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April 7, 2014
12:38 EDTAAEarnings Preview: Alcoa shares near 52-week high ahead of Q1 report
Alcoa (AA) is scheduled to report first quarter earnings after the close on Tuesday, April 8, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Alcoa is a global manufacturer of aluminum products. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for EPS of 5c on revenue of $5.56B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 0c-8c on revenue of $5.39B-$5.7B. LAST QUARTER: Alcoa reported fourth quarter adjusted EPS of 4c against estimates for 6c on revenue of $5.6B against estimates for $5.38B. The company forecast 2014 global aluminum demand growth of 7%. CEO Klaus Kleinfeld said, "we put a number of legacy matters behind us, clearing a path for Alcoa’s continued transformation in 2014." On the company's Q4 earnings conference call, management targeted $850M of additional year-over-year productivity gains in 2014. This was expected to be achieved by overhead cost reductions, procurement savings, and process productivity. For 2014, the company said it expects to build value-add with growth capital of $500M, an investment in its Saudi JV of $125M, and management of sustaining capital of $750M. Generating positive free cash flow will continue to be the target for 2014, and the company expects to manage its capital structure to a debt to capital ratio in the range of 30%-35% by the end of 2014. The company's initial outlook for the 2014 Alumina supply-demand situation is that the market will be in surplus of just under 2M metric tons or roughly 2% of the global market. STREET RESEARCH: Street research has been mixed in the weeks leading up to Alcoa's Q1 earnings report. On January 21, JP Morgan upgraded Alcoa to Overweight from Neutral, citing the tightening aluminum markets and increasing regional aluminum premiums. The firm raised its price target for Alcoa to $15 from $9. On March 14, Sterne Agee initiated Alcoa with a Buy rating and $15 price target. Conversely, on March 6, Standpoint Research downgraded Alcoa to Hold from Buy. On April 2, Nomura said there was significant downside risk to Alcoa's 2014 earnings estimates given the fall in LME aluminum prices and GRP margin pressures in Europe. The firm lowered Alcoa's FY14 EPS view to 14c from 28c, and FY15 EPS view to 31c from $1.32. It reiterated its Neutral rating and $8 price target on the shares. PRICE ACTION: Despite the company's worse than expected Q4 profit, Alcoa shares have rallied approximately 18% over the past 90 days, touching a 52-week high of $13.18 in early April. Over the past twelve months, the stock is up over 51%. In early afternoon trading ahead of tomorrow's Q1 report, Alcoa shares are down just over 1%.
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August 19, 2014
16:00 EDTAAOptions Update; August 19, 2014eBay
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures down 28c to 27.52. Option volume leaders: AAPL C HD PBR GILD AA NFLX TWTR TSLA EBAY according to Track Data.
August 11, 2014
08:43 EDTAAGoldman bullish on Constellium and Alcoa
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