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March 20, 2014
American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill... CEMEX (CX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Longbow... CHC Group (HELI) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... El Paso Electric (EE) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... ING U.S. (VOYA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank... Infinera (INFN) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel... Inphi (IPHI) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel... NRG Energy (NRG) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Neutral at Goldman... On Assignment (ASGN) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo... Tornier (TRNX) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo... Ulta Salon (ULTA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... WEX Inc. (WEX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup... Jabil Circuit (JBL) upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at Scotia Capital... Macerich (MAC) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Sandler O'Neill... Sinovac Biotech (SVA) upgraded at Morgan Stanley... Gran Tierra (GTE) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Securities... WellCare (WCG) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Leerink... Minerals Technologies (MTX) upgraded to Overweight at First Analysis... Talisman Energy (TLM) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Securities... Yum! Brands (YUM) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at First Global.
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November 17, 2015
10:20 EDTULTAOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: SGMS HZNP CSC ULTA RH BURL GME AEO BBRY TIF
08:29 EDTULTAULTA Beauty December volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
ULTA Beauty November call option implied volatility is at 41, December is at 52, March is at 41; compared to its 52-week range of 17 to 54, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on December 3.
08:22 EDTAMHJefferies to hold events at NAREIT
Jefferies Company Events being held at NAREIT in Las Vegas on November 17-18.
08:14 EDTMACRBC Capital to hold events at NAREIT
RBC Capital Events being held at NAREIT in Las Vegas on November 17-18.
08:04 EDTWCGStifel to hold a conference
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07:56 EDTJBLUBS to hold a conference
Global Technology Conference is being held in San Francisco on November 16-18 with webcasted company presentations to begin on November 17 at 10:45 am.; not all company presentations may be webcasted. Webcast Link
05:33 EDTYUMStocks with implied volatility below IV index mean; YUM QCOM
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November 16, 2015
16:43 EDTVOYAGreenlight Capital added Apple, sold some SunEdison
Greenlight Capital gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: CNX Coal Resources (CNXC), Garmin (GRMN), Terraform Global (GLBL), and Liberty Global (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Apple (AAPL), Michael Kors (KORS), Dillard's (DDS), UIL Holdings (UIL), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA). DECREASED STAKES: SunEdison (SUNE), Micron (MU), Voya (VOYA), Applied Materials (AMAT), and SunEdison Semiconductor (SEMI). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Citizens Financial (CFG), Lam Research (LRCX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Hertz (HTZ), and Macy's (M).
11:48 EDTINFNInfinera management to meet with Needham
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10:43 EDTULTAOptions with increasing implied volatility
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07:56 EDTYUMTaco Bell committed to serving cage-free eggs in U.S. restaurants by end of 2016
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07:39 EDTIPHINetlist says appeals court upholds validity of LRDIMM patent against Inphi
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07:18 EDTVOYAVoya Financial management to meet with Deutsche Bank
Meeting to be held in Singapore on November 16 hosted by Deutsche Bank.
06:11 EDTYUMTaco Bell to stop using eggs laid by caged hens by 2017, Reuters reports
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November 13, 2015
17:04 EDTYUMThird Point gives quarterly update on stakes
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12:34 EDTYUMOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street were lower at midday following worse than expected retail sales data in the U.S. and a report showing that the Eurozone's economic growth slowed last quarter. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined on Friday morning following the weaker than expected retail sales data reported by the government as well as third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). Each of the aforementioned department store operators slid following their reports, as did Macy's (M) and Kohl's (KSS), which reported on their own results earlier in the week. TJX Companies (TJX) and Ross Stores (ROST), which are both scheduled to report quarterly earnings next week, were also among those caught up in the weakness... Shares of Mylan (MYL) jumped 13% after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drugmakers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid 7% in the wake of the shareholder vote... Cisco (CSCO) fell 6% after its first quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations but its guidance for the new quarter disappointed. A number of analysts that had been bullish on the name trimmed their price targets in response but also recommended the post-earnings weakness as a buying opportunity. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Syngenta (SYT), which rallied 5% after Bloomberg reported that the company rejected an initial $42B offer from ChemChina. Also higher was Yum! Brands (YUM), which gained 4% after it reported positive year over year same store sales growth for its China division in October. Among the noteworthy losers was GameStop (GME), which fell 14% after its stock was downgraded at Pacific Crest and NPD estimated that video game software sale declined 3% last month compared to the same month of last year. Also lower was Fossil (FOSL), which plunged 33% after the watchmaker gave lower than expected profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and said it continues to expect this fiscal year's results to be "significantly" negatively impacted by foreign currency changes. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 88.19, or 0.51%, to 17,359.88, the Nasdaq was down 34.22, or 0.68%, to 4,970.86, and the S&P 500 was down 9.24, or 0.45%, to 2,036.73.
09:39 EDTYUMYum! Brands rises on improving China sales
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09:27 EDTYUMOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Blue Buffalo (BUFF), up 8.2%... Applied Materials (AMAT), up 3.8%... Planet Fitness (PLNT), up 9.8%... Lipocine (LPCN), up 16.2% after reporting quarterly results and that the FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of June 28, 2016. ALSO HIGHER: Mylan (MYL), up 10.9% after Perrgo (PRGO) shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed... Plug Power (PLUG), up 7.3% after entering into a strategic supply agreement with 3M (MMM)... Yum! Brands (YUM), up after reporting that October China Same-Store Sales are up 5%. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Fossil (FOSL), down 24.5%... Fossil (JWN), down 20.6%... El Pollo LoCo (LOCO), down 15.1%... Cisco (CSCO), down 4.1%.... Tyco (TYC), down 4.1%... J.C. Penney (JCP), down 6.8%. ALSO LOWER: Fitbit (FIT), down 8.4% after 17M share Secondary priced at $29.00... GameStop (GME), down 8% after being downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest... Lions Gate (LGF), down 2.6% after 3.4M share Spot Secondary priced at $39.43... Perrigo is down 10.5% after shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed.
09:21 EDTYUMWendy's '4 for $4' a hit, McDonald's promo may be next
An analyst at Citi believes Wendy's (WEN) has seen strong results from its ongoing "4 for $4" promotion, prompting him to add the stock to the firm's Focus List and predict that the company's same-store sales growth this quarter will beat expectations. 4 FOR $4: Under an ongoing promotion that was launched in October, Wendy's offers a junior bacon cheeseburger, four piece chicken nuggets, fries, and a drink for $4. Citi analyst Gregory Badishkanian told investors in a research note this morning that his analysis and talks with those in the fast-food industry suggest that the promotion continues to drive strong results, leading to a rise in transactions at Wendy's with little to no impact on restaurants' average check total. Badishkanian predicts Wendy's will post fourth quarter same-store sales growth of at least 4%, versus the First Call consensus forecast of 2.7% and the 3.3% growth implied by the high-end of the company's fiscal year guidance. INDUSTRY VALUE FOCUS: Wendy's management has emphasized value offerings recently, but other quick service restaurant peers are also increasing their focus on value, Badishkanian noted. The analyst sees a good chance that McDonald's (MCD) will roll-out a "2 for $2" promotion soon, which he believes could have a "modest" impact on Wendy's, but more of an impact on Restaurant Brands' (QSR) Burger King. Badishkanian predicts McDonald's same-store sales growth should accelerate further in the fourth quarter, but not at the expense of Wendy's. He keeps a Buy rating on Wendy's shares with an $11 price target. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Yum! Brands (YUM), which also competes in the quick service food space with its KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell brands, is rallying this morning after reporting last night that its China division's same-store sales grew an estimated 5% in October. PRICE ACTION: Wendy's stock has gained over 5% in the last month, closing yesterday at $9.63 per share. In that same period, McDonald's shares have risen over 8% while Restaurant Brands has declined 3%.
05:11 EDTGTEGran Tierra to acquire Petroamerica
Gran Tierra Energy and Petroamerica Oil announced that they have entered into an arrangement agreement dated November 12 whereby Gran Tierra has agreed to acquire all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Petroamerica by way of a statutory plan of arrangement under the Business Corporations Act. Under the terms of the Arrangement Agreement, Petroamerica shareholders will receive, at their election, either 0.40 of a Gran Tierra common share or C$1.33 in cash for each Petroamerica share, subject to a maximum of 70% of the consideration payable in cash. If Petroamerica shareholders elect to accept all share consideration, Gran Tierra expects to issue 43.6M common shares. Gran Tierra will also be assuming the net positive working capital of Petroamerica, estimated at $25M as at October 31, after accounting for severance and transaction costs, and including previously restricted cash which Gran Tierra expects to replace with letters of credit. Based on a 5-day volume weighted average trading price of C$3.32 per Gran Tierra common share on the facilities of the TSX, the transaction value including working capital and accounting for severance and transaction costs is $84M. Gran Tierra believes that the acquisition of Petroamerica is highly strategic and will strengthen its position as the premier operator and land holder in the Putumayo Basin. Petroamerica's undeveloped land holdings and exploration and development portfolio are highly complementary to Gran Tierra's own exploration portfolio, strong cash flow, reserves base and balance sheet strength. With expected base pro forma production of 28,000-30,000 boe/d in 2016, Gran Tierra believes that the combined entity will be uniquely positioned as a high growth, well-capitalized, Colombia focused oil and gas producer with a dominant position in the Putumayo basin and a growing presence in the Llanos basin. In addition, Gran Tierra has the financial capacity to pursue additional exploration and development projects within Petroamerica's asset portfolio. The successful completion of the Acquisition is expected to be accretive to Gran Tierra's net asset value per share. Gran Tierra will remain debt free with pro forma working capital of $135M-$210M, depending on the form of consideration elected by Petroamerica shareholders.
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