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January 2, 2013
10:02 EDTPRXL, BCR, ITW, HAIN, URBN, QDEL, ZEUS, BC, TTM, CAT, VAL, X, POM, MAR, OSK, ADM, WAG, SFDOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Brunswick (BC) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... C.R. Bard (BCR) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... Marriott (MAR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at SunTrust... Olympic Steel (ZEUS) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse... PAREXEL (PRXL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup... Pepco Holdings (POM) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo... Quidel (QDEL) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... Smithfield Foods (SFD) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... U.S. Steel (X) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse... Urban Outfitters (URBN) upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies... Valspar (VAL) upgraded to Buy from Hold at KeyBanc... Walgreen (WAG) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... Hain Celestial (HAIN) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... Archer Daniels (ADM) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Miller Tabak... Caterpillar (CAT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at ISI Group... Illinois Tool Works (ITW) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at ISI Group... Oshkosh (OSK) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at ISI Group... Tata Motors (TTM) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.
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October 1, 2015
09:57 EDTXU.S. Steel price target cut to $8 on tubular weakness at BofA/Merrill
BofA/Merrill said recent industry data indicates energy tubulars reaffirms its stance that oversupply and bloated inventory combined with weak rig counts will persist through 2016. The firm cut U.S. Steel's 2016 tubular forecast to to marginally above breakeven and expects realized sheet selling prices to have a severe drop in 2016 due to repricing of annual contracts. BofA/Merrill lowered its price target to $8 from $11 and reiterated its Underperform rating on shares.
09:24 EDTADMArcher Daniels to acquire Eatem Foods
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08:00 EDTBCSecurity Traders Association to hold a conference
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September 30, 2015
16:26 EDTCATCaterpillar announces price action of 0%-2% worldwide on most machines
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10:00 EDTXBofa/Merrill global metals/mining analysts hold analyst/industry conference call
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08:43 EDTBCRC.R. Bard to acquire full ownership of JV in Japan
C.R. Bard announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co's 50% ownership share in Medicon, the Osaka, Japan-based joint venture that the two companies have operated together since 1972, through a share redemption. The transaction is expected to close in early November 2015, after which Medicon will be a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company. The transaction has been approved by each company's board of directors and is subject to customary closing conditions. The company expects the transaction to add approximately $40M to 2016 net sales. On an operational basis, the company expects the transaction to be neutral to adjusted cash earnings per share both in the fourth quarter of 2015 and the full-year 2016, and to be accretive thereafter. Including the impact of foreign exchange, the company expects the transaction to reduce fourth quarter 2015 and full year 2016 adjusted cash earnings per share by approximately 5c and 20c, respectively. As consideration for the transaction, Kobayashi will receive JPY3B at closing. Kobayashi will also receive the following additional payments annually on the anniversary date of the transaction: JPY1.9B in 2016, JPY1.5B in 2017, JPY1.2B in 2018, JPY1B in 2019, JPY600M in both 2020 and 2021, JPY400M in both 2022 and 2023, and JPY300M in both 2024 and 2025; the total consideration being JPY11.2B.
September 28, 2015
19:13 EDTPOMPepco, Exelon file for reconsideration of merger
Pepco Holdings (POM) and Exelon Corporation (EXC) have filed a petition for reconsideration of their merger with the Public Service Commission of the District of Columbia. The companies are working with the District of Columbia government to reach a settlement agreement. "We remain convinced our merger offers significant benefits to customers and the District, and we continue working to complete it," said Chris Crane, president and CEO of Exelon. "Since the Public Service Commission explained why it didn't approve the merger last month, we've worked to learn what's most important to the District - and we are responding." The District of Columbia government issued a statement confirming that it is engaged in substantive discussions with the companies on a settlement agreement. It added that any settlement agreement would be presented in a new application to the PSC for review, public comment and final determination. Joseph Rigby, chairman, president and CEO of Pepco Holdings, said, "We look forward to completing discussions with the District that will allow for a stronger Pepco to provide improved reliability along with the other significant benefits our merger will deliver to the District."
19:11 EDTPOMOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
HIGHER: Yahoo (YHOO), up 3.3% after the board authorized Yahoo to continue to pursue the Aabaco spin-off plan... Cheniere Energy (LNG), up 0.67% after Carl Icahn raised his stake in the company to 11.43%... Republic Airways (RJET), up 7.4% after the company was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank... Exelon (EXC) and Pepco (POM), higher by 1% and 2.4%, respectively, after the DC Mayor's office released a statement confirming discussions of a settlement agreement with the companies. LOWER AFTER EARNINGS: SYNNEX (SNX), down 2.7% after the company reported Q3 results, gave Q4 guidance, and raised its quarterly dividend. ALSO LOWER: Zosano (ZSAN), down 52.5% after it discontinued development of its Daily ZP-PTH treatment for severe osteoporosis and terminated a collaboration agreement with Eli Lilly (LLY)... OvaScience (OVAS), down 15.9% after the company announced it doesn't expect to meet its previous 2015 goal of 1,000 Augment treatment cycles.
17:20 EDTPOMDC Mayor's office releases statement on Exelon, Pepco merger negotiations
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07:00 EDTCATCaterpillar shares attractive after selloff, says Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Vishal Shah says that after dropping 7% since the 2015 guidance cut, shares of Caterpillar are attractive. Earnings per share will tough at $3.75 in 2016 and rebound to $4.10 in 2017, Shah tells investors in a research note. He keeps a Buy rating on the stock with an $80 price target.
06:57 EDTTTMNHTSA mulls Takata air bag recall expansion, Bloomberg reports
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, or NHTSA, is mulling an order that would expand that recalls of Takata (TKTDY) air bags and has contacted seven manufacturers who may be affected, including Volkswagen (VLKAY) and Tesla (TSLA), Bloomberg reports. Takata had identified seven companies that it has supplied with air bag inflators that use ammonium nitrate propellant, the report says, citing NHTSA letters dated September 22. The NHTSA also contacted Mercedes-Benz (DDAIF), Jaguar Land Rover (TTM), Suzuki (SZKMF), Volvo Trucks (VOLVY), and Spartan Motors (SPAR), the report says. Reference Link
September 25, 2015
16:35 EDTCATStocks end week lower as biotechs sink, Volkswagen crashes
Stocks ended the week lower after concerns about drug prices were reignited, sinking biotech stocks, an emissions scandal engulfed Volkswagen (VLKAY), dragging down shares of automakers and their suppliers, and Caterpillar (CAT) announced that it may eliminate as many as 10,000 jobs in the next three years as commodity prices continue to slump. MACRO NEWS: Following the Federal Reserve's decision last week to wait before raising rates, the central bank made a concerted effort to give the market more clarity this week. Over last weekend, three Federal Reserve officials - San Francisco Fed President John Williams, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker - all argued that an interest-rate increase is still warranted this year. Then, on Thursday night, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said during a speech at UMass Amherst that the central bank remains inclined to hike rates this year. Yellen's remarks were incrementally hawkish, but welcomed by the market, since they helped clarify the message the Fed delivered a week ago... In the U.S., Markit's flash manufacturing purchasing manager's index was flat at 53.0 in September, which was slightly better than the expectation for it to dip to 52.8. Durable goods orders for August declined 2.0%, versus expectations for a drop of 2.3%. When transportation items were removed, the core reading was breakeven, versus expectations for a rise of 0.1%. The third estimate of second quarter GDP showed the economy grew 3.9% quarter-over-quarter, versus expectations for the GDP growth estimate to stay at 3.7%. Personal consumption in Q2 is now believed to have grown 3.6%, up from the prior estimate of 3.1%. The final University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading for September came in at 87.2, which was down from August's 91.9 but above the expected 86.2 reading... The Asian Development Bank cut its growth forecast for the region, citing a weaker outlook for China and India and a delayed recovery in the world's advanced economies. The bank now sees the Chinese economy growing 6.8% this year and 6.7% next year, down from its previous forecasts of 7.2% and 7%, respectively. Markit's flash manufacturing PMI for China fell to 47.0 in September from 47.3 last month. Meanwhile, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe unveiled new economic targets, including a goal for a 20% increase in the target size of the Japanese economy to 600T yen, though he gave no timeframe for achieving this aspiration... In Europe, Markit's composite PMI for the eurozone came in at 53.9 in the first look for September, down from 54.3 in August and below expectations for a reading of 54.1. COMPANY NEWS: Biotech stocks declined after privately-held Turing Pharmaceuticals made headlines by enacting a 5,000% price increase on its treatment for toxoplasmosis, reigniting a debate around drug prices that previously embroiled costly Hepatitis C drugs including AbbVie's (ABBV) Viekira Pak and Gilead's (GILD) Sovaldi and Harvoni. Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton sent the debate to center stage by criticizing the "outrageous" prices of specialty drugs and laying out a plan to tackle "price gouging" in the specialty drug market. The NASDAQ Biotechnology index fell roughly xxx% for the week amid the attention paid to Turing's drug and Clinton's response... Volkswagen (VLKAY) shares trading in New York fell sharply to begin the week and ended the week far from where they'd been last Friday before the EPA said it found manipulations that violate U.S. environmental standards while testing certain of the automaker's diesel cars. The EPA said Volkswagen may face civil penalties of $37,500 for each vehicle not in compliance with federal clean air rules, which could total as much as $18B, according to Reuters. In the wake of the scandal, Chief Executive Officer Martin Winterkorn resigned, with the company's supervisory board subsequently praising the decision and selecting Matthias Mueller, the former head of Porsche (POAHY), as Winterkorn's successor as the company's new CEO... Caterpillar (CAT) shares dropped after the heavy machinery maker announced plans for job cuts and lowered its revenue guidance for this year and next. Caterpillar said that it would lay off 4,000-5,000 of its employees between now and the end of 2016 and could lay off up to 10,000 employees by 2018. Caterpillar cut its fiscal year 2015 revenue forecast by $1B and said its sees its fiscal year 2016 revenue to be 5% below this year, adding that it expects revenue declines in all three large segments next year... Online and mobile deal provider Groupon (GRPN) said it plans to cut 1,100 jobs relating primarily to the company's international operations... Nike jumped after the athletic gear giant reported better than expected earnings and futures orders, prompting numerous price target hikes and at least one upgrade at Street research firms. Among other companies reporting earnings this week, BlackBerry (BBRY), ConAgra (CAG), Carnival (CCL), and CarMax (KMX) fell immediately following their quarterly reports... Apple (AAPL), which has previously been reported to be working on an electric car via its "Project Titan," is speeding up those efforts and setting 2019 as a target to ship its first vehicle, according to The Wall Street Journal... Against the backdrop of China's President Xi Jinping visiting the U.S., Boeing (BA) announced deals to sell 300 planes to three Chinese companies and set up an aircraft factory in in the Asian nation, while Cisco (CSCO) announced a partnership with Chinese server maker Inspur Group... Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman Sachs (GS) Chairman and CEO, disclosed that he was diagnosed with lymphoma. "Fortunately, my form of lymphoma is highly curable and my doctors' and my own expectation is that I will be cured," Blankfein stated in an open letter that was shared by the bank... GoPro (GPRO) finished the week about xxx% lower after Barron's contended in a feature article last weekend that the company's stock could plunge another 30% to $25 as Apple, Sony (SNE) and others pressure the company's "one-hit wonder" products... On the M&A front, Atmel (ATML) agreed to be acquired by German chipmaker Dialog Semiconductor in a deal valued at roughly $4.6B and Starwood Waypoint (SWAY) announced a stock-for-stock merger agreement with Colony American Homes. INDEXES: The Dow lost about 0.43% to close at 16,314.67, the S&P 500 fell about 1.35% to close at 1,931.34, and the Nasdaq declined about 2.89% to close at 4,686.50.
10:00 EDTCATOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Atlas Air (AAWW) downgraded to In-Line from Outperform at Imperial Capital... Caterpillar (CAT) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... Cummins (CMI) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... Emerge Energy (EMES) downgraded after guidance withdrawal at Stifel... Exxon Mobil (XOM) downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research... F5 Networks (FFIV) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James... Internap (INAP) downgraded on earnings miss, negative outlook at Oppenheimer... Semtech (SMTC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at MKM Partners... Silicon Laboratories (SLAB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at MKM Partners... Superconductor Technologies (SCON) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Ladenburg... Virgin America (VA) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen.
08:28 EDTCATCummins downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair
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08:06 EDTCATCaterpillar downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair
William Blair downgraded Caterpillar to Market Perform after the company yesterday reduced its sales forecast and cut jobs. The firm sees a lack of catalysts and visibility amid the "machinery meltdown."
07:20 EDTCATCaterpillar EPS poised to bottom in 2016, says Stifel
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06:53 EDTCATCalAmp still has 'substantial growth' at Caterpillar, says Northland
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05:51 EDTCATBarclays starts U.S. Machinery space with Negative view
Barclays analyst Robert Wertheimer rolled out coverage of the U.S. Machinery space with a Negative view. Of the fifteen companies he initiated in the sector, only two are Overweight rated. Wertheimer started five names at Underweight, his firm's equivalent of a sell. Consensus estimates are too high across the board with revenue for this cycle already peaking for most of machinery, the analyst told investors last night in a research note. He sees a sharper downturn for North American trucks than the consensus expects, with another peak level eight years away. And the tractor supercycle is only two years in a downturn, while the prior two supercycles saw seven consecutive down years in machinery sales, Wertheimer adds. Allison Transmission (ALSN) and United Rentals (URI) are the analyst's Overweight-rated stocks in the sector. Deere (DE), CNH Industrial (CNHI), Cummins (CMI), PACCAR (PCAR) and Navistar (NAV) are his Underweight rated names. Wertheimer also started with Equal Weight ratings shares of Actuant (ATU), AGCO (AGCO), Caterpillar (CAT), Joy Global (JOY), Lincoln Electric (LECO), Manitowoc (MTW), Terex (TEX) and WABCO (WBC).
05:39 EDTXU.S. Steel implied volatility of 79 at upper end of index mean range
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05:11 EDTCATStocks with implied volatility movement; VRX CAT
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