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July 15, 2014
10:00 EDTRIG, SDRL, PHH, KR, HST, DANOY, ATW, WLL, TFM, RDC, NE, KOG, ESV, CBI, TWTR, SSRI, PGR, MJN, KMB, DO, FUNOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Atwood Oceanics (ATW) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital... Cedar Fair (FUN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Hilliard Lyons... Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI) upgraded to Focus List from Overweight at Johnson Rice... Danone (DANOY) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley... Diamond Offshore (DO) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital... Ensco (ESV) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital... Host Hotels (HST) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus... Kimberly Clark (KMB) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Kodiak Oil & Gas (KOG) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Wunderlich... Kroger (KR) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... Mead Johnson (MJN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Noble Corp. (NE) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital... PHH Corp. (PHH) upgraded at Oppenheimer... Progressive (PGR) upgraded to Equal-Weight from Underweight at Evercore... Rowan Companies (RDC) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital... Seadrill (SDRL) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital... Silver Standard (SSRI) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... The Fresh Market (TFM) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast... Transocean (RIG) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital... Twitter (TWTR) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Macquarie... Whiting Petroleum (WLL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
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July 20, 2015
07:00 EDTWLLWhiting Petroleum upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna
06:34 EDTPGRProgressive downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank
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06:13 EDTCBIChicago Bridge & Iron implied volatility of 66 at upper end of index
06:06 EDTTWTRStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; XOMA TWTR
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July 17, 2015
16:41 EDTTWTRStocks end week higher as Google, Greece bring out the buyers
Stocks ended the week higher and the major averages are back at record highs after Iran agreed to a nuclear deal, Greece's parliament paved the way for the country to receive another bailout by agreeing to new austerity measures and Google (GOOG) gave investors hope that earnings from tech's other heavyweights will be similarly better than expected. MACRO NEWS: In the U.S., retail sales unexpectedly fell 0.3% in June, versus the consensus forecast for growth of 0.3%. The producer prices index showed prices rose 0.4% in June, versus expectations for an increase of 0.2%. The consumer price index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.3% in June from a month earlier, matching the consensus forecast. Compared with last year, consumer prices rose 0.1%, marking the first annual increase since December. Housing starts rose 9.8% to a 1.17M rate in June and building permits rose 7.4% to a 1.34M pace, both of which topped expectations. The NAHB homebuilder sentiment index for July came in at 60, a point better than forecast. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment reading dropped to 93.3 in the preliminary July figure, which was below the 96.0 reading that was expected. During testimony before Congress, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen stayed on message, stating that the central bank is on track to raise record-low interest rates this year, so long as the labor market and the economy keep improving... In China, exports rose 2.1% from a year earlier during June and imports dropped 6.7%, leaving a trade surplus of $45.8B for the month, the nation's customs administration reported. The nation's GDP was reported to have grown 7% in the second quarter from a year earlier, beating the consensus expectation for growth of 6.8%... In Europe, Greek lawmakers passed the country's austerity agreement and Euro-area finance ministers reportedly agreed in principle to extend a bridge loan to Greece. The loan should help keep Greece afloat while its Prime Minister negotiates the details of the country's latest bailout... Iran reached a deal on restrictions and inspections intended to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons in exchange for the lifting of economic sanctions by six world powers. The agreement still faces a political fight in the U.S. before taking effect, but President Barack Obama has vowed to veto any congressional effort to block its implementation. COMPANY NEWS: Class A shares of Google (GOOG, GOOGL) surged at the end of the week after the search giant reported better than expected revenues and earnings in the second quarter. Research firms all over Wall Street raised their price targets on the stock in the wake of the report... Netflix (NFLX) rallied to a split-adjusted all-time high after the streaming service operator reported stronger than expected second quarter results, including higher than expected Q2 subscriber metrics, prompting a large number of research firms to raise their price targets on the stock... Many of the nation's largest banks reported on their results in the second quarter this week. JPMorgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) all posted quarterly profits, excluding certain items, that beat the average estimates of analysts. Wells Fargo (WFC) reported earnings in-line with consensus estimates and revenue somewhat below expectations, while Goldman Sachs (GS) reported headline earnings that appeared to fall far short of the consensus forecast. However, that was due to Goldman's nearly $1.5B in provisions for litigation and regulatory matters. Excluding those provisions, the bank's earnings were ahead of consensus... On the M&A front, Receptos (RCPT) advanced after Celgene (CELG) announced a deal to buy the smaller drugmaker for $232 per share in cash, or a total of about $7.2B net of cash acquired. A number of research firms applauded the deal, especially noting the price Celgene agreed to pay, but cautioned that a rival bidder may still emerge for Receptos. Marathon Petroleum (MPC) gained after MPLX (MPLX), the company's fee-based master limited partnership, agreed to acquire MarkWest Energy (MWE) in a cash and stock deal that implies a total enterprise value for MarkWest of approximately $20B, including the assumption of debt of approximately $4.2B. Micron (MU) rose after The Wall Street Journal reported that China's state-owned Tsinghua Unigroup had offered to acquire the memory chip maker for $23B, or $21 per share... Shares of Twitter (TWTR) spiked Tuesday morning after a questionable takeover report was published on a website that mimicked, but had a different web address, than Bloomberg News. A Bloomberg spokesman said soon afterward that the Twitter takeover story being attributed to the news service was a fake, while a Twitter spokesperson also denied the report of an alleged deal... Macy's (M) jumped after Starboard CEO Jeffrey Smith called the stock his "best idea" for 2015, adding that the shares could be worth $125 each if the company takes steps to maximize the value of its real estate holdings. Amazon (AMZN) announced it sold more units on its first "Prime Day" than the biggest Black Friday ever and had more new members try its Prime service worldwide than any single day in company history. The e-commerce giant noted that its worldwide order growth increased 266% over the same day last year and 18% more than Black Friday 2014, adding that it will "definitely be" doing another Prime Day in the future. A number of semiconductor equipment stocks, including Applied Materials (AMAT) and Lam Research (LRCX), dropped after Intel (INTC) cut its capital expenditures guidance while reporting on its quarterly results. INDEXES: For the week, the Dow gained about 1.05% to close at 18,086.45, the Nasdaq advanced about 3.37% to close at 5,210.14, and the S&P 500 rose about 1.67% to close at 2,126.64.
13:04 EDTPGRProgressive June miss due to higher than expected cat losses, says Wells Fargo
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12:12 EDTTWTRStocks with call strike movement; TWTR MU
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09:14 EDTWLLWhiting Petroleum reports $185M of additional non-core property sales
During the second quarter 2015, Whiting sold two packages of older, conventional, operated and non-operated properties to private buyers for a total of $185 million. The effective date for both sales is June 1, 2015 and both sales closed in June 2015. Reserves totaled an estimated 18.0 MMBOE with estimated remaining 2015 production of 6,100 BOE/d. The sales were consistent with Whiting’s continuing 2015 plans to sell mature properties with higher LOE per BOE than its core Bakken and Niobrara assets. LOE for the properties averaged approximately $18.00 per BOE versus $6.50 per BOE in the Bakken and $7.50 per BOE in the Niobrara. Including $108 million of non-core property sales announced in Whiting’s first quarter 2015 financial and operating results press release, year-to-date Whiting has completed a total of $293 million of non-core asset sales with associated reserves of 26.2 MMBOE and estimated remaining 2015 production of 8,300 BOE/d as of the effective dates of each sale. During the second quarter Whiting received $6.0 million in proceeds from fees and an approximate proportionately reduced 5% overriding royalty interest from the sale of its working interest in select non-operated wellbores in the Bakken/Three Forks play in the Williston Basin. The company sold these non-operated wellbores to concentrate its capital in its most efficient and profitable operated drilling prospects. Including this transaction, year-to-date Whiting has completed $300 million in asset sales.
09:06 EDTWLLWhiting estimates 1H15 capital expenditures $1.59B
Whiting estimates 1H 2015 capital expenditures totaled $1.59B. In the first half of the year, The company incurred $211M of non-operated drilling expenditures. The company has entered into an agreement to monetize the majority of its non-operated drilling through the remainder of 2015 to concentrate capital in the most profitable operated drilling prospects and project only $42M of non-operated capex in the second half of 2015.
09:04 EDTWLLWhiting sees FY15 production 59.7 MMBOE, up 7%
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09:03 EDTWLLWhiting Petroleum estimates Q2 production 15.5M MMBOE, up 2%
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09:00 EDTPGRProgressive reports Q2 EPS with gain 62c, may not compare to consensus 55c
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06:03 EDTCBIChicago Bridge & Iron implied volatility of 67 at upper end of index
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July 16, 2015
19:07 EDTESVConocoPhillips provides notice of termination for ENSCO DS-9 drillship contract
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19:04 EDTESVOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
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15:02 EDTPGRNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
Notable companies reporting before tomorrow's open, with earnings consensus, include General Electric (GE), consensus 28c... Honeywell (HON), consensus $1.49... Synchrony Financial (SYF), consensus 62c... SunTrust Banks (STI), consensus 81c... Progressive (PGR), consensus 55c... W.W. Grainger (GWW), consensus $3.05... Kansas City Southern (KSU), consensus $1.02... JB Hunt Transport (JBHT), consensus 90c... Autoliv (ALV), consensus $1.55... Comerica (CMA), consensus 75c... First Horizon (FHN), consensus 20c.
13:38 EDTTWTRTwitter's head of communications Stricker to leave company, Re/code reports
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11:20 EDTTWTRTwitter's TweetDeck says 'working on a fix' for issues
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10:21 EDTCBIChicago Bridge & Iron July weekly volatility elevated into Q2 and outlook
Chicago Bridge & Iron July weekly call option implied volatility is at 78, August is at 60, October is at 47 compared to its 52-week range of 25 to 69, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q2 results on July 23.
05:53 EDTCBIChicago Bridge & Iron implied volatility of 68 at upper end of index
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