation as CEO. Credit Suisse analyst Dan Galves commented more broadly that the events surrounding the emissions violations "will likely impact all OEM's that sell vehicles in Europe," explaining that European air pollution tests are "very misleading" and feature notable loopholes. The Volkswagen scandal could accelerate stricter testing standards, resulting in higher compliance costs for automakers as well as weakened appeal for diesel engines, according to Galves. Autoparts suppliers with exposure to diesel vehicles like BorgWarner (BWA) and Delphi (DLPH) may see a "modest drag" if consumer sentiment shifts, though Magna (MGA) could benefit from increased compliance spending, added the analyst. Meanwhile, JPMorgan's Jose Asumendi downgraded Volkswagen to Neutral from Overweight. The analyst noted that the North American engine recall is not his primary worry, but rather the company's European exposure, especially given the potential for additional investigations and the lack of clarity on the company's total liability. Separately, Deutsche Bank analyst Tim Rokossa downgraded the stock to Hold and cut his price target to EUR130 from EUR260. Though the stock's recent slip may look like a buying opportunity, the complete impact of the scandal will likely take "much longer" to unfold, stressed Rokossa. Beyond "very painful" legal fees, the scandal's impact on Volkswagen operations is the more key concern as damage to the Volkswagen and Audi brands pressures pricing, argued Rokossa. Volkswagen was also downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nataxis this morning. In addition to the downgrades, Fitch Ratings placed Volkswagen's ratings, including its 'A' Long-term Issuer Default Rating, on Rating Watch Negative, reflecting "the reputational damage" on the group's brands the emission test scandal and the expected multi-billion euros financial impact from potential fines, recall costs, lawsuits and legal claims. CEO EXIT: Martin Winterkorn stepped down as CEO of Volkswagen on Wednesday as the company's emissions scandal continued to unfold. The former Chief Executive stated, "I am stunned that misconduct on such a scale was possible in the Volkswagen Group. As CEO I accept responsibility for the irregularities that have been found in diesel engines and have therefore requested the supervisory board to agree on terminating my function as CEO... I am doing this in the interests of the company even though I am not aware of any wrong doing on my part...The process of clarification and transparency must continue. This is the only way to win back trust." Winterkorn's announcement was quickly followed by a statement from the supervisory board itself, saying its executive committee "recognizes not only the economic damage caused, but also the loss of trust among many customers worldwide." The executive committee explained that recommendations for new personnel will be presented at an upcoming board meeting this Friday, but cautioned that it is expecting "further personnel consequences in the next days" as its internal investigations continue "at a high tempo." Importantly, the board also stated that it will voluntarily submit a complaint to the State Prosecutors' office in Brunswick, remarking that "criminal proceedings may be relevant." Possible replacements for Winterkorn include Matthias Mueller, head of the Porsche brand who has the support of the family that controls a majority stake of VW, and Herbert Diess, who recently joined from BMW (BAMXY), said Bloomberg, citing a person familiar with the matter. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Volkswagen trading in New York have advanced 8.3% to $27.55 in afternoon trading following Winterkorn's departure, though the company's American Depository Receipts have crashed nearly 28% since the emissions failure became public. Fellow German automakers BMW and Daimler (DDAIF) have also suffered double digit percentage declines in their New York listed shares since news of the scandal.
10:01 EDTPCARPACCAR announces $300M share repurchase
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08:50 EDTBWAWeakness in auto suppliers could create opportunities, says RBC Capital
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