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September 24, 2015
16:17 EDTNKENike reports Q1 inventories $4.4B, up 10% YoY
Inventories for NIKE, Inc. were $4.4B, up 10% from August 31, 2014, driven primarily by an 8 percent increase in NIKE Brand wholesale unit inventories. Increases in average product cost per unit, as well as higher inventories associated with growth in DTC, were largely offset by changes in foreign currency rates.
16:16 EDTNKENike reports Q1 gross margin expanded 90 basis points to 47.5%
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16:15 EDTNKENike reports Q1 worldwide futures orders up 9%, up 17% ex-currency changes
Inventories as of August 31, 2015 up 10%.
16:15 EDTNKENike reports Q1 EPS $1.34, consensus $1.19
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15:00 EDTNKENotable companies reporting after market close
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13:27 EDTNKENike September 114 weekly straddle priced for 4.2% movement into Q1
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13:19 EDTTWTROn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street were sharply lower at midday, with each of the major indexes down more than 1%. Continued weakness in Asia and a lack of clarity regarding the Fed's rate decision last week has kept buyers on the sidelines while the sellers have had their way. Lowered guidance from Dow component Caterpillar (CAT) has weighed on the market in addition to some economic data points that were below expectations. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., initial jobless claims were 267,000, versus expectations for 272,000 first-time claims. Durable goods orders for August declined 2.0%, versus expectations for a drop of 2.3%. When transportation items were removed, the core reading was breakeven, versus expectations for a rise of 0.1%. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index had a reading of -0.41, versus expectations of +0.24. New home sales jumped 5.7% in August to a 552,000 rate, versus expectations for a rise of 1.6% to a 515,000 rate. In Asia, Japan's stock market reopened for the first time since Friday and the Nikkei suffered a nearly 3% decline as it caught up to other global market trends in the week-to-date. The slide came despite Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe unveiling new economic targets, including a goal for a 20% increase in the target size of the Japanese economy to 600T yen, though he gave no timeframe for achieving this aspiration. Elsewhere, Norway and Taiwan both cut interest rates this morning. The Norges Bank lowered rates by 25 basis points to 0.75%, while Taiwan cut its benchmark by 12.5 basis points to 1.75% in the nation's first lowering of rates since 2009. COMPANY NEWS: A slide in shares of Caterpillar weighed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average after the heavy machinery maker announced plans for job cuts and lowered its revenue guidance for this year and next. Caterpillar said that it would lay off 4,000-5,000 of its employees between now and the end of 2016 and could lay off up to 10,000 employees by 2018. Before the news was announced, research firm Axiom initiated coverage of Caterpillar with a Sell rating and $28 price target, which its shares were 5.7% closer to at midday following their swoon. Other mining and agriculture equipment makers, including Joy Global and Deere (DE), were also weaker following the Dow member's announcement. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Arrowhead Research (ARWR), which rose 18% after disclosing top-line findings from the Heparc-2001 Phase 2a clinical study of ARC-520, its candidate for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B infection. Also higher was Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK), the parent company of Hudson City Savings Bank, which gained 3% after the bank, the Justice Department and CFPB reached a settlement to resolve allegations that the bank engaged in a pattern or practice of "redlining" predominantly Black and Hispanic neighborhoods in its residential mortgage lending practices. Notably, settling the allegations may pave the way for the bank to close out a proposed merger with M&T Bank (MTB). Among the noteworthy losers was Sientra (SIEN), which dropped 42% after disclosing that the U.K.'s Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency announced the suspension of the CE certificate for all medical devices made by Silimed, the company's contract manufacturer. Also lower were shares of Twitter (TWTR), which slid 4% after Citi cut its estimates below consensus and lowered its price target on the microblog service operator to $30. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 186.90, or 1.15%, to 16,092.99, the Nasdaq was down 56.64, or 1.19%, to 4,696.10, and the S&P 500 was down 20.18, or 1.04%, to 1,918.58.
12:32 EDTNKEEarnings Watch: Analysts positive on Nike ahead of Q1 earnings report
Nike (NKE) is expected to report first quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday, September 24, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Nike sells athletic footwear, apparel, equipment and accessories worldwide. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $1.19 on revenue of $8.22B. The consensus range is $1.14-$1.26 for EPS and $8.13B-$8.33B for revenue. In its last earnings report, Nike forecast Q1 revenue growth in the low single digits. LAST QUARTER: The company reported fourth quarter EPS of 98c and revenue of $7.8B, beating the consensus expectation of 83c and $7.69B, respectively. Nike reported a Q4 gross margin of 46.2%, which was up 60 basis points. The company also reported worldwide futures orders up 2% including currency changes and up 13% excluding currency changes. Looking ahead, Nike forecast fiscal year 2016 revenue growth in the mid-single digits, and said it expected Q1 and FY16 gross margin to increase by 50bps. On its last earnings conference call, Nike said it was confident that it would be able to keep "moving margins forward." The company said it plans to deliver mid-teens EPS growth over time. NEWS: Phil Knight announced plans to step down as the company's chairman on June 30, and recommended president and Chief Executive Officer Mark Parker take over the role. Knight said he would transfer most of his stock to a limited liability company named Swoosh LLC, to be managed by himself, Parker and other Nike executives. The move that will help "maintain Nike's corporate governance," the company said. Under terms agreed upon in June, Nike will pay $2.4M to customers who purchased a FuelBand product anytime between January 19, 2012 and June 17, 2015 to settle a class action suit leveled against itself and Apple (AAPL) in 2013, AppleInsider reported in July. STREET RESEARCH: On the day after its last earnings report, Nike's price target was raised at Piper Jaffray, Nomura, Macquarie, Goldman, Deustche Bank and Baird. On July 28, Jefferies raised its price target for Nike to $128 to reflect greater likelihood of the Trans-Pacific Partnership becoming law, which could benefit Nike's margins over time. In August, Telsey Advisory upgraded Nike to Outperform from Market Perform and Susquehanna upgraded shares to Positive from Neutral. Stifel said on August 27 that Nike "continues to dominate" in all areas of footwear and predicted that Nike's revenue could increase by low single digits in FY16. Ahead of this afternoon's earnings report, Deutsche Bank, Susquehanna and UBS raised their price targets on Nike. Deutsche Bank expects Nike to post "modest" Q1 upside today. PRICE ACTION: Over the last three months, Nike shares are up about 7.15%. Ahead of this afternoon's report, shares are down 1.2% to $114.16.
10:58 EDTTWTRStocks with call strike movement; TWTR NFLX
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09:05 EDTTWTROn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
HIGHER: Arrowhead Research (ARWR), up 35% after disclosing top-line findings from the Heparc-2001 Phase 2a clinical study of ARC-520, its candidate for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B infection... Conatus Pharmaceuticals (CNAT), up 19% after the company's Phase 2 Portal Hypertension clinical trial of emricasan met its primary endpoints... Keryx Biopharmaceuticals (KERX), up 13% after announcing that the European Commission has approved Fexeric for the control of elevated serum phosphorus levels, or hyperphosphatemia, in adults with chronic kidney disease. LOWER: Caterpillar (CAT), down 5% after announcing restructuring plans, lowering revenue guidance, and having stock initiated with a Sell rating and a $28 price target at Axiom... Twitter (TWTR), down 1.5% after Citi cut estimates below consensus and lowered its price target to $30. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Worthington (WOR), down 12.5%... Accenture (ACN), down 3%.
08:57 EDTTWTRGoogle price target raised to $781 from $730 at Citi
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08:51 EDTTWTRCiti cuts Twitter estimates below consensus, drops target to $30
Citi analyst Mark May says his analysis indicates the consensus estimates for Twitter (TWTR) may be too high as they assume "meaningful increases" in monetization which he believes may prove difficult to realize. May cut his 2015, 2016 and 2017 earnings per share estimates for Twitter to 30c, 34c and 58c, respectively, well below the consensus estimates of 34c, 63c, and $1.03. He also cut his 2016 revenue estimate to 3% below the consensus. It will be difficult for the stock to achieve sustained multiple expansion until user growth accelerates and/or revenue growth stabilizes, May tells investors in a research note. He moved the stock to Citi's "High Risk" designation given Twitter's recent user trends and his belief that his estimates are unlikely to move up in the near-term. He keeps a Neutral rating on the name. May's top picks among U.S. Internet stocks remain Facebook (FB), (AMZN) and eBay (EBAY).
September 23, 2015
20:08 EDTPANWChinese president visits U.S. amid cybersecurity, copyright worries
As part of his first official U.S. visit, Chinese president Xi Jinping held a meeting with American business leaders on Wednesday to address concerns of copyright infringement and cybersecurity, among numerous topics. In attendance were corporate giants from both nations, including Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Cisco (CSCO), Alibaba (BABA), Tencent (TCEHY), and Baidu (BIDU), according to media reports. COPYRIGHT CONCERNS: Responding to oft-cited concerns of copyright infringement by Chinese companies, Xi said China will "stand firm to protect" the intellectual property rights of American companies, according to Wall Street Journal coverage of the event. Note that in late 2014, China began establishing specialized courts to deliberate on intellectual property rights cases, and Xi commented Wednesday that "the newly established IPR courts are working smoothly. This means there will be much stronger IPR protection which will serve the interests of foreign businesses as well as Chinese companies." Chinese consumer electronics company Xiaomi is perhaps the most talked-about firm when it comes to the matter, with media outlets frequently criticizing its alleged "copying" of Apple design sensibilities. In mid-July, Xiaomi VP of global operations Hugo Barra told Bloomberg that the company is preparing to enter U.S. markets, though he cautioned that the launch could be "much more" than a year away as it seeks to build up its patent portfolio. CYBERSECURITY TENSIONS: Wednesday's meeting comes in the wake of numerous high-profile "hack attacks," with Sony (SNE), American Airlines (AAL), Anthem (ANTM), United Airlines (UAL), and Target (TGT) all reporting digital security breaches in recent years. Xi has consistently denied the involvement of state-backed hackers, but tensions have nevertheless arisen as cybersecurity firms such as FireEye (FEYE) and Palo Alto Networks (PANW) backtrace connections to the country. Cybersecurity intrusions originating from China have recently slowed ahead of Xi's visit, according to Reuters, with Kevin Mandia of security firm Mandiant telling the publication, "In my gut, I feel like the Chinese and the U.S. over the next couple of years are going to figure this out."
19:23 EDTTWTRTwitter to be available in additional languages
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12:36 EDTIMPV, PANWGovernment cyber attack affects larger number of fingerprint data
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12:16 EDTIMPV, PANWPiper says reseller event positive for Palo Alto, Imperva, CyberArk
Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski says his investor briefing with a large security reseller yielded positive feedback on Palo Alto (PANW), Imperva (IMPV) and CyberArk (CYBR). The reseller's customers' top spending priority is now inside threat protection, which bodes well for Imperva and CyberArk, Nowinski tells investors in a research note. Further, their growth with Palo Alto continues to ramp and should exceed 50% in 2016, the analyst adds. Nowinski found comments around FireEye (FEYE) "slightly more cautious" with some viewing the Mandiant service organization as competitive to their professional service offerings.
10:00 EDTAOSOn The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary
Today's noteworthy initiations include: A.O. Smith (AOS) initiated with a Buy at BB&T...Exxon Mobil (XOM) initiated with an Underperform at Macquarie... Farmland Partners (FPI) initiated with a Buy at Wunderlich... Ferro (FOE) initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer... FibroGen (FGEN) initiated with a Hold at Lake Street.
07:53 EDTWMGIUBS medical supplies & devices analyst holds an analyst/industry conference call
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07:34 EDTNKENike shares have room for further upside, says Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Dave Weiner says that despite the 20% year-to-date rally, shares of Nike have room for further upside. Nike's business in China is accelerating and operating margin strength should continue, Weiner tells investors in a research note. The analyst expects Nike to post "modest" Q1 upside when reporting results tomorrow after the close. He keeps a Buy rating on the stock with a $125 price target.
07:14 EDTAOSA.O. Smith initiated with a Buy at BB&T
Target $80.
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