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November 18, 2015
12:41 EDTGMCREarnings Watch: Keurig CEO still confident of long-term goals ahead of Q4 report
Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) is scheduled to report fourth quarter results after the market close on Wednesday, November 18 with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Keurig Green Mountain, formerly Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, is engaged in the specialty coffee and coffee maker businesses and owns the "Keurig" brand of single-serve coffee makers and products. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 71c on revenue of $1.03B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 68c-74c on revenue of $1.07B-$1.2B. LAST QUARTER: On August 5, Keurig Green Mountain reported third quarter adjusted EPS of 80c, beating analysts' estimates of 79c, on revenue of $969.6M, missing consensus estimates of $1.04B. The company forecast Q3 adjusted EPS of 70c-75c on a sales decline of low teens compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014. The company forecast FY15 adjusted EPS to decline in mid-single digits and net sales growth to be flat to up low-single digits compared to FY14. NEWS: In conjunction with its last earnings release, Keurig Green Mountain announced a $1B share repurchase authorization and said that based upon its preliminary estimates for fiscal 2016, the company expects its hot business to deliver modest adjusted EPS growth over fiscal 2015 inclusive of the expected productivity savings. The company also announced plans to reduce its workforce by 5% over the next few years, which is expected to generate about $300M in savings over the next three years with approximately $100M of savings in FY16. Brian Kelley, the company's chief executive officer, said that the company can still reach its long-term EPS goals and noted that the company experts a stronger FY15 holiday season than FY14. Kelley said that the company's new countertop device, the Kold machine, will drive long-term growth following recent sales declines in its core business, Reuters reported in September. Dow Jones said on October 21 that David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital shorted Keurig Green Mountain again. STREET RESEARCH: Canaccord lowered its price target on Keurig Green Mountain to $59 from $65 in a November note to clients and said they can't recommend buying the shares until the K-cup risk stabilizes, which could be helped by a strong holiday brewer sales season. On November 11, shares were downgraded to Negative from Mixed at OTR Global. PRICE ACTION: Over the last three months, Keurig Green Mountain shares are down over 19%. Year-to-date, shares are down roughly 69%. In afternoon trading ahead of the company's earnings, shares are up fractionally to $40.43.
11:01 EDTNFLXStocks with call strike movement; FOSL NFLX
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08:47 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain expanding KOLD beverage lineup with cocktail mixers
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08:19 EDTLRCXRBC Capital to hold a tour
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05:11 EDTGMCRStocks with implied volatility movement; GMCR CHK
Stocks with implied volatility movement; Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) 94, Chesapeake (CHK) 99 according to iVolatility.
November 17, 2015
16:01 EDTNFLXOptions Update; November 17, 2015
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures up 1.32 to 21.07. Option volume leaders: GE BAC AAPL FB NFLX SYF WMT CSCO MU SUNE VRX BABA AMZN HD FCX
10:56 EDTNFLXStocks with call strike movement; BABA NFLX
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10:55 EDTNFLXNetflix management to meet with Sterne Agee CRT
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08:35 EDTMRVLMarvell submitted compliance plan to NASDAQ
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07:58 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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07:16 EDTEAEarly Star Wars Battlefront reviews are mixed, says Piper Jaffray
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November 16, 2015
17:02 EDTNFLXPoint72 added to lululemon position, subtracted from Netflix position
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16:43 EDTLRCXGreenlight Capital added Apple, sold some SunEdison
Greenlight Capital gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: CNX Coal Resources (CNXC), Garmin (GRMN), Terraform Global (GLBL), and Liberty Global (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Apple (AAPL), Michael Kors (KORS), Dillard's (DDS), UIL Holdings (UIL), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA). DECREASED STAKES: SunEdison (SUNE), Micron (MU), Voya (VOYA), Applied Materials (AMAT), and SunEdison Semiconductor (SEMI). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Citizens Financial (CFG), Lam Research (LRCX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Hertz (HTZ), and Macy's (M).
16:00 EDTNFLXOptions Update; November 16, 2015
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09:37 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB ORCL BAC SUNE FDX FCX EXPE NFLX MU AMZN INTC TSLA
06:19 EDTNFLXTV programmers negotiate promotional deals with Netflix, WSJ says
Television programmers are negotiating with Netflix (NFLX) over promotional content and branding opportunities, the Wall Street Journal reports. For example, Disney's (DIS) ABC negotiated a deal where Netflix subscribers watching the ABC program "How to Get Away with Murder" will first watch a four second shot of star Viola Davis alongside an ABC logo right before watching the show, the report says. Reference Link
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