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News Breaks
January 10, 2014
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Janney Capital... Artisan Partners (APAM) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... BlackBerry (BBRY) upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital... Bristol-Myers (BMY) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... Cheniere Energy Partners LP (CQP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup... Incyte (INCY) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... Ironwood (IRWD) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... Janus Capital (JNS) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Liberty Property (LRY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... Macy's (M) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Microsoft (MSFT) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... Qlik Technologies (QLIK) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies... SunTrust (STI) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman... Target (TGT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Ventas (VTR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... William Lyon Homes (WLH) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... Canadian Natural (CNQ) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... Avery Dennison (AVY) upgraded at Topeka... Baidu (BIDU) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim... ATK (ATK) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus... Legg Mason (LM) upgraded to Neutral from Negative at Susquehanna... Acuity Brands (AYI) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Wedbush.
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November 18, 2015
08:03 EDTTGTTarget sees Q4 adjusted EPS $1.48-$1.58, consensus $1.54
08:02 EDTTGTTarget narrows FY15 adjusted EPS view to $4.65-$4.75 from $4.60-$4.75
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08:00 EDTTGTTarget reports Q3 adjusted EPS 86c, consensus 86c
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06:25 EDTINCYIncyte initiated with a Buy at Goldman
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November 17, 2015
18:58 EDTMSFTMicrosoft CEO says building new cyber defense center, NBC reports
Speaking at the Microsoft Government Cloud Forum on Tuesday, CEO Satya Nadella revealed plans to open a Cyber Defense Operations Center, gathering security experts from across the company's suite of products in order to respond to security threats in real-time, reports NBC. Reference Link
15:17 EDTTGTTarget November 73 straddle priced for 6% movement into Q3
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15:13 EDTTGTNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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14:46 EDTANFAbercrombie & Fitch volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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13:22 EDTBBRYBlackBerry sees posting a profit next year, CNBC reports
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12:53 EDTTGTEarnings Watch: Analysts bullish on Target's Q3 comps ahead of earnings report
Target (TGT) is scheduled to report third quarter results before the market open on Wednesday, November 18, with a conference call scheduled for 10:30 am ET. Target offers merchandise at discounted prices through its retail stores and online business. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 86c on revenue of $17.57B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 81c-89c on revenue of $17.42B-$17.76B. In its last earnings report, Target forecast Q3 adjusted EPS 79c-89c Q3 comparable sales up 1%-2%. LAST QUARTER: Target reported second quarter adjusted EPS of $1.22, beating analysts' estimates for $1.11, on revenue of $17.43B, generally in line with analysts' $17.4B consensus. The company said comparable sales increased 2.4% in Q2. Looking ahead, Target raised its fiscal year 2015 adjusted EPS view to $4.60-$4.75 from $4.50-$4.65 against estimates at that time for $4.62. On its earnings conference call, Target said it felt "great" about its fourth quarter plans and said it will be "very promotional" in that quarter. NEWS: On August 25, Target said it expects to record a pretax gain of approximately $550M after closing the transaction with CVS Pharmacy (CVS) to sell its pharmacy and clinic businesses for cash consideration of approximately $1.9B. Target also entered into a development agreement with CVS, through which it may jointly develop small-format stores, Target said. The transaction is expected to be accretive to EPS after closing. On September 10, Cherokee (CHKE) announced that Target elected not to renew the license of the Cherokee brand in the U.S., which will expire at the end of its current term on January 31, 2017. Target said on September 30 that it will update its Price Match Policy by expanding digitally and extending its timeframe to 14 days compared to 7 days. The retailer later announced plans to bring back free shipping and returns through the holiday season. STREET RESEARCH: Ahead of the company's earnings report, Piper Jaffray analyst Sean Naughton acknowledged that while sentiment is challenging on Target's stock amid the weakness being reported by a number of retailers this week, he believes Target's Q3 SSS are within the company's guidance of up 1%-2%. The analyst believes Target's fundamentals may be holding up better than some expected. He has an Overweight rating and $88 price target on the stock. Stifel also believes Target will report an above Street comp of 2% versus consensus of 1.7% and inline earnings of 86c. Analyst David A. Schick checks indicate strong merchandising and customer response to key holidays and said PCE trends suggest there is still room for comp upside. Last week, Citi analyst Kate McShane said that in a head-to-head comparison between Costco Wholesale (COST), Target and Wal-Mart Stores (WMT), three of the biggest broadlines retailers in the world, Target is the "surprising" winner. McShane said that Target "wins" on potential for EPS growth, operating margin and valuation. PRICE ACTION: Target shares are down over 7% over the past three months. In early afternoon trading ahead of Wednesday's earnings report, shares are up about 1.7% to $73.54.
10:47 EDTBMYBristol-Myers strength attributed to sale chatter
The move higher in shares of Bristol-Myers (BMY) is being attributed by traders to chatter of a sale. The stock is up 2%, or $1.06, to $66.08 in morning trading. The unconfirmed talk has the company possibly approaching Gilead (GILD) about buyout interest. Bristol's market capitalization is just above $110B while Gilead's is just above $150B. Shares of Gilead are up 74c to $104.55.
10:20 EDTBBRYOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: SGMS HZNP CSC ULTA RH BURL GME AEO BBRY TIF
10:11 EDTMOptions with decreasing implied volatility
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09:02 EDTMSFT, TGTAnalyst pans competing products, says buy Fitbit
Shares of previous high-flier Fitbit (FIT) have dropped about 30% in the last two weeks following the company's third quarter earnings report, but an analyst at Bank of America upgraded his view of the fitness tracker maker this morning, saying that now is the time to buy ahead of fourth quarter results that may be boosted by the "underwhelming" new products being launched by its competitors. UNDERWHELMING COMPETITION: Fitbit's sales guidance for this holiday quarter looks conservative, contends Bank of America analyst Nat Schindler, who notes that the company only had the launch of one new product last December but will have the Charge, Charge HR and Surge to drive sales this season. Schindler also notes that the company's international advertising has expanded into more countries ahead of the holidays this year. Key, however, may be the "underwhelming" lineup of new or updated fitness trackers launched by competitors, such as the Microsoft's (MSFT) Band 2, Jawbone's UP4 and Sony's (SNE) Smartband 2, many of which have only minor improvements and no "must have" features to pull consumers away from Fitbit, Schindler told investors in his research note. PLATFORM PICKING UP STEAM: The analyst also pointed out that Fitbit now has more than 20 companies signed onto its health and wellness platform, including big names like Target (TGT) and Barclays (BCS), which he believes should help drive revenue beats in the upcoming fiscal year due to increased device sales. Also, the additional dashboard data should help Fitbit maintain long-term user engagement, said Schindler. APPLE WATCH: Apple's (AAPL) Apple Watch is largely viewed as the biggest potential competitive threat to Fitbit's offerings, but on the fitness tracker maker's last earnings call CEO James Park said Fitbit's products differ from those of its competitors in several key aspects, including pricing, cross-platform compatibility, brand awareness and product line breadth. Other wearables makers include Garmin (GRMN) and Samsung. PRICE ACTION: Since the day after Fitbit's last earnings report after the market close on November 2, its shares have fallen about 29.5% to close yesterday at $28.80. In pre-market trading this morning, Fitbit shares rose 2% to $29.40.
08:14 EDTVTRRBC Capital to hold events at NAREIT
RBC Capital Events being held at NAREIT in Las Vegas on November 17-18.
07:56 EDTMSFTUBS to hold a conference
Global Technology Conference is being held in San Francisco on November 16-18 with webcasted company presentations to begin on November 17 at 10:45 am.; not all company presentations may be webcasted. Webcast Link
07:48 EDTSTI, LMBofa/Merrill to hold a conference
Banking & Financial Services Conference 2015 is being held in New York on November 17-18.
06:16 EDTMSFTMicrosoft turns around flawed security technology, NY Times says
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06:12 EDTBIDUBaidu to partner with Citic Bank to launch online bank, Financial Times reports
Baidu will partner with Citic Bank to launch an online bank, reports the Financial Times. China Citic Bank had suspended its shares in Shanghai and Hong Kong on Monday pending announcement of a "proposed external investment" while Baidu said it would make an announcement on Wednesday. Reference Link
05:20 EDTBBRYStocks with implied volatility movement; VIPS BBRY
Stocks with implied volatility movement; Vipshop (VIPS) 92, BlackBerry (BBRY) 63 according to iVolatility.
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