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June 18, 2014
12:04 EDTCRM, ADBE, ORCL, ADSK, MSFTAdobe hits 52-week high after Q2 results top expectations
Shares of diversified software company Adobe Systems (ADBE) hit a fresh 52-week high after the company's second quarter results exceeded analysts' consensus estimates. In addition, several research firms also raised their respective price targets on the shares. WHAT'S NEW: Last night, Adobe reported Q2 earnings per share of 37c and revenue of $1.07B, topping analysts' consensus estimates of 30c and $1.03B, respectively. Looking ahead, the company forecast third quarter EPS of 22c-28c and revenue of $975M-$1.025B, compared to consensus estimates of 27c and $1.02B, respectively. The company expects to add approximately $250M of Digital Media ARR in the quarter, with with Digital Media segment revenue declining sequentially. Adobe is targeting Adobe Marketing Cloud revenue to grow approximately 20% year-over-year and expects combined revenue with LiveCycle and Connect to decline sequentially. The company is targeting Print and Publishing segment revenue to be relatively flat. WHAT'S NOTABLE: In the second half of fiscal 2014, Adobe expects Creative Cloud adoption to continue to accelerate and expects to add around 1M net new Creative Cloud subsriptions, with sequential growth in each quarter. By year-end, Adobe sees achieving approximately 3.3M creative cloud subscriptions, 300,000 higher than its prior target of approximately 3M. Adobe is targeting Digital Media ARR to grow sequentially in Q4 to a total of $1.925B exiting the year, an increase over its prior annual target of $1.85B. ANALYST REACTION: This morning, four separate research firms -- Citigroup, UBS, RBC Capital, and RW Baird -- each raised their respective price targets on Adobe following its stronger than expected Q2 results. PRICE ACTION: In early afternoon trading, Adobe rose $5.13, or about 7.6%, to $72.67 on nearly twice its average daily trading volume. Earlier in the session, the stock hit a fresh 52-week high of $74.69. Including today's advance, the stock is up approximately 68% over the past 12 months. OTHERS TO WATCH: Microsoft (MSFT) is down almost 1% this afternoon and (CRM) is down almost 1.5%. Meanwhile, Autodesk (ADSK) is up nearly 4% and Oracle (ORCL) is up almost 0.5%.
News For ADBE;MSFT;ORCL;CRM;ADSK From The Last 14 Days
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November 18, 2015
08:28 EDTADSKAutodesk valuation reflects bull case, says BofA/Merrill
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08:16 EDTCRMSalesforce volatility increases into Q3 and outlook
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05:37 EDTCRMStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; CRM BBY
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November 17, 2015
18:58 EDTMSFTMicrosoft CEO says building new cyber defense center, NBC reports
Speaking at the Microsoft Government Cloud Forum on Tuesday, CEO Satya Nadella revealed plans to open a Cyber Defense Operations Center, gathering security experts from across the company's suite of products in order to respond to security threats in real-time, reports NBC. Reference Link
15:43 EDTCRMStutz leaving Microsoft to join Salesforce, Re/code reports
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09:12 EDTADSKAutodesk volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
Autodesk November call option implied volatility is at 95, December is at 48, January is at 40; compared to its 52-week range of to , suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 19.
09:02 EDTMSFTAnalyst pans competing products, says buy Fitbit
Shares of previous high-flier Fitbit (FIT) have dropped about 30% in the last two weeks following the company's third quarter earnings report, but an analyst at Bank of America upgraded his view of the fitness tracker maker this morning, saying that now is the time to buy ahead of fourth quarter results that may be boosted by the "underwhelming" new products being launched by its competitors. UNDERWHELMING COMPETITION: Fitbit's sales guidance for this holiday quarter looks conservative, contends Bank of America analyst Nat Schindler, who notes that the company only had the launch of one new product last December but will have the Charge, Charge HR and Surge to drive sales this season. Schindler also notes that the company's international advertising has expanded into more countries ahead of the holidays this year. Key, however, may be the "underwhelming" lineup of new or updated fitness trackers launched by competitors, such as the Microsoft's (MSFT) Band 2, Jawbone's UP4 and Sony's (SNE) Smartband 2, many of which have only minor improvements and no "must have" features to pull consumers away from Fitbit, Schindler told investors in his research note. PLATFORM PICKING UP STEAM: The analyst also pointed out that Fitbit now has more than 20 companies signed onto its health and wellness platform, including big names like Target (TGT) and Barclays (BCS), which he believes should help drive revenue beats in the upcoming fiscal year due to increased device sales. Also, the additional dashboard data should help Fitbit maintain long-term user engagement, said Schindler. APPLE WATCH: Apple's (AAPL) Apple Watch is largely viewed as the biggest potential competitive threat to Fitbit's offerings, but on the fitness tracker maker's last earnings call CEO James Park said Fitbit's products differ from those of its competitors in several key aspects, including pricing, cross-platform compatibility, brand awareness and product line breadth. Other wearables makers include Garmin (GRMN) and Samsung. PRICE ACTION: Since the day after Fitbit's last earnings report after the market close on November 2, its shares have fallen about 29.5% to close yesterday at $28.80. In pre-market trading this morning, Fitbit shares rose 2% to $29.40.
08:42 EDTADSKAutodesk remains a top pick, says Cowen
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07:56 EDTMSFTUBS to hold a conference
Global Technology Conference is being held in San Francisco on November 16-18 with webcasted company presentations to begin on November 17 at 10:45 am.; not all company presentations may be webcasted. Webcast Link
06:16 EDTMSFTMicrosoft turns around flawed security technology, NY Times says
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05:24 EDTCRMStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; CRM HD
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November 16, 2015
17:02 EDTMSFTPoint72 added to lululemon position, subtracted from Netflix position
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16:00 EDTMSFTOptions Update; November 16, 2015
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10:00 EDTORCLOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Alliant Energy (LNT) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo... AmerisourceBergen (ABC) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley... Amphenol (APH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... CA Technologies (CA) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Citi... Cempra (CEMP) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley... Edgewell Personal Care (EPC) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Eli Lilly (LLY) upgraded on improved growth outlook at BMO Capital... MiMedx (MDXG) upgraded to Strong Buy from Buy at Needham... NVIDIA (NVDA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... New York REIT (NYRT) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Evercore ISI... Oracle (ORCL) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman... Perrigo (PRGO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... Semtech (SMTC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley... Tullow Oil (TUWOY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... Wabtec (WAB) upgraded to Outperform on valuatoin at Raymond James.
09:53 EDTORCLOracle rallies, levels to watch
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09:37 EDTORCLActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB ORCL BAC SUNE FDX FCX EXPE NFLX MU AMZN INTC TSLA
07:50 EDTADBEUBS to hold a conference
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07:23 EDTORCLOracle upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman
Goldman added Oracle to the Conviction Buy List and increased its price target to $47 from $45 on shares following checks that indicate cloud revenue growth will accelerate in second half 2016. Analyst Heather Bellini said investors continue to have concerns about management's cloud guidance but field work provides increasing confidence Oracle will be successful in achieving 2016 bookings targets and expects management to guide towards accelerating revenue growth and gross margin expansion in 2017. Bellini sees 2016 as a bottom in non-GAAP operating margins and expects the Street's focus to shift towards cloud execution, leading to multiple expansion.
05:30 EDTCRMStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; ODP CRM
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November 15, 2015
19:29 EDTMSFTMicrosoft delays, possibly kills tool to translate Android apps, Re/code says
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