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March 29, 2012
10:20 EDTGBDC, AINV, HERO, PNR, DLPH, ADS, RIG, JWN, DK, WFCOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Alliance Data Systems (ADS) upgraded to Outperform at Keefe Bruyette...Apollo Investment (AINV) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo...Delek US Holdings (DK) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse...Delphi Automotive (DLPH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup...Golub Capital (GBDC) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo...Nordstrom (JWN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman...Pentair (PNR) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at William Blair...Wells Fargo (WFC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Nomura...Transocean (RIG) upgraded to Outperform from Underperform at CLSA...Hercules Offshore (HERO) upgraded to Buy from Underperform at CLSA.
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September 28, 2015
06:56 EDTRIGTransocean upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank
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September 27, 2015
12:33 EDTDLPHAuto suppliers look like bargains after Volkswagen scandal, Barron's says
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September 25, 2015
09:43 EDTRIGTransocean says has not identified any wrongdoing related to Petrobras
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09:17 EDTDLPHAuto suppliers decline on Volkswagen fears overdone, says Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo says that a 10% decline in diesel's market share in Europe would only reduce the annual EPS of Tenneco (TEN0, BorgWarner (BWA) and Delphi (DLPH) by 1%-5%, while the stocks have fallen by a median of 10.2% since September 17. The firm does not expect Volkswagen (VLKAY) sales to drop tremendously. It views fears about BorgWarner and Tenneco as "way overdone," and says that Delphi's weakness is also unjustified.
08:57 EDTADSAlliance Data should be bought on weakness, says SunTrust
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07:33 EDTWFCGlobal Interdependence Center to co-host a discussion
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September 24, 2015
15:58 EDTRIGTransocean puts active, reportedly being linked to Petrobras corruption probe
Transocean (RIG) September weekly 13.5 & 14 puts are active on total put volume of 35K contracts (14K puts) after being linked to Petrobras (PBR) corruption probe, Bloomberg reports. September weekly put option implied volatility is at 96, October is at 78; compared to its 52-week range of 30 to 88. Active put volume suggests traders taking positions for downside price movement.
15:52 EDTRIGTransocean linked to corruption probe of Petrobras, Bloomberg reports
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15:52 EDTRIGOptions with increasing volume; RIG YNDX BLK BBBY TOL HES CC
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15:47 EDTRIGTransocean down 6.5% after reportedly being linked to Petrobras corruption probe
15:46 EDTRIGTransocean linked to Petrobras corruption probe, Bloomberg says
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11:12 EDTDLPHAnalyst says Delphi pushed to 'attractive' level by Volkswagen scandal
The shares of auto equipment maker Delphi (DLPH) are falling nearly 4% this morning and have tumbled over 8% week-to-date in the wake of the Volkswagen (VLKAY) emissions scandal. In a note to investors today, RBC Capital recommended that investors buy Delphi shares at current levels, saying that the impact of the Volkswagen news on Delphi "appears limited." WHAT'S NEW: After meeting with Delphi's CEO and treasurer, RBC Capital analyst Joseph Spak says that Delphi parts are not incorporated into any light vehicles with diesel engines in the U.S., while Volkswagen accounts for only about 1% of Delphi's overall powertrain business. Delphi could be hurt if European consumers stop buying diesel powered vehicles, according to Spak, who noted that Delphi generates double the revenue from diesel vehicles than it gets from gasoline vehicles. Such a scenario, however, is unlikely to play out and the company would see higher revenue from gasoline engines if it does occur, according to Spak. Addressing the company's outlook in China, Spak lowered his third quarter and full-year operating income estimates for the auto maker "towards the low end" of its guidance. However, he noted that Delphi "does seem to be confident" that it can meet its earnings per share guidance even if its production in China is flat in the second half of this year, the analyst stated. Moreover, Delphi suggested that its China business appears to be stabilizing, while some automakers are increasing their fourth quarter orders from previous levels, he wrote. Spak cut his price target on the stock to $91 from $93 but kept an Outperform rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Yesterday, Spak wrote that the decline of auto suppliers with exposure to Volkswagen's powertrain could be overdone. In addition to Delphi, he identified Magna (MGA) as having exposure to Volkswagen's powertrains. BorgWarner (BWA) would only lose 7c of EPS if all sales of cars with 1.5M Volkswagen engines disappear, the analyst added. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Delphi dropped 3.7% to $71.36, while Magna fell 5.7% to $43.64 and BorgWarner declined 3.7% to $37.54.
08:03 EDTDLPHDelphi should be bought at current levels, says RBC Capital
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07:10 EDTWFCBanks clash with regulators over energy lending, WSJ reports
Banks are fighting with regulators over loan reviews that might compress the flow of net credit to the oil patch, the Wall Street Journal reports. The disagreement is focused on the narrow issue of loans secured by oil and gas companies' reserves, but it highlights the point of how postcrisis regulation of the financial industry impacts sectors outside of Wall Street, the report says. Caught in between banks and regulators are the small and medium exploration and production companies that rely on credit lines using their energy reserves as collateral, the report says. Publicly traded companies in the space include Bank of America (BAC), Citi (C), Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan (JPM), Morgan Stanley (MS), U.S. Bancorp (USB) and Wells Fargo (WFC). Reference Link
September 23, 2015
16:00 EDTRIGOptions Update; September 23, 2015
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures down 53c to 23.81 Option volume leaders: AAPL NFLX BAC FB BABA DOW RIG MU FCX PBR XOM JPM
14:14 EDTDLPHVolkswagen shares jump as CEO Winterkorn departs
Shares of Volkswagen (VLKAY) trading in New York have jumped following the resignation of Chief Executive Officer Martin Winterkorn, with the company's supervisory board subsequently praising the decision and saying it will consider his replacement at a meeting Friday. Prior to the news, several analysts made their own arguments regarding the stock, appearing quite bearish but saying long-term value still remains for Volkswagen even as it grapples with what could be years of fallout from its recent emissions failure. ANALYST OPINION: Several research firms weighed in on Volkswagen's ongoing emissions scandal this morning prior to Winterkorn announcing his resignation as CEO. Credit Suisse analyst Dan Galves commented more broadly that the events surrounding the emissions violations "will likely impact all OEM's that sell vehicles in Europe," explaining that European air pollution tests are "very misleading" and feature notable loopholes. The Volkswagen scandal could accelerate stricter testing standards, resulting in higher compliance costs for automakers as well as weakened appeal for diesel engines, according to Galves. Autoparts suppliers with exposure to diesel vehicles like BorgWarner (BWA) and Delphi (DLPH) may see a "modest drag" if consumer sentiment shifts, though Magna (MGA) could benefit from increased compliance spending, added the analyst. Meanwhile, JPMorgan's Jose Asumendi downgraded Volkswagen to Neutral from Overweight. The analyst noted that the North American engine recall is not his primary worry, but rather the company's European exposure, especially given the potential for additional investigations and the lack of clarity on the company's total liability. Separately, Deutsche Bank analyst Tim Rokossa downgraded the stock to Hold and cut his price target to EUR130 from EUR260. Though the stock's recent slip may look like a buying opportunity, the complete impact of the scandal will likely take "much longer" to unfold, stressed Rokossa. Beyond "very painful" legal fees, the scandal's impact on Volkswagen operations is the more key concern as damage to the Volkswagen and Audi brands pressures pricing, argued Rokossa. Volkswagen was also downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nataxis this morning. In addition to the downgrades, Fitch Ratings placed Volkswagen's ratings, including its 'A' Long-term Issuer Default Rating, on Rating Watch Negative, reflecting "the reputational damage" on the group's brands the emission test scandal and the expected multi-billion euros financial impact from potential fines, recall costs, lawsuits and legal claims. CEO EXIT: Martin Winterkorn stepped down as CEO of Volkswagen on Wednesday as the company's emissions scandal continued to unfold. The former Chief Executive stated, "I am stunned that misconduct on such a scale was possible in the Volkswagen Group. As CEO I accept responsibility for the irregularities that have been found in diesel engines and have therefore requested the supervisory board to agree on terminating my function as CEO... I am doing this in the interests of the company even though I am not aware of any wrong doing on my part...The process of clarification and transparency must continue. This is the only way to win back trust." Winterkorn's announcement was quickly followed by a statement from the supervisory board itself, saying its executive committee "recognizes not only the economic damage caused, but also the loss of trust among many customers worldwide." The executive committee explained that recommendations for new personnel will be presented at an upcoming board meeting this Friday, but cautioned that it is expecting "further personnel consequences in the next days" as its internal investigations continue "at a high tempo." Importantly, the board also stated that it will voluntarily submit a complaint to the State Prosecutors' office in Brunswick, remarking that "criminal proceedings may be relevant." Possible replacements for Winterkorn include Matthias Mueller, head of the Porsche brand who has the support of the family that controls a majority stake of VW, and Herbert Diess, who recently joined from BMW (BAMXY), said Bloomberg, citing a person familiar with the matter. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Volkswagen trading in New York have advanced 8.3% to $27.55 in afternoon trading following Winterkorn's departure, though the company's American Depository Receipts have crashed nearly 28% since the emissions failure became public. Fellow German automakers BMW and Daimler (DDAIF) have also suffered double digit percentage declines in their New York listed shares since news of the scandal.
10:08 EDTADSAlliance Data management to meet with Stephens
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08:50 EDTDLPHWeakness in auto suppliers could create opportunities, says RBC Capital
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September 22, 2015
17:22 EDTWFCOakland accusses Wells Fargo of mortgage discrimination, Reuters says
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September 21, 2015
06:36 EDTWFCFormer Wells Fargo CEO: BofA shareholders should back off Moynihan, Reuters says
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