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January 23, 2013
12:53 EDTAAPLEarnings Preview: Apple down sharply since last report amid iPhone concerns
Apple (AAPL) is scheduled to report Q1 results after the market close on Wednesday, January 23, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Despite a sharp pullback since its last earnings report, the iPhone and iPad maker remains by far the most valuable technology company in the world, as measured by market cap... EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for EPS of $13.44 on revenue of $54.73B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is $11.97-$15.50 on revenue of $52.01B-$59.55B. Along with last quarter's results, Apple forecast Q1 EPS about $11.75 and revenue about $52B, both of which were far short of consensus at the time. In a note to investors this morning, noted tech analyst Gene Munster at research firm Piper Jaffray summarized the "buy side" expectations for some of Apple's key metrics in Q1, including projections for 50M iPhones sold, 24M iPads sold and gross margin of 39%. According to Munster, the buy side expects Q1 EPS of $13.73 on revenue of $57B, both of which are above consensus... LAST QUARTER: Apple reported Q4 EPS of $8.67 against estimates for $8.75 on revenue of $36B against estimates for $35.8B. The company said it sold 26.9M iPhones, 14M iPads, 5.3M iPods and 4.9M Macs in Q4. Apple reported its gross margin in Q4 fell to 40.0% from 40.3% in the same quarter of the prior year. During its Q4 earnings call, Apple forecast a sequential decline in gross margin in Q1 driven by new form factor changes. The company also mentioned that it was working to get costs down on the iPad Mini and be more efficient in manufacturing. The day after the company's Q4 report, Apple shares fell $5.54, or 0.91%, to $604.00... RESEARCH AND NEWS: Within the last several weeks, first DigiTimes, then The Wall Street Journal, reported that Apple cut its component orders for the iPhone 5. Since Apple's Q4 report, its shares were downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup on December 17 and to Sector Perform from Outperform at Pacific Crest on January 16. Numerous other research firms have cut their price targets on shares during the last three months, including JPMorgan, Merrill Lynch, Stifel Nicolaus, Scotia Capital and UBS. On the more positive side, Piper's Munster recently raised his forecast for Q1 iPhone sales to 50M from 45M and his margin estimate by 100 bps, noting commentary from AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ) that indicated solid demand for the higher margin phone. Munster said Apple may guide toward Q2 revenue around $41B, which would be nearly 13% below the Street consensus, but noted that Apple has guided revenue 6%-13% below the Street over the last three quarters. Munster also said Apple's guidance tonight may shed light on the recent reports of component order cuts and that Apple shares have been down less as a function of valuation and more related to the lack of a product catalyst, such as a lower-tier iPhone or Apple TV. Piper Jaffray maintains an Overweight rating and $875 price target on Apple. Jefferies analyst Peter Misek also stated in a note to investors about a week ago that the firm is comfortable with its above Street estimate for 53M iPhones sold in the quarter. Jefferies' estimates for EPS and revenue were also well above consensus and the firm kept a Buy rating and $800 price target on the shares... PRICE ACTION: Since the day after last quarter's report, shares of Apple have declined over 16%. During the last week Apple shares have spent brief stretches below the psychologically and technically important $500 level, but in early afternoon trading ahead of tonight's report, Apple is up over 1% to ~$510.
News For AAPL From The Last 14 Days
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November 18, 2015
09:52 EDTAAPLApple trades up, Goldman adds to Conviction Buy List
The stock was last at $116.89, up over 2.8% on the session on moderate volume. At current price next resistance is at $119.27. Support is at $115.75, the opening price of the day.
09:34 EDTAAPLActive equity options trading on open
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06:14 EDTAAPLApple upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman
Goldman Sachs analyst Simona Jankowski upgraded Apple to Conviction Buy saying the stock trades at a 30% discount to the S&P 500 multiple. The market views Apple as a "hardware" stock, or a company with limited recurring revenue and visibility that only extends to the next product cycle, Jankowski tells investors in a research note. Over the next year, however, the analyst expects the market focus will shift from unit growth to installed base monetization and recurring revenues, which she dubs "Apple-as-a-Service." Jankowski believes Apple has a "significant multi-year opportunity" to increase monetization given its estimated installed base of 500M loyal iPhone users. She has a $163 price target for shares. The iPhone maker closed yesterday down 49c to $113.69.
06:12 EDTAAPLApple Pay coming to Domino's by end of year, Cinnabon in 2016, AP reports
Apple (AAPL) yesterday said that company-owned Domino's (DPZ) pizza outlets will be accepting Apple Pay by the end of 2015, while Cinnabon plans to integrate the mobile payments solution in its stores in 2016, The Associated Press reports. Reference Link
05:56 EDTAAPLSony Mobile, LG to develop smartphone app processors in-house, DigiTimes says
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November 17, 2015
16:01 EDTAAPLOptions Update; November 17, 2015
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures up 1.32 to 21.07. Option volume leaders: GE BAC AAPL FB NFLX SYF WMT CSCO MU SUNE VRX BABA AMZN HD FCX
09:35 EDTAAPLActive equity options trading on open: AAPL FB GE HD
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09:02 EDTAAPLAnalyst pans competing products, says buy Fitbit
Shares of previous high-flier Fitbit (FIT) have dropped about 30% in the last two weeks following the company's third quarter earnings report, but an analyst at Bank of America upgraded his view of the fitness tracker maker this morning, saying that now is the time to buy ahead of fourth quarter results that may be boosted by the "underwhelming" new products being launched by its competitors. UNDERWHELMING COMPETITION: Fitbit's sales guidance for this holiday quarter looks conservative, contends Bank of America analyst Nat Schindler, who notes that the company only had the launch of one new product last December but will have the Charge, Charge HR and Surge to drive sales this season. Schindler also notes that the company's international advertising has expanded into more countries ahead of the holidays this year. Key, however, may be the "underwhelming" lineup of new or updated fitness trackers launched by competitors, such as the Microsoft's (MSFT) Band 2, Jawbone's UP4 and Sony's (SNE) Smartband 2, many of which have only minor improvements and no "must have" features to pull consumers away from Fitbit, Schindler told investors in his research note. PLATFORM PICKING UP STEAM: The analyst also pointed out that Fitbit now has more than 20 companies signed onto its health and wellness platform, including big names like Target (TGT) and Barclays (BCS), which he believes should help drive revenue beats in the upcoming fiscal year due to increased device sales. Also, the additional dashboard data should help Fitbit maintain long-term user engagement, said Schindler. APPLE WATCH: Apple's (AAPL) Apple Watch is largely viewed as the biggest potential competitive threat to Fitbit's offerings, but on the fitness tracker maker's last earnings call CEO James Park said Fitbit's products differ from those of its competitors in several key aspects, including pricing, cross-platform compatibility, brand awareness and product line breadth. Other wearables makers include Garmin (GRMN) and Samsung. PRICE ACTION: Since the day after Fitbit's last earnings report after the market close on November 2, its shares have fallen about 29.5% to close yesterday at $28.80. In pre-market trading this morning, Fitbit shares rose 2% to $29.40.
07:01 EDTAAPLGlobal Payments to offer Apple Pay support in Canada
Global Payments (GPN) said it will offer its merchants in Canada the ability to accept American Express (AXP) payments made with Apple (AAPL) Pay. As an Apple Pay-qualified payment provider, Global Payments' robust suite of payments solutions is fully enabled for Apple Pay acceptance, allowing merchants to offer their customers the convenience of Apple Pay acceptance in-store, in-app and on-the-go.
November 16, 2015
16:43 EDTAAPLGreenlight Capital added Apple, sold some SunEdison
Greenlight Capital gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: CNX Coal Resources (CNXC), Garmin (GRMN), Terraform Global (GLBL), and Liberty Global (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Apple (AAPL), Michael Kors (KORS), Dillard's (DDS), UIL Holdings (UIL), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA). DECREASED STAKES: SunEdison (SUNE), Micron (MU), Voya (VOYA), Applied Materials (AMAT), and SunEdison Semiconductor (SEMI). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Citizens Financial (CFG), Lam Research (LRCX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Hertz (HTZ), and Macy's (M).
16:00 EDTAAPLOptions Update; November 16, 2015
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12:35 EDTAAPLApple reaps 94% of global smartphone profits, Business Insider says
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10:25 EDTAAPLUBS trims Apple target, says iPhone partner cut production forecast
Hon Hai, which manufactures Apple's (AAPL) iPhones, expects to assemble significantly fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, UBS wrote in a note to investors today. WHAT'S NEW: Hon Hai Precision Industry, also known as Foxconn, is expected to assemble 10% fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, said UBS analyst Steven Milunovich, citing work from fellow UBS analyst Arthur Hsieh. Previously, companies that supply force touch components for iPhones saw a 10%-15% reduction in their orders, the analyst reported. These developments "are not encouraging," but Apple had previously ordered a large number of iPhones for Q4, according to Milunovich. Overall iPhone demand "could still be decent," he believes. However, the analyst lowered his iPhone sales estimate for Apple's March quarter to 61M from 62.5M, asserting that iPhone sales on China's November 11 Singles Day holiday may have come in below expectations. Based on October search volumes, he continues to believe that demand for iPhone units in the fourth quarter of the calendar year will be 75M, in-line with the consensus outlook. Milunovich trimmed his price target on Apple to $140 from $150 but kept a Buy rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE In a note to investors on November 10, Credit Suisse reported that it was cutting its estimates for 2016 iPhone sales. The firm expects sales of the device to fall 10.4% in the first quarter versus the same period in 2015, and it predicts that iPhone sales will decline 5.5% year-over-year in 2016. Suppliers with greater than 10% exposure to Apple include Avago (AVGO), SanDisk (SNDK), Analog Devices (ADI), Broadcom (BRCM), Texas Instruments (TXN), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Fairchild (FCS), Credit Suisse reported. The firm said it continues to have a negative view of the smartphone sector. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Apple added nearly 1% to $113.34.
09:37 EDTAAPLActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB ORCL BAC SUNE FDX FCX EXPE NFLX MU AMZN INTC TSLA
08:46 EDTAAPL4-inch iPhone 6c may be available in middle of 2016, Cult of Mac reports
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08:44 EDTAAPLGerman watchdog launches probe into Apple, Amazon audio books pact, Reuters says
Germany's Federal Cartel Office has initiated a probe into Apple's (AAPL) arrangement with Amazon (AMZN) for buying audiobooks, Reuters reports. The watchdog said that both companies had a long-term agreement for the purchase of audio books by Apple from Amazon via Apple's iTunes, the report says. Reference Link
06:37 EDTAAPLApple's Cook: No plans to make 'converged' MacBook and iPad, Independent reports
Apple has no plans to build a "converged" MacBook and iPad, the Independent reports, citing CEO Tim Cook. "We feel strongly that customers are not really looking for a converged Mac and iPad," Cook said. "Because what that would wind up doing, or what we're worried would happen, is that neither experience would be as good as the customer wants. So we want to make the best tablet in the world and the best Mac in the world. And putting those two together would not achieve either. You'd begin to compromise in different ways." Reference Link
06:19 EDTAAPLApple News fails to impress publishers, Digiday reports
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06:05 EDTAAPLApple price target lowered to $140 from $150 at UBS
UBS analyst Steven Milunovich lowered his price target for Apple to $140 from $150 saying the stock's multiple is likely to be pressured until supply chain concerns are resolved. UBS analyst Arthur Hsieh indicates Hon Hai's Q4 iPhone assembly order forecast has been cut and should be down 10% year-over-year, Milunovich tells investors in a research note. The analyst is unclear what the order pullback means for iPhone shipments, but notes "it is not encouraging." Milunovich maintains his above-consensus December estimates for Apple, but trimmed his estimates for the March quarter. He keeps a Buy rating on Apple.
November 15, 2015
19:49 EDTAAPLApple CEO Cook expects 'huge' Watch sales this year, IE says
In an interview with Irish Independent published Sunday, Apple CEO Tim Cook said he expects "huge" Apple Watch sales this year. Cook added that he sees iPad sales rebounding, and said the company does not plan a combined iPad-Mac device. Reference Link
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